The central economic work conference is once a year?

2008 is the first year to fully implement the strategic plan of the 17th CPC National Congress, and is also the year of the implementation of the "11th Five-Year Plan". 2007 end of the Central Economic Work Conference, in the scientific analysis of the situation at home and abroad, on the basis of the pulse of the macro-economic trend, put forward to cope with new circumstances and new contradictions in the economic and social development. The Central Economic Work Conference at the end of 2007, on the basis of scientific analysis of the situation at home and abroad, put forward the measures to cope with the new situations and contradictions in the economic and social development, implemented the prudent fiscal policy and tight monetary policy, and made it the top priority of macroeconomic regulation and control to prevent the economic growth from turning from fast to overheating and the prices from structural increase to obvious inflation. And the economic work in 2008 made the overall deployment, from which we can clearly see the 2008 China's macroeconomic trend toward a good and fast direction.  Investment growth slowed down in 2008 to promote China's investment to maintain a higher rate of growth of the basic factors still exist, which is a more general view of research institutions and academics. This is because, in the case of enterprise sales revenue and profit growth is higher than the bank loan interest, the enthusiasm of enterprise investment is higher; at the same time, the enterprise own capital grows faster, for enterprises to expand investment to provide financial security. Although the central bank in the fourth quarter of 2007 resolutely control the scale of loans, but many of the year was forced to postpone the infrastructure projects will be delayed until 2008. From the aspect of national regulatory policy, in order to eliminate backward production capacity, accelerate the industrial structure of technological upgrading and energy saving and emission reduction, the need to increase the investment in advanced production capacity and energy saving and emission reduction, environmental protection facilities, investment in rural infrastructure will also increase. 2008, small house, affordable housing, low-cost housing construction projects to increase more, real estate investment has become an important force to drive investment growth. Affected by the change of government once every five years, the investment impulse of each local government in 2008 may play a certain role in fueling the growth of investment. China's industrialization and urbanization process has not yet been completed, there is still a large number of investment requirements. Therefore, it is more likely that investment growth will rebound in the first half of 2008. However, since 2007, the central bank has frequently raised interest rates, and the rising level of real interest rates will have a dampening effect on the investment behavior of enterprises. The CBRC and other regulatory authorities have increased their scrutiny of real estate loans, and the increase in the downpayment ratio for second home loans and other prudent lending policies will impose certain restrictions on the sources of funds for developers and home buyers. The policy of restricting the export of high-energy-consuming products may lead to changes in the supply, demand and price situation in these industries, and lower investment return expectations in many of them. In order to control the scale of investment in fixed assets, the Central Bank has clearly stipulated that the lending growth rate of each commercial bank shall not exceed 15% in 2008, and that any violation of lending will be penalized with punitive measures such as directed central bank bills, differential reserve ratios or fines. The role of tight monetary policy will also appear, investment demand is expected to cool down in the second half of 2008, the growth rate will slow down.  Export Trade Declines In terms of foreign trade, export growth is expected to continue to decline in 2008. The main reason is that the U.S. economic growth and the slowdown of the world economic growth rate, at the same time the speed of appreciation of the RMB accelerated, raw material prices and labor costs rise, inflation rate rise in the real exchange rate appreciation of trade exports may also have a certain negative impact on the export of export tax rebates and processing trade policy adjustments to the inhibition of exports will be further revealed. 2008 is expected to continue to improve the growth rate of imports. The main reason is that China's economy continues to maintain rapid growth, the international demand for raw materials and energy to further increase; the continued appreciation of the yuan, the promotion of imports will gradually appear; the central economic work conference to determine the "balance" of the macro-control tone, is conducive to the future growth rate of imports to improve. The central bank research bureau is expected to further decline in the growth rate of trade surplus, but will remain large-scale, estimated that the 2008 trade surplus growth of about 20%, the size of about 310 billion U.S. dollars.  Expanding consumer demand For many consecutive years, the macroeconomic boom has been relatively strong, and domestic consumption has gradually come out of the trough in the previous two years, and consumer demand will continue to be strong in 2008. Deepening the reform of the income distribution system, rationalizing the distribution of national income, raising the income level of urban and rural residents, especially increasing the income of low-income earners; establishing a mechanism for the normal growth of wages for enterprise employees and a mechanism for guaranteeing payment; increasing the number of new jobs by a relatively large amount, and perfecting the social security system; accelerating the construction of low-cost housing, improving and standardizing the system of economically affordable housing, and striving to solve the housing difficulties of low-income families in urban areas, and so on. All these initiatives will provide strong support for consumption. The State will take strong measures to improve supply, curb the rapid rise in overall prices, strengthen the production of basic necessities such as grain, edible vegetable oil, meat and other commodities in short supply, ease circulation channels, improve the reserve system, and improve the predictability of price regulation, which can effectively stabilize consumer expectations. The country will also continue to support the wholesale market system for agricultural products, agricultural circulation networks, modern food logistics and other infrastructure construction, improve the telecommunications and postal universal service mechanism, support the development of urban public **** transportation, implement and improve the food market access system; broaden the consumption of services, guide the reasonable consumption of housing and automobiles, and expand the consumption of hotspots such as communications, tourism, leisure, culture and fitness, and the upgrading of the consumer structure will continue to have a strong impact on consumption. The holding of the 2008 Olympic Games will also give a boost to sales in the domestic market, and consumer demand is expected to expand further.  Price level down International food prices, rising oil prices, the rise of bio-energy, global resource and energy prices, as well as housing prices and stock market and other asset prices is the main reason for the high prices in China since 2007, but also one of the prominent contradictions in the economic operation in 2007. However, with the gradual implementation of macro-control measures, in order to prevent prices from evolving from structural increases to obvious inflation, the State will take a variety of strong measures, such as guaranteeing supply, strengthening regulation, and reinforcing market supervision, so as to make every effort to curb the overall level of prices from rising too rapidly. On the one hand, the production of basic necessities such as grain, edible vegetable oil, meat and other commodities in short supply will be strengthened, and at the same time, the reserve system, price monitoring and market supervision will also be strengthened and perfected; on the other hand, the method of subsidizing the low-income people, who are most affected by the price rise, will be rapidly improved and implemented. According to this estimate, the third quarter of 2007 should be the peak of food price increases, after the end of the year began to fall, 2008 will continue the downward trend, consumer price increases show a steady downward trend, the price level in 2008 will certainly be lower than in 2007. However, China's resource products to speed up the pace of price adjustment, which will have an impact on the price trend of the means of production in 2008, so that the purchase price of the means of production and factory prices of industrial products increased.  Energy saving and emission reduction has been effective Energy saving and emission reduction target completion is an important standard to test the effectiveness of economic development. Although energy saving and emission reduction in 2007 has achieved initial results, but energy saving and emission reduction situation is still quite serious, to achieve the "Eleventh Five-Year Plan" put forward by the energy saving and emission reduction of binding objectives, a long way to go. 2008 to fight a good energy saving and emission reduction of the war of attrition, the protracted war, in-depth energy saving and emission reduction of all the people's action. China will speed up the introduction and implementation of energy-saving emission reduction prices, fiscal and taxation, financial and other incentives to speed up the development and implementation of energy-saving emission reduction market access standards, mandatory energy efficiency standards and environmental standards. In key industries and areas, backward production capacity will be resolutely eliminated. Through the combined effect of policies such as raising the resource tax, adjusting the export tax rebate rate, controlling financial credits, increasing financial support, setting off a storm of energy conservation and emission reduction and a strict appraisal system, the excessively rapid growth of high-energy-consuming and high-emission industries will be further curbed, and the pace of the elimination of backward production capacity will be further accelerated. In accordance with the principle of compensating for the cost of governance to raise the sewage charges levied on sewage disposal units, the full introduction of urban sewage treatment fees and increase the charges, increase the garbage disposal charges, energy-saving emission reduction and the promotion of new technologies and new equipment put into use, and other important initiatives will be strictly implemented, in 2008, "energy saving and emission reduction" is bound to make significant progress. Energy conservation and emission reduction" will certainly make significant progress in 2008.  Improvement of people's livelihoods Paying more attention to improving people's livelihoods is the starting and ending point of economic development. At the Central Economic Work Conference at the end of 2007, the central government put more weight on improving people's livelihood. The central government made it clear that in 2008 it must place greater emphasis on putting people first, improving people's livelihoods and promoting social harmony; it must differentiate between priorities, focus on key issues, increase investment, and gradually solve the problems of the people that are of the greatest concern, the most direct and the most realistic interests; it must implement the development strategy of expanding employment, reasonably adjust the distribution of national income, raise the income levels of urban and rural residents, and accelerate basic education, social security, public **** medical and health services, housing security and cultural services system, so that all people*** enjoy the fruits of development; so that the people can learn to teach, labor, medical care, old people have a sense of security, live in a good home ...... under a number of measures to improve people's livelihoods in a solid push, people's lives will continue to improve.