Oxford University predicts: in the next 10 years, 25 kinds of occupations disappeared, nearly half of the people unemployed, really

Recently, two pieces of news in Shanghai once again caused people to discuss artificial intelligence:

On September 24th, Ant Group's intelligent financial management "AI" Zhi Xiaobao made its debut on the Bund in Shanghai, fully interacting and communicating with the audience, providing professional financial knowledge and advice.

On September 20, in a business building in Shanghai, seven fat robots shuttled back and forth, and became the "baton" of the delivery boy, and customers can accurately pick up their meals as long as they enter the receipt code on the robot's head through the cell phone program.

No coincidence.

September 17, Baidu Apollo joint Golden Dragon, launched the first L4-level self-driving bus in Chongqing, has passed the self-driving manned test, will be open to traffic in the near future.

It is foreseeable that in the near future, labor-intensive couriers, taxi drivers, bus drivers, and manufacturing, medical and other industries in which a lot of mechanical manipulation of the work will be replaced, millions of people face unemployment layoffs.

As predicted by the famous Oxford Economy research team at the University of Oxford, about half of the existing 702 occupations will disappear, and 47% of all employed people are "at risk".

Even more worrying is that, as early as 2013, Japan developed robots that can match human intelligence, which, in addition to being super-computational and super-fast, also perform well in terms of common sense judgment and reading comprehension.

So how will we face the coming industrial revolution? How can we have a place in the future without being replaced by the tide of the times?

This book, When Artificial Intelligence Tests at Top Schools, will tell you the answer.

The author of this book, Noriko Arai, is a renowned Japanese mathematician and TED speaker who led the world-famous "Robot Examining Tohoku University" artificial intelligence research project.

After the book was published, it shocked all of Japan, and major TV stations, newspapers, and online media reported on it, and a variety of awards were given, the most awesome of which was the 2019 Business Book Award, and more than 300,000 copies were sold that year.

Do you know what our most common intelligent robot is?

Maybe you'd say a floor-sweeping robot, a little bank AI assistant, a restaurant usher, an automated answering machine, a smart surgeon, and so on.

Actually, that's not entirely true.

This intelligent robot we deal with it every day, can be said to be inseparable good friends, many people open their eyes the first thought is it, before going to bed is it, life is the most can not be less or it.

Yes, it is the cell phone.

The popularity of smartphones has brought artificial intelligence into the daily lives of all of us. Walking down the street, you can see people everywhere using their phones to find out where the best restaurants are or the nearest parking lot.

No matter when, where, or how you want to go, Baidu Maps on your cell phone inputs the start and end points, and the optimized and time-saving routes are immediately presented, and even the real-time road conditions are all clear at a glance.

Just bought the chicken, duck, fish, ribs, and high-grade matsutake mushrooms, cordyceps saffron, etc., as long as the cell phone a check, cooking methods, medicinal value, food taboos a clear.

The New Year's Eve festival no way home, can not be reunited with loved ones, unlike the original letter to be very slow, call can only hear the voice, the video link to solve all the troubles, face-to-face nagging became a reality.

Will not do the homework, want to idolize the information, as well as the odd question, are on the phone to find the answer, the more amazing is that intelligent robots can also be like people, to participate in the university exams.

In 2016, the robot of the University of the East in the comprehensive academic mapping mock exam in June, the deviation value of 8 subjects in 5 subjects was 57.1, of which the deviation value of mathematics was as high as 76.2, and the world history was 66.3, and even the examination of grammar, conversation, general knowledge, reading, comprehension, and expression skills of English and language have been around 50.

Do you know what a deviation of 57.1 means?

It means that the Tohoku University robots have more than 80% probability of being admitted to 535 excellent universities, which make up 70% of the 765 universities in Japan, including top universities such as MARCH as well as Sekiwa Doshinshu.

It is important to know that many people who study hard for 15 years may not be able to achieve such results, and some may not even be able to get into the threshold of the 70% of the excellent universities, not to mention the 80% acceptance rate.

According to the Ministry of Education data over the years, the number of candidates for the national college entrance examination each year is about 9.4 million, and the number of undergraduate enrollment is only about 3.7 million, which means that the undergraduate acceptance rate is only 40%.

It can be said that the current level of technology, intelligent robots have left a lot of people far behind, do not have to go to the future, now robots robbed the job.

Remember that big layoff at Foxconn in 2016?

In May 2016, Foxconn's Kunshan branch in Jiangsu province utilized robotics to shrink 110,000 employees to 50,000 overnight, with 60,000 people having their jobs replaced by robots.

So the disappearance of certain jobs as a result of the introduction of AI technology is not a recent phenomenon; it has long been in our lives and affecting them.

In the financial world, the emergence of intelligent robots and cell phones has long eliminated the need to go to the counter to open an account, financial management or transfer business, and in the case of bank lending, intelligent robots are more professional and stronger than the analysis of creditors.

In the medical world, intelligent robots have long been due to minimally invasive treatment in most areas of surgery, including oncology, thoracic surgery, obstetrics and gynecology, urology, and cardiac surgery.

In the legal world, many intelligent robots have been hired to handle contract audits, and most importantly, to be more rational and neutral than humans, with no personal emotional attachment.

The Dalian Municipal Bureau of Justice introduced an intelligent robot "Xiao Si" with more than 400,000 laws and regulations, which can more accurately help the parties to calculate the litigation costs, compensation for injuries at work, traffic compensation, and attorney's fees.

In the press, in 2006, the U.S. Thomson was the first to use robots to write economic and financial press releases, and Xinhua News Agency's "Quick Pen Xiao Xin" has realized the deep integration of editorial business and technology, and is used to write newsletters and newsletters on sports events, economic quotes, and securities information.

In the catering industry, Haidilao's intelligent service robots, a single run 140 times / day, transport 280 trays, 24 hours a day, far more than the workload of manual labor, the key to it can also stir fry, three minutes can be served out of delicious dishes.

For example, 25 professions such as telephone promoters, real estate registration audits and investigations, insurance industry practitioners, tax filing agents, librarians' assistants, data entry clerks, and sports sports referees will cease to exist in 10 to 20 years due to the development of artificial intelligence.

And Noriko Arai predicts that in the next 20 years or less, not only will blue-collar workers face a huge challenge, but the white-collar workforce will be reduced by 50%, which is far worse than we can imagine.

It's safe to say that smart robots will bring more new careers than we can predict.

Of course, as powerful as AI is, it's still a technology, just like the microwave oven, with its unfathomable potential and inherent limitations as a technology.

So no matter how sophisticated AI becomes, even if it's loaded with deep-learning software that's far superior to what's out there, it's still just computers at the end of the day.

All a computer can do is compute, and it needs to convert human perceptions, or what humans perceive to be human perceptions, into arithmetic based on mathematical algorithms so that it can do its work quickly and efficiently.

But not all problems in the world can be converted into equations, just as in everyday life, the same sentence can mean very different things in different tones and contexts.

For example: okay! Two words.

If you say it with a smile, it's not just good, it's actually very good; if you say it with exhaustion, it's not good at all, it's probably very bad; if you say it with no expression at all, it's very likely that it has four meanings: very good, good, average, bad.

Exactly which meaning depends on the situation of the interlocutor, and you can only really read the meaning of the two words if you understand the cause and effect, but in the case of an AI robot, it's just one sentence, one meaning.

So if we want to break through, if we want to have a place in the future, we have to master the irreplaceable ability to do "the work that AI can't do."

That's reading comprehension.

The University of Oxford research team predicted that the top 25 occupations in existing jobs that will remain in existence for the next 10 to 20 years are: recreational therapists, frontline supervisors of equipment maintenance, installation, and overhaul, social workers related to mental health and medication, dietitians, physicians, surgeons, psychologists, and others. Surgeons, psychologists, etc.

These "surviving careers" have a **** the same point, need to be very communicative, understanding and flexible judgment ability, that is, we are often said to not be limited by the framework, the creativity of the three.

However, the reality is very worrying.

A reading comprehension survey implemented by Noriko Arai on 25,000 subjects in Japan found that:

More than half of high school students could not correctly understand the meaning of textbooks, meaning that more than 80% of high school students would lose out to Tohoku University robots.

Even more worrying is that some children's ability to take the initiative to learn is very weak.

Once Noriko Arai was watching TV, she saw this scene:

Four girls playing crossword puzzles, while the heat is on (), some say fill in the nails, some say fill in the evil, and some say I don't know, and then finally unanimously agreed to fill in the evil, which is that none of them took the initiative to seek out the right answer.

Therefore, if we do not work hard now, even if new jobs will come up in the future, people will still face a miserable situation: enterprises are suffering from a shortage of manpower, while the unemployed can be found everywhere in society.

Because there aren't enough people to take on the jobs that AI can't, people who have had their jobs taken from them by AI have only two choices: find a new, low-paying job that anyone can do, or become unemployed ......

But is that the kind of future you want?

There's a saying that it's better to act than to be moved, that if you're willing to face it and want to solve it, there's a way out of all the difficulties, after all, everyone uses less than 20% of their brain.

And, the farthest road, as long as you want to go, as long as the first step, we will eventually get to the end.

So don't hesitate, let's start working hard from now on, let's use our own efforts, one step ahead to prepare early, and meet the happy 2030 together. #ScienceFuelProject ##Science

Author's Profile: Heart Ran, a sandman, literary and artistic, sense of life, sense of affection, in the word to find poetry and faraway places. #