But in the current era of artificial intelligence, there are often articles with titles such as "After XX years, XX work will be replaced".
The book A Brief History of Today describes the three enemies of humanity in 21 ways: nuclear war, ecological collapse, and technological disruption.
In the same vein as A Brief History of Humankind and A Brief History of the Future, it is a wide-ranging, multidisciplinary book. Author Hraley's account of artificial intelligence is not at all boring, and is easy to understand. The author has also made the bestseller list in China with this series of history books.
The Israeli historian Yuval Hraley rekindled Chinese curiosity about self-knowledge with the publication of his books A Brief History of Humankind and A Brief History of the Future in 2014 and 2017, respectively. The former focuses on the evolutionary history of mankind, examining the fundamentals of mankind's foundation on earth from the historical, social, political, and economic perspectives. The latter looks into the future, exploring what will happen to human society in tomorrow's more advanced computer and bio-engineering world. And what we should do in order to adapt to the future society.
We don't know enough about ecological collapse and the nuclear threat to comment on them, but technology is so relevant to our lives, how is it being subverted?
When you type "technology disruption" into Baidu, there are 3,820,000 results.
We always thought that tech disruption was far away, but it is not!
In today's increasingly convenient world of food, clothing, housing, and transportation, we can't separate ourselves from technology. Our lives have long been inseparable from the development of science and technology, scientific and technological innovation to promote the rapid growth of the economy, we are ushering in a brand-new era to artificial intelligence, the Internet of Things, cloud computing and other technology-led industrial change is more and more intense and inspired by the infinite opportunities. 2018 some disruptive technologies are gradually maturing, such as artificial intelligence, natural language processing and computer vision, these technologies are gradually moving from the concept to the application market. concepts gradually to the application market. This year, we will be able to see the great power of these emerging technologies, and more and more new products will be launched and promote business growth.
We are afraid that technology is moving too fast and at the same time we are looking forward to the changes it will bring to us. In recent years, the following technological developments have taken place:
1. Internet of Things (IoT) technology: In recent years, IoT technology has emerged rapidly and has been extended to various industries. However, in order to effectively improve productivity and order intake at the same time, but also bring the threat of data leakage, data leakage, more likely to cause damage to equipment and cause disasters, as the book said, in the future, data will become the most valuable product. So manufacturing needs to guide OTs to work with IT teams to identify risks and provide extensive protection.
2. VR Interactive Video: Interactive video technology will continue to allow dispersed users to communicate face-to-face through new capabilities such as Virtual Reality (VR) and other immersive technologies, especially for some distributed teams to bridge their communication gaps. In the industrial sector, companies are utilizing VR for remote maintenance, where on-site maintenance personnel are connected to remote experts via wearable devices, and the experts don't need to run to the site, but can guide the completion of the repair process from anywhere.
3. Chatbot: Voice recognition technology is already common, we can turn voice into text through software such as KDDI, and even control the phone to open an APP for us and play a piece of beautiful music. With the advancement of machine learning and semantic recognition technology, voice services are gradually applied to intelligent customer service and chatbots and other scenarios, which means that a large amount of manpower will be liberated from customer service work.
4. Smart Wearable Healthcare: With the introduction of some advanced micro-sensors, it provides a variety of possibilities for health detection. More and more wearable devices are starting to incorporate advanced sensors that can detect human heart rate, breathing, movement and sweat glands, etc. This big data is sent to servers for deep learning and analysis, which then gives valuable advice on user health. This allows for the prediction of medical conditions and better care before the onset of illness, as a way to reduce treatment costs. According to ABI predictions, remote patient monitoring will be widely adopted by enterprises, with a large number of wearable devices being incorporated into corporate wellness programs.
5. Cloud and Edge Computing: Cloud computing brings a lot of benefits to people, using large computers in the cloud to handle some complex operations, while locally only simple terminals can complete the interaction, but with a large amount of data sent to the cloud, it may cause a data traffic jam. Edge computing is data processing locally, which can alleviate the transmission pressure of the network to some extent. Edge computing is seen as a technology to make up for the shortcomings of cloud computing, and the deployment of edge computing can help reduce latency and lower costs. The combination of edge computing and cloud computing will become a trend in the future.
6. Blockchain Technology: The blockchain economy has arrived as a distributed bookkeeping method, and is seen as a technology that will change the way we pay and the monetary system. Blockchain does not require the involvement of third parties, such as governments and central banks to complete transactions in such roles, and this new paradigm will likely revolutionize the financial industry.
From this, we can see, firstly, that in the 21st century, the importance of data will again overtake that of land and machines, and secondly, that in the future, artificial intelligence will indeed occupy a large proportion of jobs.
In the book, the author says that Trump warned American voters that the Mexicans and the Chinese would take their jobs and that a wall should be built on the Mexican border. But he never warned voters that algorithms would take their jobs and that a firewall should be built on the California border, where Silicon Valley is located. However, we can't build a wall between AI and our lives; we can't live without it.
Take, for example, the simplest smartphone, DDT. We used to be able to live without them, but now without them, I think most people would be out of work, and our lives would be very difficult.
In this way, the job market of 2050 is likely to be characterized by cooperation between humans and AI, rather than competition. In fields ranging from policing to banking, "humans + AI" will be able to outperform mere humans or mere computers.
How do we cope with the changes brought about by technological disruption?
In the face of the many changes brought about by technology, many people inevitably worry about losing their jobs. Jack Ma has also said many times: in a few years there will be no work to do. I think this idea is superfluous. Take the example of machines replacing workers, workers are outlawed at the same time, because of the massive production of machines at the same time, and create a lot of jobs.
Besides, our parents save their money so that we can get an education. They wanted nothing more than for us to get a secure job and live out our lives. A good career in their minds would be a teacher, doctor, civil servant, etc. Now when we talk to their generation about cloud computing and software engineers, can they understand it and can they imagine what kind of career a software engineer is! This is the development of society, the old does not go, the new does not come.
The times are changing, and we can't stay put. We then in our daily lives, we should also be in line with the changes of the times, more learning and more use, rather than just like in the past, holding an iron rice bowl through life, today is not the same as in the past, we can not be in the body of a skill will be safe and sound, otherwise, sooner or later, will be eliminated by the society.
So the development of science and technology will only make people's lives better and better, and at the same time, there will be a lot of new jobs.