China's aging industry sectors will gradually form a synergistic development situation. The current situation is the aging service market first, aging real estate is hot, the overall development of the aging supplies market is slow, the aging financial market gradually awakening. By around 2020, the aging supplies industry and aging service industry will have better development, the aging financial industry began to try all the water, the aging real estate industry standardized development.
The Benefits Pension Platform believes that by around 2025, the four major segments will all show rapid development, but the total amount of the aging finance economy will be far more than the total amount of the aging supplies and aging services economy, and the total amount of the aging real estate economy will be difficult to estimate. Same as the development history of developed countries, China's aging finance development is lagging behind but has the advantage of latecomer, it is the core engine of China's aging industry in the future, and it is also the basic and strategic industry related to the fundamentals of macroeconomic operation, it can also be industrial financing for the development of the two major segments, namely, aging supplies and aging services. Whether it is the state or the enterprise group, in the development of the aging industry must establish the strategic concept of mixed operation, the real economy and the virtual economy, both the real and virtual economy, both the aging supplies, aging services and aging real estate, but also the aging of the financial sector, only with the cooperation of the two hands, in order to maintain the benign operation of the enterprise, the industry and the national economy as a whole.
2, the construction of elderly care service system will continue to be the focus of future developmentThe fourth China urban and rural sample survey of the living conditions of the elderly data show that in 2015, the country's disabled, semi-disabled elderly 40.63 million people, accounting for 18.3% of the elderly population; the elderly population of the elderly (80 years old and above) accounted for 13.9%, reaching 31 million. Their current demand for senior care services has come to the fore, with higher requirements for a range of senior care services such as facilities, medical care and nursing care. It is expected that by 2026, as the younger elderly born in the 1940s and 1950s move collectively into their senior years, the elderly care industry sector in China will develop unprecedented care pressure. However, the current state of development of China's elderly care system is still quite weak, with elderly care institutions maintaining the traditional pattern of focusing on the protection of basic life, mainly for the healthy elderly, and mainly for the poor.
As of the end of 2015 China's 3,581,000 beds in elderly care institutions, the year-end intake of the elderly 2,147,000 people, received only 637,000 disabled and semi-disabled elderly people, accounting for only 29.7% of the overall intake, indicating that care beds are still insufficient. Meanwhile, in terms of talent development, there are only 300,000 elderly caregivers nationwide.
According to the "General Office of the State Council on the Comprehensive Liberalization of the Elderly Services Market to Enhance the Quality of Elderly Services" (State Council [2016] No. 91) and other documents about "tilting the elderly care resources to the disabled and semi-disabled elderly, and further expanding the resources of nursing care services," in 2017, China In 2017, China will also implement an action-oriented strategy to promote the construction of an elderly care service system, and step up the construction of an elderly care service system that includes an elderly care workforce, education and training in elderly care, technical standards for elderly care, facilities for elderly care, elderly care policies, and an elderly care management system and operation mechanism, so as to satisfy the needs of the elderly for care that meets their physical and mental characteristics.
3, around 2025 will form a good situation of supply and demandFuture, China's aging industry market supply will be more abundant. Currently, due to only part of the rigid effective demand, the supply impulse of the aging industry is suppressed by the huge amount of invalid demand. With the rapid growth of rigid effective demand, it is expected that around 2020, huge market supply will be released, and the contradiction between supply and demand in the aging industry market will be eased, but still lurking huge supply impulse and fully released around 2025 with the arrival of the golden blowout period. The focus of attention is to track the changing dynamics of effective and rigid demand to design the development strategy and operational strategy of the industry, especially important is the development of effective industrial chain under the guidance of the strategy of rigid and effective demand, cultivate mature industry, in order to meet the arrival of the golden blowout period to make full preparation.