Butterfly effect frog phenomenon crocodile law catfish effect sheep effect hedgehog law
Watch law broken window theory two-eight law barrel theory Matthew effect
01-Butterfly effect:
Butterfly effect: the 1970s, the United States of America, a meteorologist named Lorenz in the explanation of the air system theory that the occasional vibration of the wings of a butterfly in the Amazon rainforest might cause a tornado in Texas, USA, two weeks later.
The butterfly effect is the idea that very small changes in initial conditions that are constantly amplified can make an extremely large difference to their future state. Some small things can be muddled, and some small things, if amplified by the system, are so important to an organization or a country that they cannot be muddled.
Management insights
Today's businesses are also affected by the "butterfly effect". Consumers increasingly believe in feeling, so brand consumption, shopping environment, service attitude ...... these intangible values will become their choice of factors. So as long as a little attention, we will not be difficult to see, some standardized management, good operation of the company in their company philosophy will appear in this sentence:
"In your statistics, treatment of 100 customers, only one dissatisfied, so you can proudly say that only 1% of the unqualified, but for the customer, he got 100% of the dissatisfaction."
"The minute you treat a customer poorly, it takes the company 10 times or more to remedy the situation."
"You represent the company in the eyes of the customer."
Today, the "butterflies" that can change a company's fortunes are far more than just the "hand of planning," with news of China Unicom's entry into the telecom race, private firms' contracting of railroad trains, and foreign firms' participation in bus competition in Nanjing. Enterprises sit without worrying about the monopoly position of the increasingly weak, open competition so that enterprises have to consider a variety of potential factors affecting the development.
Measures such as streamlining organizations, laying off officials and abolishing welfare housing have led more and more people to move away from traditional security, and with it to rely on themselves to decide their own destiny. The result of the free combination of organizations and individuals is that whoever catches the "butterflies" that are good for life will not be abandoned by society.
02-Frog Phenomenon
Frog Phenomenon: If you put a frog directly into a pot of hot water, it will quickly jump out of the pot because it is very sensitive to adverse environmental reactions. If you put a frog into a pot of cold water and slowly increase the temperature, the frog will not jump out of the pot immediately; the gradual increase of the water temperature will end up with the frog being boiled to death because by the time the water temperature is too high for the frog to tolerate it will be too late, or incapable, to jump out of the pot.
The frog phenomenon tells us that some sudden events are often easy to arouse people's alertness, but what is easy to cause people's death is that in the case of feeling good about oneself, there is no conscious awareness of the gradual deterioration of the actual situation.
Revelation:
One of the revelations is that the main threats to the survival of our organizations and societies do not come from sudden events, but from slow, gradual and imperceptible processes. People are short-sighted, they only see the local, but not the big picture, and they can face the sudden changes calmly, but they can't notice the big changes that are happening quietly, which will eventually bring us more serious harms!
The second part of the revelation is: frogs, as if they were all the people in our lives, we have to focus on the future, think hard about new issues, learn hard about new knowledge, and not to live a life of "today's wine, today's drunkenness" and "when a day of monks, a day of bells! "The life of drunkenness and sleeplessness will be very sad in the end!
The third revelation is: today's society, is a knowledge explosion, the era of rapid change, knowledge also needs to be constantly updated, so we should not be obsessed with the status quo, the status quo, do not think about making progress, if this goes on, it will certainly be eliminated by the times, but also face the danger of unemployment!
The fourth revelation is: we should not simply, can only face the sudden danger, and ignore the slow and tiny danger, because, that slow and tiny danger, is the most terrible!
03- The Law of the Crocodile
The Law of the Crocodile: The original idea is to assume that a crocodile bites your foot, and if you use your hand to try to break free of your foot, the crocodile will bite your foot and hand at the same time. The more you struggle, the more you are bitten. So, in case the crocodile bites your foot, your only recourse is to sacrifice one foot.
For example, in the stock market, the crocodile law is: when you find yourself trading away from the direction of the market, you must stop immediately, without any delay, without any chance.
04-Catfish Effect
Previously, the survival rate of sardines was very low during transportation. Later, some people found that if they put a catfish in the sardines, the situation was improved and the survival rate would be greatly increased. The company's newest product is a catfish, a catfish that has been used in a number of different ways.
Originally, catfish in a strange environment, will be "impatient", swimming around, which for a large number of sardines, undoubtedly play a stirring role; and sardines found more of such a "foreign molecule", natural The sardines are also very nervous and speed up their swimming. In this way, the problem of lack of oxygen will be solved, and the sardines will not die.
When an organization's work reaches a more stable state, it often means that employees' motivation to work is reduced, and the collective of "a group of peace" is not necessarily a high-efficiency collective, and this time the "catfish effect" will play a good role in the "medical" effect. "Medical" role. An organization, if there is always a "catfish" characters, will undoubtedly activate the workforce, improve performance.
"Catfish effect" is one of the effective measures to stimulate the vitality of the leadership of the enterprise. It is manifested in two aspects, one is the enterprise to continue to add fresh blood, those rich in vitality, quick-witted young force into the workforce and even management, to those who are stuck in the old ways, the old-fashioned laziness of the staff and bureaucrats to bring the pressure of competition, in order to arouse the "sardines" of the survival of the awareness of the competition and the heart of the win. Second, we must constantly introduce new technologies, new techniques, new equipment, new management concepts, so that enterprises in the market tide to fight the wind and waves, and enhance the ability to survive and adapt.
On the application of catfish effect, there are catfish effect in human resource management, the application of leadership activities, including the establishment of competition mechanism, the enablement of capable people, the leadership style of change and so on. However, the author believes that the catfish effect analysis and application is much more than these. Thinking about different perspectives of the problem, the discovery of the problem, the solution to the problem is different.
First, if the catfish ontology represents the leader.
Leader that influences others to complete the task of the individual or collective, in the dead sardine box, the sardines symbolize a number of homogeneous group of people with similar skill levels, lack of innovation and initiative, people floating, inefficient, the whole organization is a bloated state, and the arrival of the catfish leader (or the internal sardines evolved into catfish). The new officer took three fires, rectify the discipline, standardize the system, transform the process, rational allocation of positions and people, money and materials, and gradually the organization's operation has taken off, the cost is reduced, the bloated organization is simplified, the incompetent sardines are eaten, driven away, capable sardines get positive incentives so that the whole organization presents a thriving scene, under the leadership of the catfish leader, the vitality of the entire organization are Under the leadership of the catfish leader, the vitality of the whole organization is mobilized, thus making the collective power stronger, and the occupation and retention of the market have a solid foundation.
From this point of view, the catfish leader should have the following qualities:
1-Doing decisive work, thunder and wind: quickly find the organization stagnation of the disease, and be able to quickly cut through the mess, quickly and effectively solve the problem.
2-Talking the talk, strong style: scientific decision-making, and able to monitor the implementation of decisions, timely assessment of the effectiveness of policy.
3-Advocacy of innovation, result-oriented: advocating innovation, shaping an atmosphere that encourages innovation, and reflecting innovative ideas and the benefits of innovation in terms of business processes, job design, staff recruitment and staffing, payroll design, and appraisal.
4-Achievement needs, forward-looking vision: there are short-, medium- and long-term development plans and goals, able to foresee the direction of organizational development and the gap between the existing human resources and the future, able to effectively identify future talents and cut down the drag-footed personnel who are not suitable for organizational development.
5-System perspective, dare to change: able to observe the changes in the structure and function of the organizational system from inside and outside the system, both as part of the organization (as opposed to the fisherman, catfish leader itself is also a sardine, the fisherman is the leader), but also as a leader in a small system, able to drive the workforce to open up the situation, break the routine, and achieve good results.
For the group of workers under the leadership of the leader in order to *** the same goal, if the leader has catfish characteristics, then the way to survive is to move, stimulate their own energy, at least to synchronize the speed with the catfish, and to ensure that the same direction (corporate goals), so as not to be caught up by the catfish and eaten, or other sardines squeezed to the end of the suffocation.
Secondly, if the catfish represents a member of the team.
Then it means new, strange, different, including different points of view, behavioral differences, habits are very different, just because of the different, will stimulate the wisdom of a team needs different personalities, different skills, different work experience to join the team, if they are all the same color staff, then the team to produce whimsical, the possibility of generating high performance is negligible. In the focus on team building, committed to team communication today, appropriate to attract some catfish to join the team, the whole team will bring a lively working atmosphere, bring innovation, bring a win-win situation. But the number of catfish should be controlled, all catfish, the whole team will appear "each is a hero, the whole is a bear" phenomenon, because each catfish want to insist on their own point of view, cooperation and communication does not exist, the whole team on the pandemonium, so some companies in Japan believes that "First-class managers, second-rate employees," the credo, since a catfish can lead a group of fish flopping and stirring, there is no need to put the second one, a mountain can not be two tigers is also such a reason. From this point of view, the catfish molecules in the team should focus on benign communication, the influence of the molding, other employees to treat the catfish in the team, but also in the work of the basis of their enhanced cooperation.
Once again, if the catfish represent the content of the work that makes people come to the table.
Now in many companies, the organizational structure and work design is still a process of transformation of a major issue, unreasonable, boring, no prospects, monotonous and boring work content so that people feel like a bucket of crowded sardines with no passion, are not willing to think more in the post more improvement, so that the slow formation of collective inertia. If the catfish effect of work expansion and enrichment can be applied to job design (Jobdesigning), the financial contribution to the organization is also obvious. How do you put the active, passionate catfish into a stagnant pool of work? This is a tricky subject, some people advocate from the horizontal and vertical expansion of the scope of work, deepen the content of work, so that employees experience a wealth of work activities, feel the achievements of hard work, so that they embody the face of challenging, come to the work of excitement and desire; some people advocate the use of rotating the way to grow the talents of employees, so that they work in the catfish more and more joyful swim; I advocate the application of the above measures At the same time also pay attention to the matching of human and job character, catfish should do catfish things, sardines should do sardine things, jobs both catfish and sardine work content, the most important thing is to find out the staff's preferences, to see that those who work to allow them to produce catfish motivation and passion, only to match the aftermath of the catfish effect can really play its role, or else, although the setting of the The catfish work content, but found that this kind of work simply can not let the staff for it, for the struggle, then this catfish will become a dead fish.
From this point of view, the work of the catfish on behalf of the rich content of the work, the responsibility of the right to come to vigor, full of challenges to the work of the expectations of the fresh experience of other positions, and so on. For leaders and human resource managers, whether to set up catfish work at work and at what level will be a strategic issue for the organization.
In summary, from different perspectives, the catfish represents different content, for a practitioner, the leader may be a catfish, then your efforts are best to maintain the same direction with the organization, do not swim backward, otherwise there is a risk of being eaten, always passionate about upstream, and perhaps someday you have become a catfish, driving a group of sardines upward to struggle; your colleagues may also be a catfish, that is! And he may be a catfish, then compete to see who flopped more energy; your subordinates may also have catfish, then inspire the subordinates to grow at the same time, don't forget to give yourself a charge, to maintain a strong momentum of development, otherwise you also have to be eaten by the subordinates of the danger of your work; your work may also be a catfish, then a reasonable arrangement of their work, divided into priorities, so that the catfish work more and more joyful swim, it is best to go to the upper tier of the workplace to stir up! I'm not sure if you're a catfish, but I'm not a catfish.
05-The Effect of Sheep Flock
The Effect of Sheep Flock: Where the first sheep go, the sheep behind them go.
Sheep Flock effect is a term used in stock investment, which mainly refers to the phenomenon of learning and imitation of investors in the trading process, "modeling", blindly follow others, which leads them to buy and sell the same stocks in a certain period of time.
The Effect of Sheep Flock (The Effect of Sheep Flock)
Placing a stick in front of a group of sheep, the first sheep jumped over, the second, the third will also follow the jump over; at this time, remove the stick, the back of the sheep, go here, still like the front of the sheep, jumped upward, even though the stick is no longer blocking the way, this is the so-called "Sheep Flock". This is the so-called "herd effect" also known as "herd mentality". It is a common phenomenon that refers to the market behavior of some enterprises in management. It refers to the lack of information and lack of understanding, investors are difficult to make a reasonable expectation of the future uncertainty of the market, often by observing the behavior of the surrounding crowd and extracting information, in the continuous transmission of information, many people's information will be roughly the same and each other to strengthen, thus producing the herd behavior. The "herd effect" is a non-linear mechanism of collective irrational behavior caused by individual rational behavior.
Sheep behavior is a typical phenomenon in the field of behavioral finance, which cannot be explained by mainstream financial theory. In economics, the "herd effect" is often used to describe the herd mentality of economic individuals. The flock is a very loose organization, usually together is also blindly left and right, but once a head of the sheep move up, the other sheep will also unthinkingly rush, completely ignoring the front may be a wolf or not far away from a better grass. Therefore, the "herd effect" is a metaphor for people have a herd mentality, the herd mentality is easy to lead to blind obedience, and blind obedience is often caught in a scam or failure.
The herd effect is generally seen in a very competitive industry, and the industry has a leader (the leader) occupies the main attention, then the whole flock will continue to copy the leader's every move, the leader of the sheep to where to go to "graze", the other sheep also go to where the The first is the "Gold Rush".
06-Hedgehog's Law
Hedgehog's Law: two sleepy hedgehogs, due to the cold and embraced together. But because of the spines on each of them, they left a distance, but the cold was too much for them, so they came together. After a few tussles, the two hedgehogs finally found the right distance: one where they could get each other's warmth without getting stuck.
Application of Hedgehog's Law
Hedgehog's Law mainly refers to the "psychological distance effect" in interpersonal communication.
French President Charles de Gaulle is a very good use of the law of the hedgehog. He had a motto: "Keep a certain distance"! This also profoundly affected his relationship with his advisors, think-tanks and staff. During his more than a decade of presidency, none of his advisors and think-tanks, such as the Secretariat, the Executive Office, and the private staff, had more than two years of service. He always said to the new Chief of Staff, "I'm using you for two years, and just as one can't make a career out of a staff job, you can't make a career out of being Chief of Staff." That was de Gaulle's rule. This rule was for two reasons: first, in his view, mobility was normal and fixity was abnormal. This was influenced by the practice of the army, which was mobile and not always fixed in one place. Secondly, he did not want "these people" to become "inseparable" from him. This shows that de Gaulle was a leader who lived mainly by his own thinking and decisions, and he did not allow to have people around him who could never be separated from him. Only mobilization, to maintain a certain distance, and only to maintain a certain distance, to ensure that the thinking and decisions of advisers and staff of fresh and full of vitality, but also can eliminate the long years of advisers and staff of the president and the government in the name of fraud.
De Gaulle's approach is thought-provoking and admirable. There is no sense of distance, leadership decision-making overly dependent on the secretary or a few people, easy to make the think-tank staff interference, and then make these people under the name of leadership, seeking their own personal interests, and finally pull the leading cadres down, the consequences are very dangerous. Comparison of the two, or to maintain a certain distance good.
General Electric Company
General Electric's former president Stone in the work of the hedgehog theory is very careful to pay attention to the body, especially in the treatment of middle and senior managers is more so. In the workplace and the treatment of the issue, Stone never stinted on the care of managers, but in the spare time, he never asked managers to home guests, but also never accept their invitations. It is this kind of management to maintain a moderate distance, so that the general business can sesame seed blossom high. Keep a certain distance from the staff, neither will make you high above, nor will make you and the staff confuse each other's identity. This is an optimal state of management. The distance is maintained by a certain principle, which is the same for all: it binds both the leader himself and his employees. Master this principle, and you have mastered the secret of successful management.
From Good to Great
In the book From Good to Great, author Collins reinterprets the hedgehog theory. It means that no matter what the fox tries to do to plot against the hedgehog, all the hedgehog has to do is shrink up and there is nothing the fox can do. This shows that a company can easily cope with whatever changes in the market and rivals and achieve rapid growth as long as it finds a simple and effective development model.
07-Watch Law: Watch Law
Watch Law: Watch Law refers to the fact that a person can know what time it is when he has one watch, but he can't be sure when he has two watches at the same time. Two watches do not tell a person a more accurate time, but instead cause the person looking at the watch to lose confidence in the accurate time.
The law of the watch gives us a very intuitive inspiration in business management, that is, the same person or the same organization can not be used at the same time two different methods, can not be set at the same time two different goals, and even each person can not be commanded by the two people at the same time, otherwise it will make the enterprise or individual at a loss.
Fable
The Monkey and the Table
There was a group of monkeys living in the forest, every day when the sun rose they went out to forage for food, and when the sun went down they went back to rest, and the days were uneventful and happy.
A tourist traveling through the forest left his watch on a rock under a tree, which was picked up by a monkey named Mangko. The clever "Mangco" soon figured out the purpose of the watch, and "Mangco" became the star of the whole monkey group. Every monkey asks Mangko for the exact time, and the whole group's schedule is planned by Mangko. "As the monkeys' schedules are planned by Mangko, the monkeys are able to build up their reputation and become the king of the monkeys.
Thinking that the watch has brought him luck, he patrols the forest every day, hoping to find more watches. The monkey's success is not lost on him, and Mangko gets a second and third watch.
But Mango has a new problem: each watch tells a different time, so which one is the exact time? "Mangco was stumped by this problem. When one of his subordinates asks for the time, Mangko stumbles over the answer, and the whole group's routine becomes confused. After a while, the monkeys rebelled and pushed Mangko off the throne, and Mangko's collection was taken over by the new monkey king. But soon, the new monkey king is faced with the same confusion as Mangko.
This is the famous "law of the watch": with only one watch, you can tell the time; with two or more, you can't tell what time it is. More watches don't tell the time more accurately; they make the person looking at them lose confidence in the accuracy of the time.
The Law of Watches
The Law of Watches brings us a very intuitive inspiration:
No one can have two different goals for any one thing at the same time, or else one will be at a loss; and no one can have two different values at the same time, or else one's behavior will be in chaos.
A person cannot be commanded by more than two people, or the person will be at a loss; for an enterprise, it is even more important not to use two different management methods at the same time, or the enterprise will not be able to develop.
In this regard, the merger of America Online and Time Warner is a typical case of failure. America Online is a young Internet company, the corporate culture emphasizes the flexibility of operation, rapid decision-making, and requires everything to serve the goal of rapid market capture. Time Warner has built a culture that emphasizes honesty and innovation over its long history.
After the merger of the two companies, senior management did not resolve the conflict between the two value standards well, leading to complete confusion among employees about the future direction of the company. In the end, the marriage of the century between Time Warner and America Online ended in failure. This also fully illustrates that, to figure out the time, a watch with accurate timekeeping is enough.
Choose only the one you think is right
Two watches don't tell a person a more accurate time; instead, they make the person looking at the watch lose confidence in the accurate time. All you have to do is choose the more trustworthy of the two, calibrate it as best you can, and use that as your standard for acting on its guidance.
Nietzsche famously said, "Brother, if you are lucky, you just have to have a moral and not be greedy for more, so that it will be easier for you to cross the bridge." If everyone "chooses what you love, loves what you choose", no matter success or failure can be peace of mind. However, what bothers many people is that they are "two watches" to get confused, exhausted, do not know which one they should believe.
There are also people who, under pressure from the environment or from others, choose a path that they don't like against their will, and they live with it for the rest of their lives. Even when they have achieved something noteworthy, they do not experience the joy of success.
Life lessons
In real life, we often encounter similar situations. For example, two elective courses are of interest to you, but the lecture time overlaps, and you don't have enough energy to learn two courses well, this time it is difficult for you to make a choice. You will also have a hard time deciding between two boys who are equally good at what they do and who are equally attracted to you.
When choosing a career, the location and treatment of the two units are not equal, what will you do? At every crossroads in life, we have to face the "fish and bear arms" of the anguish.
In the face of contradictory choices, we recommend the use of "fuzzy psychology". The so-called "fuzzy psychology" is a difficult decision-making situation, the subconscious mind as the main tone, to make a choice in line with the subconscious mind.
Psychological research has shown that "fuzzy psychology" is actually a kind of psychological deposition accumulated by people in the process of growing up. You may not be able to name a clear reason, but through the subconscious mind, you can generally make the decision that best meets your individual psychological needs. The subconscious mind is actually what we call first impressions. The "fuzzy mind" provides us with the safest psychological protection in the face of conflicting choices, and is therefore worth promoting.
Core concept: More choices, more standards, more confusion.
Application tips: clear goals, no interference; know how to make choices and let go when it's time to let go.
Application areas: social life, business operations.
08-Break Pane Law
Break Pane Theory: If a house has a broken window and no one is there to fix it, the other windows will be broken somehow; a wall, if some graffiti is not cleaned, the wall will soon be covered with messy and unpleasant things; a very clean place, people are ashamed to throw garbage, but once the ground is clean, people will be ashamed to throw garbage. People are embarrassed to throw garbage, but once there is garbage on the ground after the appearance of people will not hesitate to throw, not the slightest sense of shame.
Broken Window Theory1
Also known as the "Broken Window Fallacy," it originated as a metaphor in a pamphlet by a scholar named Hazlitt (some people believe that the theory was summarized by the French 19th-century economist, Bassiard, as a target for criticism; see his famous essay, "The Seen and the Unseen"). "). This Hazlitt says that if a child breaks a window, it will inevitably lead to the window breaker replacing the glass, which will cause the people who install the glass and the people who produce the glass to start work, thus boosting social employment.
Here, scholars are to illustrate the consequences of children's behavior versus the government's behavior, thus completely rejecting the Keynesian policy of government intervention. The "broken windows theory" is a classic case of "destruction creates wealth". It seems appropriate to apply this fallacy to floods, to earthquakes, to wars.
Break Pane Theory 2
Also known as the Break Pane Law
A broken window, if not repaired, will lead to more windows being broken, or even the entire building being demolished.
The Broken Window Theory, based on the observations of Wilson, an American political scientist, and Kaelin, a criminologist, points out that the environment can be highly suggestive and seductive to a person.
09-The Law of Two or Eight: Pareto principle
The Law of Two or Eight (Pareto's Law): According to Pareto, an Italian economist of the late 19th and early 20th centuries, the most important of any group of things is only a small part of it, about 20%, and the rest of the 80%, though the majority, is of secondary importance. About 80% of society's wealth is concentrated in the hands of 20% of the people, while 80% of the people own only 20% of society's wealth. This statistical imbalance is ubiquitous in society, the economy and life in general, and is known as the law of two-eight.
The law of two or eight tells us not to analyze, deal with and look at the problem on average, business operations and management to seize the key minority; to find out those who can bring 80% of the profits of the enterprise, the total amount of only 20% of the key customers, strengthen the service, to achieve twice the result with half the effort; business leaders should be carefully classified and analyzed the work, the main energy to spend on the solution of the main problems, to grasp the main project.
20% of people are successful ------------------80% of people are unsuccessful
20% of people make money above the neck --------80% of people make money below the neck
20% of people think positively --------------80% of people think negatively
20% of people buy Time ----------------80% of people sell time
20% of people get a good employee ----------80% of people get a good job
20% of people dominate others --------------80% of people are dominated by people
20% of people do business ----------- -----80% of people do things
20% of people value experience --------------80% of people value education
20% of people believe that action is what gets results ------80% of people believe that knowledge is power
20% of people what do I have to do to get money ------80% of people I have to get money what do I have to do
20% of people love to invest ----------------80% of people love to shop
20% of people have goals ----------------80% of people love to think blindly
20% of people look for answers in questions --------80% of people look for questions in answers
20% of people are looking at the long term ------------80% of people are only concerned with the immediate
20% of people seize opportunities --------------80% of people miss opportunities
20% of people plan for the future --------------80% of people get up in the morning and think about what they are going to do today
20% of people act on their successes- -------80% do what they want
20% do the simple things ----------80% don't want to do the simple things
20% do tomorrow's things today ------80% do today's things tomorrow
How 20% can do it ------------ 80% of people can't do it
20% of people take notes ----------------80% of people have good forgetfulness
20% of people are influenced by successful people --------80% of people are influenced by failures
20% of people are in great shape --------------80% of people have bad attitudes
20% believe they will succeed --------------80% are unwilling to change their circumstances
20% are forever praising and encouraging --------------80% are forever ranting and criticizing
20% will persist --------------80% will give up