Red Weekly Editorial | Qi Yongchao
During the Spring Festival holiday, overseas major stock indexes have ushered in a strong rise, based on which the market is expected to usher in the year of the rabbit, the A-share market will usher in the "open door" market. So, which direction is expected to become the core focus of attention after the opening of the market?
Currently, A-share listed companies are disclosing the 2022 results forecast, in fact, before the Spring Festival holiday, listed companies have begun to batch "preemptive" disclosure, and some of the "beautiful first married" performance stocks have been funds in advance to pay close attention to. Attention. There are views that the performance of the main line and individual stocks is expected to become the focus of the market. So, which stocks performance is showing super-expected growth? Which industry "wallet" more full?
Performance of the stock warmed up
"ten times the stock" frequent, new energy "mirror"
Before the 2022 annual report disclosure work officially opened the curtain, A-share listed companies in the annual report performance preview is being released intensively. In the window period of the annual report, the performance of the stock has become the focus of market attention, and some of the performance of the company is expected to exceed the growth of the market has obviously been the "most beautiful boy".
January 20, the last trading day before the festival, lithium battery company Tianqi lithium shares rose more than 5% in January, the company's share price has risen nearly 20%. Tianqi lithium shares continued to rise, with its release of the 2022 performance forecast good news is not unrelated. Tianqi lithium industry in January 19th announcement, said, is expected to 2022 annual net profit of 23100000000 yuan ~ 25600000000 yuan, an increase of 1011.19% over the same period of the previous year ~ 1131.45%.
It is observed that, before the holiday disclosure of the annual report performance forecast announcement of the company, the share price ushered in a significant rise in the minority. On January 7, after Electronic City released the 2022 net profit forecast increase of 47,000,000 yuan to 68,000,000 yuan, an increase of 1,388.52% to 2,053.60% year-on-year, the company's stock price closed four consecutive one-word stops.
According to Wind data incomplete statistics show that at present *** there are 1015 A-share listed companies disclosed the 2022 annual performance forecast, of which, the performance of the pre-increase (according to the upper limit of statistics, the same below) company is 627, accounting for 61%, the performance of the pre-decrease in the company is 388, accounting for 38%. If you look at the disclosure nodes, more than half of the companies are concentrated in the first three days of the Spring Festival holiday focused on disclosure, 2023 January 19 ~ January 21, **** there are 532 companies to disclose 2022 full-year performance forecast.
We note that, in the current disclosure of 2022 performance previews of the company, a number of advance more than 10 times, in addition to the above mentioned Tianqi lithium, Electronic City, but also includes Cangzhou Dahua, Rongjie shares, Jiaying Pharmaceuticals, Jixiang shares, Ji'an Medical, Longyuan Technology, Xinri shares and so on.
In addition, there are a number of companies with performance forecasts of more than 500%, such as Tianhua Super Purification, Yongxing materials, Shengxin lithium, Tibet Mining, etc. (see Table 1).
Looking closely, it is not difficult to find, 2022 performance forecasts higher and stock price increases in the front of the company, lithium batteries and other new energy companies occupy the largest number. such as Cangzhou Dahua, Rongjie shares, Jixiang shares, Tianqi lithium industry, Kerui technology, Tianhua super clean, Yongxing materials, Sheng new lithium, Tibet mining, etc., which are involved in lithium mining, lithium battery equipment and other segments.
Further, the lithium battery enterprise performance significantly increased, and the market boom in the context of the product volume and price rise.
Rongjie shares main business for lithium ore, lithium salt, and lithium equipment, etc., its announcement on January 20, said it is expected to January to December 2022 attributable to shareholders of the listed company's net profit profit of 220,000,000 yuan ~ 260,000,000 yuan, compared with the same period last year, an increase of 3121.58% ~ 3707.33%. On the day of January 20, the company's stock price soared more than 8%. For the reasons of performance increase, rongjie shares said, performance increase, and new energy industry boom continues to improve, lithium battery industry upstream material product prices continue to rise sharply, as well as lithium materials and lithium equipment demand continues to increase and other multiple factors.
Performance of 610.19% to 644.01% increase in lithium materials enterprise Yongxing materials, said the substantial increase in performance is mainly due to the lithium salt prices continue to rise and the company's lithium salt phase II project volume.
For the investment opportunities of the A-share annual report, CICC believes that with the impact of the epidemic gradually past the peak, high-frequency data show that economic activity is being repaired, superimposed on the current market in the rebound after the overall valuation is still not high, the current A-share is still in a better layout period. It also said that the current market for the overall poor annual report expectations may have been fully accounted for, the key lies in the structural may exceed expectations in the field. In 2022 performance preview and flash report disclosure stage, you can focus on the following three areas:
First, benefit from the economic repair and policy support, and relatively sensitive to the policy areas; second, the annual report performance exceeded expectations or ring the obvious improvement in the field of high boom; third, the fundamentals are facing an inflection point and gradually bottomed out the plate.
Foreign investment in large quantities to increase the position of high-performance stocks
Layout focus on locking the new energy leader
At the current stage, the high-performance stocks are also becoming the focus of foreign investment in the target. Statistics show that since January, a lot of performance forecasts of the performance of the stock to get the north of the funds (land stock pass) large increase in position, the amount of the increase in position can easily be more than a hundred million, and even the head of the company was bought nearly ten billion yuan.
According to incomplete statistics, the current release of 2022 performance forecast companies, performance forecast increase of more than 50% of the company has 487 companies, in which nearly 200 land shares through the subject, there are 121 that accounted for up to 60% of the company in January month by the north of the net buy funds, the total reference amount of 26.1 billion yuan of buy, accounting for the total cumulative net inflow of 112.5 billion yuan of A shares in January total more than two! The company's business is a very important part of the company's success.
Furthermore, nearly 40 companies were bought more than 100 million yuan, such as Ningde Times, LONGi green energy, sunlight power supply, JAO Technology, Trina Solar, Jereh shares, Shenhuo shares, Tianqi lithium, etc. (see Table 2).
Specifically to the individual stocks, Ningde Times, LONGi Green Energy, Sunny Power was bought the amount of the top three, respectively, 8.3 billion yuan, 3.6 billion yuan and 1.1 billion yuan. Further, the north of the funds for the phenomenon of the three positions have the same characteristics, that is, since January, "fast power". Such as since January net buy Ningde era close to 20 million shares, net buy LONGi green energy more than 80 million shares (see Figure 1, 2).
From the release of the 2022 performance forecast ceiling, Ningde Times, LONGi Green Energy, sunlight power supply forecast 97.72%, 71.00% and 140.00% respectively. And in the foreign capital position, performance increase at the same time, the head of the company's share price also opened the "bottoming out" mode, since January, the above three companies' share price rose more than 10%, of which, Ningde era, sunlight power supply rose close to 15%.
In the focus on increasing the position of the target, the north of the funds are also some "choice". It is mainly locked in the new energy automobile, photovoltaic field of the head of the company. In addition to the Ningde Times, LONGi green energy, sunlight power supply, the north of the funds to increase positions in the front of the company also includes a number of new energy companies, such as JingAo Technology, Trina Solar, Goodyear, jingsheng mechatronics and so on. According to statistics, since January 2023, northbound funds net buy electrical equipment (mainly new energy field companies) 43.1 billion yuan, for the Shenwan 28 major industries first (see Figure 3).
The collective rebound of new energy headline companies today is based on the previous year-long or even two years of continuous adjustment. Now, in the performance of the substantial increase, foreign investment, the new energy sector opportunities have "re" appeared?
For the new energy sector, the broker's attitude is relatively optimistic. since January, electrical (force) equipment, electric new (power equipment and new energy) industry by CITIC Securities, Industrial Securities, Haitong Securities, Tianfeng Securities, Galaxy Securities and other dozens of brokerage firms piled up recommendations.
For the direction of new energy vehicles, Southwest Securities said, Ningde Times and other companies with promising performance forecasts, short-term look at the valuation of the new energy vehicle plate is at a low level, is expected to further rebound. But it also pointed out that in the long run, lithium supply is still a bottleneck, the possibility of the plate opportunity is low, it is recommended to pay attention to the technology turnover and production capacity of the tight link of the opportunity.
Galaxy Securities said that as silicon enters a downward cycle, the PV industry chain profits into the redistribution stage. 2023 the vast majority of companies will see varying degrees of improvement in profitability.
Lin Yuan also focus on performance and new energy
Just layout the following 7 performance preview shares
Recently, a number of new stocks listed soon also disclosed the 2022 performance preview announcements, such as the Fosda, the British side of the software, Xinlei shares, is expected to realize the full-year Net profit pre-increase ceiling of 12.38%, 42.94%, 49.02% respectively. In addition, still too much science and technology and Chuanning biological also increased 147.30% and 269.00% respectively.
In these top-performing stocks announced results behind the preview, there are investment big brother Lin Yuan's figure.
According to incomplete statistics show that in the last three months, Lin Yuan investment **** use more than 200 funds to participate in the new. Among them, Lin Yuan Investment 21 was allocated the highest amount of 2,193,600 yuan,*** was allocated 42 shares. Further, Lin Yuan Investment 21 in the last month *** allocated 8 stocks, and all released the 2022 performance forecast, from the forecast ceiling, 7 stocks performance increase, including the above mentioned Fosda, the British software, still too much science and technology and Chuanning biological and so on (see Table 3).
In the forest garden investment 21 to participate in the new company, was allocated the highest amount of more than 100,000 yuan Chuanning biological, Chuanning biological is also one of the performance forecast increase in the highest range of companies. Chuanning biological main business for the bio-fermentation industry, according to its said, benefited from the main product sales prices to maintain high, operating results were stable growth, 2022 performance forecast increase of 381,915,000 yuan to 411,001,900 yuan, an increase of 243% to 269%. The company recently revealed that the current production of ursodeoxycholic acid crude, with a production capacity of about 120 tons / year, is applying for ursodeoxycholic acid registration GMP certification, to be certified will become an API.
From the point of view of the company has been listed and traded, still too much science and technology since January, the highest share price increase, reached nearly 40% (see Figure 4). Still too much science and technology main business for lithium battery anode materials, belonging to the current intensive disclosure of the performance of the new energy field. Shang too science and technology in January 20 released results forecast, benefited from the company's negative electrode materials sales revenue increased significantly, negative electrode materials, the main raw material prices rose and other factors, 2022 results increased 128,000,000 yuan ~ 1344,000,000 yuan, up 135.52% ~ 147.30%.
However, the number of shares and the amount of shares allocated to ShangTaiTech by Lin Yuan Investment No. 21 New Hitting are less. According to the first offline placement results disclosed by Shang Tai Technology, including Lin Yuan Investment 21, Lin Yuan Investment 24, Lin Yuan Investment 35 and other funds were allocated, the number of shares were 236 shares, were allocated to invest in the funds are 0.8 million dollars.
(The stocks mentioned in the article are only analyzed as examples, not recommended for buying and selling.)