As we all know, the freight problem has always been the focus of the card players, and the declining price is also like a heart disease, suppressing the enthusiasm of everyone.
By definition, from the "9-21 new policy" to the present, also introduced a few favorable freight rise policy, freight can at least be adjusted to a reasonable level, right? But as we have all seen, what is the reason for the decline in freight rates?
Why did freight rates go down
There is no doubt that the epidemic has affected every aspect of life.
○ Chart 丨National Highway Freight Transportation in March
○ Chart 丨National Highway Freight Transportation in April
According to the data released by the Ministry of Transportation and Communications, the national highway freight transportation in March and April showed negative growth compared to the previous year's historical data, which means that the car and the goods have formed an inseparable link. This means that "cars" and "goods" have formed a relationship of supply exceeding demand.
As a means of transporting the means of production, the truck is at best a means of production, and after the means of production loses its original advantage, the truck as a means of transportation will lose control of its own subsidiary commercial value (freight).
This general environment has no less than provided a "hotbed" for the decline in freight rates, which, although gradually recovering in China from March, is far from the same level as in previous years.
Besides the impact of the general environment, Jia believes that the most chilling thing for the truckers is the practice of some cargo owners who are only interested in profit.
Special period, 30 million card players picked up the burden of connecting the parties, no card players, medical, living supplies difficult to transport to the infected areas, is such a group of honorable retrograde, but in the second half of the anti-epidemic was "stabbed a knife.
In order to ensure the orderly resumption of work and production in various industries, the Ministry of Transportation in February 17 this year began the implementation of toll road toll-free (to the end of May 5).
The intention is to guide the society to revitalize by reducing the logistics cost, but the cost reduction work is stuck in the link of transportation price, and does not benefit the front-line card users.
On the other hand, under the influence of the epidemic, global oil prices have dropped again and again, and domestic diesel prices have come close to returning to the 'five-dollar era'.
Such a "good opportunity to reduce freight" is naturally in the eyes of many shippers, before the price of 4000 round-trip, now can only give 3500.
At the same time, there are also truckers to home brother reflected, because of these two things, their own freight dropped by 6%.
○ Picture 丨四川卡友
○ Picture 丨广东卡友
长期存在的降价原
Besides the above mentioned phenomenon of this kind of freight decline due to force majeure, the development of freight logistics for so many years, there are also a lot of other longstanding objective reasons that lead to a decline in the freight
This is the first time that I have ever seen a freight forwarding company in the United States, and I'm not sure if I've ever seen one.
Low threshold for entry, uneven professionalism
The transportation industry is different from other industries, for practitioners of the hard requirements are not too much, healthy, clear-headed on the road to run cars, which also creates a national 30 million truckers have 80% of the phenomenon of retailers.
They do not have a fixed line and source of goods, which a small number of people will be low-priced prying goods, backhaul car running impact on the market, resulting in a low freight rate is also pulled by people in the market chaos, blue light trucks, large tons of small standard is a good example.
It's too easy to buy a car, a large number of new car influx
After the "9-21 new policy", we all think that the freight market will gradually go on the right track, and have to pay money to buy a car, the national sales of trucks to achieve a three consecutive rise; on the other hand, in recent years, the emergence of the "zero down payment, zero dollars to buy" and other promotional activities also provoked the desire to buy many people. The company's sales of trucks have risen for three consecutive years.
As a retailer buying a car, most of them still have to take out a loan and pay it back on time every month. Under this kind of pressure, the daily hauling of goods even if the price of transportation is not ideal, but also forced to accept.
The success of the APP, the failure of the bargaining power of the truckers
We still remember when the APP was first implemented, a variety of concessions? Not only shippers have delivery subsidies, even drivers have delivery subsidies, a finger move can make business.
Now these software success, in order to return to the capital, profit turn these subsidies into a barbed wire into the body of the truckers, and constantly eat their due reward, making the freight rates drop again and again.
The implementation of the super vary, the owner of the price reduction "justified"
"9-21 new policy" although it restricts a lot of over-limit vehicles on the highway, but some drivers in order to save the freight will go to the national highway, which will lead to the super around the emergence of a gray area, the effect of the control of the super greatly reduced.
Because the standard load car is too rule, so the owners of goods in the choice of more in favor of overloaded cars, in the long run, the owners of these goods in the face of the standard load car can also be "justified" to drop their freight.
What is the root cause
From the owner of the transport demand to the truckers to undertake the transport task, the chain of events in the middle can be regarded as a complete commercial behavior, so we can also try to explain from the economic point of view to explain why the freight is so low.
The phenomenon reflected in this story is known as the "tragedy of the commons" in economics, and the herdsman who wants to raise one more cow is actually the same kind of person as the drivers who are competing at low prices and disrupting the market as we do nowadays.
On the other hand, it's a good idea to have a good time with your friends and family, so you'll have a good time with your friends and family.
The entire logistics market is like the piece of public ****land mentioned in the story, logistics companies and retailers are like the herdsmen inside.
While at the beginning each household will set a lower limit value, but in real life there will inevitably be speculative people in order to take more orders and secretly lower their freight.
Over time the price reduction of more people, you do not reduce the price or you "will not do business", the end result is that the entire market prices continue to go down difficult to rebound, we are suffering, the real originator may have chosen to change the line of business not to drive.
Will there be a rebound in the future
In response to this question, Jia may want to splash a pot of cold water, unless the state to step in, or the emergence of a strong association to restrain all practitioners, otherwise the freight problem will be difficult to rebound in a short period of time.
"Whoever raises prices first dies first, and whoever doesn't raises prices waits for death," is a saying that has been circulating in the industry. Price increase is a technical work, both need to enterprises consciously, also need government intervention.
The development of the transportation industry has become an indispensable part of people's lives, and in a sense it has become a livelihood project, and its public *** attributes are becoming more and more obvious.
Since the attributes of public ****, the relevant departments can not be treated as a complete market behavior of logistics and transportation, to take responsibility, at least in the matter of freight adjustment to assist the functional departments can not be left to the spontaneous regulation of the market, and should assume the corresponding market complementary function, so as to guide the healthy development of the industry.
This article comes from the author of the automobile home car, does not represent the views of the automobile home position.