At the same time, Russia's stock market and foreign exchange market collapsed, and the financial attacks on Russia in Europe and America made Russia suffer heavy losses. Just as the whole world was speculating that the United States or France would go to war against Syria, the war between the United States and Russia was imminent. An air base of Syrian government forces was attacked by missiles, eight missiles were destroyed by anti-aircraft missiles, and the remaining three hit the target. It is said that there were Russian and Iranian soldiers in the base, and four Iranian soldiers and three Russian soldiers were killed. The attacker was Israel, and the action was approved by the United States in advance. This attack may be a roadshow for a larger explosion in the United States. The war is overcast. Are the United States and Russia really going to war in Syria? Are the United States and the West just venting their anger or are they really going to enter the imperial cemetery in Syria? Aside from these complicated appearances, let's take a look at what happened in Syria and uncover the war logic behind it.
First, the Russian-Syrian Coalition forces won the battle of Dongguta.
We all know that Syria is a small country with a population of more than 20 million, but the Syrian war is not a small-scale war. Due to the intervention of external forces, the seven-year Syrian war has turned into a small "world war". I believe you should still remember the battle of Aleppo that ended on 20 1 1 in 2006. At that time, almost all countries with significant strategic interests in the Middle East were involved, including China.
In the battle of Aleppo, China, Russia, Syrian government forces, Iran, Iraq, North Korea, Hezbollah and other countries formed a side, and the United States, France, Britain, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Israel, Syrian opposition, Kurds, the "Islamic State" and Morocco fought a vigorous small-scale "World War". In the end, China seized the strategic opportunity of the change of the US government, decisively sent a military advisory group to visit Syria, directly provided strategic and tactical guidance, and delivered a lot of strategic resources to cut the gordian knot, thus quickly ending the Aleppo dispute that lasted for more than four years. The Battle of Aleppo, known as the Battle of Stalingrad in Syria, completely reversed the passive beating of Syrian government forces, and China's army also showed the demeanor of "the king of the land".
The battle of Dongguta, which is about to end recently, can be regarded as the battle of "conquering Berlin" by Russian-Syrian Coalition forces. Although Dongguta is not a big city like Aleppo (the largest city in Syria with a population of nearly 2 million), it is close to Damascus, the capital of Syria, but it is a sharp knife that threatens the heart of the Syrian regime. Located in the eastern suburb of Damascus, Dongguta is a highland 600 meters above sea level, including many small towns and villages. There were 2 million residents before the war, and there are still hundreds of thousands of residents at present. Shortly after the outbreak of the Syrian civil war, the terrorist organization Rahman Brigade occupied Dongguta in 20 12, and then the Syrian government forces besieged Dongguta for five years, but they never broke into Dongguta.
And with the victory of Syrian government forces in various battlefields, Dongguta area has become the most important stronghold and the last fortress of anti-government forces in the suburbs of Damascus. Many rebels who were defeated in other battlefields also gathered in Dongguta area. In addition to the Islamic Army, Sham Freedom Organization, Rahman Corps and other anti-government armed forces, there are extremist organizations associated with Al Qaeda, such as the Conquest Front.
These rebels are not all rabble, but many are Sunni armed forces in the former Syrian government army, which is the same as the Islamic State of Iraq gathering a large number of Sunni armed forces in the former Saddam government army. Therefore, they are very effective and understand military struggle. They hollowed out the underground of Dongguta early and turned it into a fortress intertwined with bunkers, leaving the Syrian government forces at a loss.
In fact, the siege of Dongguta by government forces has never stopped, but because the elites of Syrian government forces are fighting in other places, they can't help the rebels in Dongguta. For example, from June to September in 20 17, Syrian government forces launched a large-scale attack on Dongguta, but as a result, more than 700 people were lost/KLOC-0, 36 tanks were destroyed, and Dongguta was never attacked.
Since the beginning of this year, with the overall stabilization of the war situation in Syria, the government forces have eliminated most of the rebels except the Kurdish armed forces. /kloc-In February, 2008, the Syrian government forces assembled 6 divisions and 3 brigades, supplemented by local militia, Russian "consultants" and air force support. More than 60,000 elite troops surrounded Dongguta, determined to pull out the last "nail" in the suburbs of Damascus.
The battle sequence of Dongguta includes the "Tiger Division" of Syrian government forces and the first armored division of Syria. In addition to these two elite troops who have been active in the civil war, the troops deployed to participate in the siege of Dongguta are: Syrian 14 Special Operations Division, 4th Mechanized Infantry Division, 7th Armored Division, 9th Armored Division, * * and National Guard 104 Airborne Brigade, * * and National Guard 105 Brigade, * * More than 60,000 troops participated in the war, carrying more than 500 howitzers and rockets to suppress fire.
However, for the Russian and Syrian government forces, the biggest enemy is not the besieged opposition armed forces. With an elite division of more than 60,000 people, plus heavy equipment and air support, it is undoubtedly a war of cutting butter to destroy the rebels entrenched in Dongguta. The problem is that whenever the Russian-Syrian Coalition forces pose a decisive battle or are about to win, the imperialists will stand up and make trouble.
Just a few days after the battle in Dongguta, the United States and other western countries could not sit still and watched the Syrian government forces win one after another. 201on February 24th, 8, the United States, Britain and France pushed the United Nations Security Council to adopt resolution 240 1, demanding a continuous cease-fire throughout Syria for at least 30 days, and calling for the lifting of the siege of four areas, including the Dongguta area, so as to maintain the supply of food and medicine to the residents in these areas and rescue the rebels. However, all parties to the conflict have no intention of complying with this resolution.
Only under the pressure of the west, out of humanitarian considerations, the government forces opened two channels for civilians to escape. On March 20 18 17, the Russian ceasefire coordination center in Syria indicated that more than17,000 Syrian civilians had been evacuated from the Guta area in Syria. The next day, Syrian government tanks appeared in Sagba town in Dongguta area, announcing that the government forces had recovered 80% of the land in Dongguta. The remaining rebels gathered in a few areas such as Duma town and became turtles in a jar.
On March 18, the day Syrian government forces recaptured Sagba town, Syrian President Bashar al-Assad inspected the front line of Dongguta and was warmly welcomed by the soldiers. Bashar boarded a tank and delivered an inspiring speech to government officers and soldiers. He said, "Every bullet you shoot at terrorists changes the geographical balance, and every meter you drive a tank changes the world political map."
At the same time, on the battlefield in northern Syria, Turkish troops also entered the city of Aflin on March 18, and occupied the Aflin area. It can be said that this day is another turning point in the Syrian battlefield, and its strategic significance is equivalent to the Soviet Red Army and the allied forces attacking Nazi Germany's capital Berlin respectively. It marks the end of the Syrian battlefield. If the United States and France directly participate in the war without large-scale intervention, the Syrian war will come to an end.
Second, the United States, France, Britain and other western countries are unwilling to fail.
Judging from the situation of the battlefields in southern and northern Syria, we will find that the United States has been cheated by Russia again. When Turkey flagrantly launched the olive branch to attack the Kurdish armed forces in Aflin, everyone felt incredible and strange. Even some domestic celebrities gave NATO a bad name, saying that the most uncomfortable thing for Turkey to attack Aflin was the Russian, Iranian and Bashar governments. If NATO troops enter Syria again, they will continue to suppress Iran, cut Bashar and annex Russian territory in Syria. NATO is at war and will make a comeback to win the Syrian war.
Looking back now, Turkey would rather betray or withdraw from NATO in the face of national core interests. There are more than 654.38+08 million Kurds in Turkey. If the United States is allowed to support Kurdish armed forces to build evil corridors in northern Syria, it will bring endless troubles to Turkey and may lead to long-term division and civil war in Turkey, because Syrian Kurdish armed forces are controlled by Turkey's PKK.
Therefore, judging from the results of the war, simply speaking, Turkey cooperated seamlessly with Russia, Syrian government forces and Iran, and eliminated the last two rebels supported by the West in Syria. Of course, the Kurdish armed forces are far from being eliminated, but if the United States and France do not intervene in Syria on a large scale, it will be inevitable that the remaining Kurdish armed forces will surrender to Russian and Syrian government forces. In fact, with the victory of the battle of Dongguta, the rebels in southern Damascus have surrendered to the government forces.
The Syrian war has developed to this point today. It can be said that the United States, Israel and the West have lost such a big game of chess in Syria. On March 29th, US President Trump announced that he would withdraw his troops from Syria. Indeed, if he doesn't withdraw, thousands of American troops in Syria will be trapped by jiaozi. At the end of the battle of Abobo the year before last, hundreds of military coaches, consultants and intelligence personnel from the United States, France and Israel were captured. In the face of the joint encirclement and suppression of Russia, Turkey, Iran and Syria, the United States is also a strong dragon and not a local snake.
However, reality is always so dramatic. On the day Trump announced the withdrawal of the United States, France, the former colonial sovereign of Syria, stood up. When meeting with Kurdish leaders, French President Macron promised to send troops into Mambiji, Syria, to fight side by side with local Kurdish forces and resist Turkish attacks. According to the French newspaper Parisian, a delegation of the Syrian Democratic Army led by Kurdish forces met with French President Macron on the 29th. The representative of the delegation said that Macron promised to support its struggle against extremist groups and Turkish attacks, and planned to send French special forces to Mambiji as soon as possible. The number of troops has not been disclosed, and France will coordinate with the United States to send troops this time. This news made the world feel the "great power complex" of France.
You know, France hasn't fought for a long time. If the Libyan war is not counted (mainly air strikes led by Sarkozy), the last war of the French army is the Vietnam War. As we all know, on the battlefield in Vietnam, China sent a military advisory group headed by General Chen Geng to guide Vietnam to win famous battles such as Dean Bianfu, and completely defeated the Gaul rooster. After more than half a century, he never dared to be arrogant again. So, what prompted Macron to make the decision to go to war?
The first is practical interests. As we all know, before being elected president, Macron worked in an investment bank under the Rothschild Group and accumulated the first bucket of gold in his life. Therefore, Macron is a pawn of Jewish financial capital represented by Rothschild. Seeing that the Kurds can't hold on, it is not only Israel and the United States that are worried, but also the Jewish financial capital groups in Europe can't sit still. That's why Macron went to war. Of course, Erdogan, who once angered the United States with "Osman's slap", is not a fuel-efficient lamp. Erdogan condemned France's support for terrorist organizations in unprecedented terms.
The second is historical reasons. France's attempt to send troops into Syria seems to have been "killed halfway", but if we look back, it will not be too abrupt. The crusade is too long ago, so let's not talk about it. France also had a deep relationship with Syria in modern times. 1799 Napoleon led an army to attack Syria. 186 1 year, France put Maronite Christians in the Ottoman Turkish Empire under its protection on the grounds of "humanitarian mission". 1965438+In May 2006, through the Sykes-Picot Agreement signed with Britain, France brought part of the Ottoman Turkish Empire "Greater Syria" (including Syria and Lebanon) into its sphere of influence and became the suzerain of Syria.
Because European Jewish capital is going to participate in the war, it will muddy the water in Syria, so these days we have seen news about the chemical weapons attack in Syria. It is the British media that acts as a depth bomb on the battlefield of public opinion. On April 8, the British BBC took the lead in revealing that Syrian opposition forces stubbornly insisted that Duma, the largest town in Dongguta area, was attacked by sarin gas. According to local medical workers and rescuers, at least 70 people were killed when gas floated down from the town. The notorious Syrian relief organization "White Helmet" tweeted a photo of the town of Duma, which showed dozens of bodies in the basement. The organization issued a document saying that the death toll may continue to climb.
For a time, mainstream media in Europe and the United States rushed to report, and the State Council jumped out and said, "The Syrian regime has a precedent for using chemical weapons against its own people, and Russia must finally bear the responsibility of launching barbaric attacks on countless Syrians." Before the Kaiwo War, we once smelled this familiar situation.
This shows that the United States, France and Britain are unwilling to lose on the Syrian battlefield. They want to make a comeback. It is likely that there will be a big fight, but unfortunately, the current situation is very unfavorable to them.
3. Will the United States enter the imperial cemetery in Syria?
As I said in my last article, the current Syrian battlefield, with Turkey's defection, has actually entered the second stage of the Middle East war, that is, the stage of hegemony among the Middle East powers. Turkey, Iran, Saudi Arabia, Israel, Egypt and other regional powers will compete for hegemony. At present, the main line of the struggle is that Turkey cooperates with Iran and Syria to deal with Israel, Kurds and Saudi Arabia.
According to the logic of the development of the Middle East war, China and the United States, two global powers, should wait until the end of regional hegemony. For China and the United States, no matter who intervenes in the Syrian battlefield without strategic determination, Syria may become its "imperial cemetery." So now many people are worried that the United States will have a big fight in Syria, and Russia will not survive. When the time comes, if Russia falls, China will be in big trouble. These are all nonsense. The Syrian battlefield is a trap. China and the United States, who fell first, became the graveyard of the empire.
At present, China's early intervention is unlikely. Turkey and Iran, the two giants in the Middle East, will stand on China's side, and it will be no problem for Russia to stay in the Middle East for two or three years. Turkey has completely fallen out with the United States and the West. Although France's intervention can deter the Turkish army from advancing, it cannot stop Erdogan's determination to annihilate the Kurdish armed forces. For Turkey, whoever supports Kurdish armed forces and Kurdish independence is its enemy. Obviously, it is now at odds with Israel, France and the United States, but is a natural alliance with Iran, Iraq, Syria and Russia. Therefore, Turkey is not a NATO country now, although it is the second largest military power in NATO.
Iran has been keeping a low profile in recent years, but in terms of comprehensive national strength, Iran is not inferior to Turkey. His first enemy is Israel and his second enemy is Saudi Arabia. On the surface, Russia and Turkey appear frequently in the Syrian battlefield, but Iran is the real heavyweight country. Because Iran has mastered the Shia arc from Iraq to Syria and Lebanon, with the support of mysterious forces from Russia and the East, it is stronger than Turkey alone in a sense and an outsider from Russia. Russia itself is also invited by Iran to facilitate Iran to hide behind the Russian giants and do things behind them. Russia only sent 20,000 troops to Syria, but Iran deployed/kloc-0,000 troops in Syria, most of which were elite Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guards.
In this round of war to eliminate the number one terrorist organization of the "Islamic State", we only saw Putin make a splash in the global media. However, few of us have heard of Soleimani. In fact, his role is no less than that of Putin the Great. Soleimani is called "the Iranian Rommel" and "the most powerful individual in the Middle East", while Richard Keira, a former White House security official, called Soleimani "the genius of the devil". After the Iraqi army destroyed the "Islamic State", many villages in northern Iraq wrote "From Mosul to Baiaji, thanks to Solemani" on the wall. In recognition of his outstanding contribution in defeating the Islamic State.
Ironically, however, Soleimani is a military genius who grew up from the Iran-Iraq war. At the age of 30, he was appointed as the commander of the First Talac Division of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard and was awarded the honor of a young general. 20 1 1 year, he was awarded the highest rank of major general in Iran. In recent years, he has commanded the famous "Al-Quds Army" and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps to be invincible in Iraq and Syria, with outstanding achievements. However, there are few reports about him in the domestic media. The low-key Soleimani is a true portrayal of the low-key Iranians.
Us president trump condemned the Syrian government forces on the 8 th. "The area where atrocities occurred has been blocked by the Syrian army and the outside world is completely inaccessible. Russia, Assad and Iran should be responsible for this atrocity and they will pay a huge price. "
At 23 o'clock on the evening of April 9, Trump condemned Syria's chemical weapons behavior at the cabinet meeting and said that he would decide whether to launch a military strike against Syria in the next 24-48 hours. The Syrian government told the media that the allegations that the Syrian government attacked civilians with chemical weapons were "100% fabricated" and these stories were fabricated only to rationalize the US bombing of Syria. But weak countries have no diplomacy, and no one listens to Syria. In the face of western frame-ups, Russia can't argue, let alone Syria. In fact, everyone with a discerning eye can see that there is absolutely no need for Syria to use chemical weapons when the battle of Dongguta has been won.
At the same time, the diplomatic struggle in the UN Security Council is also fierce, because the three drafts submitted by the United States and Russia failed to pass. The draft resolution drafted by the United States calls for authorizing countries to conduct independent investigations into those responsible for the chemical weapons attack in Syria, and Russia voted against it. Two drafts drafted by Russia also call for an investigation of chemical weapons attacks, but oppose independent investigation. A draft requires the investigation organization to report to the United Nations, and the United Nations decides the responsible party, but the United States opposes it. Another request, the Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons, headquartered in The Hague, the Netherlands, went to Syria to investigate suspected chemical weapons attacks, and the United States also opposed it.
Of course, as we all know, in the eyes of western powers, the United Nations is just a show, and the so-called United Nations resolutions are just a form. Prior to this, both the United States and Russia indicated that they would veto each other's draft. Now we can understand why UN Secretary-General Gutierrez will visit China and attend the Boao Forum for Asia, because only China, the five permanent members of the UN, truly respects the UN.
In response to the so-called use of chemical weapons in Syria, US Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Heili is even more overbearing than Secretary of State Powell with washing powder. On Monday (9th) local time, she told the UN Security Council that the United States would take action against the Syrian government regardless of whether the UN allowed it or not, and accused Russia of "deliberately obstructing" this. Indeed, for the United States, everything is ready now, except for the order.
Judging from all kinds of news, the United States is launching military operations against Syria in an orderly manner. Relying on the "Syria's use of chemical weapons" incident, public opinion preparations have been completed. Whether the incident is true or not, the United States has moral reasons for using force against Syria. The same formula and the same smell are exactly the same as accusing Saddam Hussein of possessing weapons of mass destruction. Now, the Iraq war has passed 15 years, and the shadow of weapons of mass destruction has not been found. Only Powell's washing powder is left, which has become a legend in Jianghu.
At the same time, the public opinion war is the close communication and coordination of the positions of western countries.
On April 10/9, after communicating with Trump, British Prime Minister theresa may responded that the attack in Syria was barbaric and we are working hard with our allies to assess what happened. At 22: 00 on April 10, French Prime Minister Philippe said that diplomatic means could not be trusted without responding to the chemical attack, and he would work closely with the United States on the Syrian issue. At 2 o'clock on April 10, French President Macron announced that France would continue to communicate with Britain, the United States and other allies on the Syrian issue, and promised that the target of French air strikes in Syria was chemical plants. According to foreign media reports, French President Macron and US President Trump have held two telephone talks on the "Syrian chemical weapons incident", demanding that the international community resolutely respond.
At the same time, in order to better handle the Syrian issue, in addition to actively communicating with allies, US President Trump announced that he would cancel his visit to Latin America from April 12 to April 14 and attend the Summit of the Americas. In addition, the US guided missile destroyer Donald Cook is currently located in the eastern Mediterranean, only 100 km away from Tartus, and may take the lead in using 60 Tomahawk cruise missiles to attack Syria.
The United States is also stepping up its troops. The battle group headed by the aircraft carrier Truman left the naval base in Norfolk, Virginia, on April 1 1, and went to the Mediterranean to carry out its mission. The battle group of "Truman" aircraft carrier includes USS NORMANDY, guided missile destroyers arleigh burke, bulkeley, Forrest Sherman and farragut, and guided missile destroyers Jason Dunham and Sullivan will join the battle group later. According to the report of Sputnik News Agency & Radio on April 10, the German frigate Hessen also joined the battle group.
In just one month, the drama from diplomatic war to financial war to military conflict has been staged between the United States, the western world and Russia. Imagine that on March 20, Trump personally called Putin to congratulate him on his election and said that the two would meet soon. In less than a month, he was on the verge of war. In the face of the threat of war from the United States, Russia did not show weakness, claiming that the Russian armed forces were fully prepared for war. The question now is, do the United States and the West just vent their anger through air strikes, or do they really want to recapture the advanced Syrian battlefield? Into the graveyard of the Syrian Empire? Let's wait and see.
Thank our martyrs for fighting bloody battles to build this powerful country and keep us away from wars and disasters. Thanks to our powerful party and people's army, all enemies dare not get their hands on it. Cherish our precious peace now. Peace is not taken for granted, but scarce. It is the heroes who have been buried underground who have bought peace for us with their lives.