What will it be like in 2030? Wang Tao, managing director of Huawei, president of ICT products and solutions and president of ICT strategy and marketing, put forward eight prospects at the Smart World 2030 Forum on September 22nd, and released the Smart World 2030 White Paper.
Facing the future of 2030, eight prospects of the intelligent world
Focusing on the needs of the development of human society, Huawei tries to explore the intelligent world 2030, explore new opportunities for everyone, every family and every organization, and create unlimited possibilities for the future. What will it be like in 2030? Huawei puts forward eight prospects for the intelligent world.
Outlook 1: medicine makes health computable and life quality. In 2030, people rely on highly sensitive biosensors and massive health data stored in the cloud to make health computable. Humans will be able to achieve active prevention, from "treating diseases" to "preventing diseases"; With the help of Internet of Things, AI and other technologies, future treatment plans will no longer be the same; Large-scale medical equipment is more portable, realizing family telemedicine linkage.
Huawei predicts that by 2030, the total global general-purpose computing (FP32) will reach 3.3 trillion times, an increase of 10 times compared with 2020. The total AI calculation (FP 16) will reach 105 FLOPS, which is 500 times higher than that in 2020.
Outlook 2: food, output data, inclusive green diet. In 2030, people can use the multivariate data map of agricultural conditions to realize precision agriculture; Through data collection, simulate the factors such as temperature and humidity needed for crop growth and development, and create a "vertical farm" that is not affected by the unpredictable climate; Through 3D printing, you can get artificial meat that meets personal health needs and has the best taste, and truly realize the transition from relying on the sky to relying on data.
Huawei predicts that by 2030, the total number of global connections will reach 200 billion; The total amount of data generated in the world every year is 1YB, which is 23 times higher than that in 2020.
Outlook 3: Living, new interactive experience and humanized space. In 2030, based on 10 Gigabit home broadband, holographic communication and other technologies, a digital directory will be created, and storage and storage will be separated through automatic distribution; Build an intelligent management system, create automatic interaction between things, and make it possible for human beings to work and live in a zero-carbon building; Based on the next generation Internet of Things operating system, the adaptation of home and office environment will be realized, and a "know you" space will be created.
Huawei predicts that by 2030, the number of global fiber-optic broadband users will reach 654.38+0.6 billion; The broadband penetration rate of 10 trillion households is 23%.
Outlook 4: ok, smart low-carbon travel, open the third mobile space. In 2030, travel will be a multi-dimensional innovation system, and new energy vehicles based on autonomous driving technology will allow us to have our own mobile third space; The new manned aircraft can not only improve the efficiency of emergency rescue, reduce the transportation cost of emergency medical supplies, but also change our commuting mode; By customizing the travel plan and sharing it with others efficiently, the vehicle utilization rate can be improved and green travel can be promoted.
Huawei predicts that by 2030, electric vehicles will account for 50% of the total car sales; The computing power of the whole vehicle exceeds 5000 TOPS；; The penetration rate of intelligent vehicle networking (C-V2X) is 60%.
Outlook 5: city, digital new infrastructure, make the city warm and more livable. With the popularization and application of new digital infrastructure, the urban environmental governance scheme will be further optimized, and the resource utilization rate and governance efficiency will be greatly improved. Through the unified management of a network and a network platform across regions, residents will be able to enjoy more convenient and humanized services and live in a more temperate and livable city.
Huawei predicts that by 2030, the WiFi penetration rate of 10 Gigabit enterprises will reach 40%.
Outlook 6: Enterprises and new productive forces will reshape new modes of production and enhance the resilience of enterprises. In 2030, digital transformation will promote further upgrading of enterprises, and new productivity such as cooperative robots and autonomous mobile robots will be integrated into enterprises; Through the flexible remodeling of production and logistics, a new production mode centered on people is realized; Under the influence of digitalization, the supply chain will become visual and networked, and enterprises will have stronger adaptability to cope with the ever-changing market environment.
Huawei predicts that by 2030, every 1 10,000 manufacturing employees will work with 390 robots. There are 6,543,800,000 enterprises that will build their own 5G private networks (including virtual private networks).
Outlook 7: Energy, green energy is smarter, care for the blue planet. In 2030, energy will be greener and smarter. People can deploy new energy power plants on the seashore and on the lake, and use virtual power plants and energy clouds to build a "source network storage" digital energy Internet. Zero-carbon data center and zero-carbon site are expected to become a reality.
Huawei predicts that by 2030, global renewable energy production will account for 50% of the total global power generation.
Outlook 8: Digital credibility, digital technology and rules shape a credible future. In 2030, digital credibility will become the basic requirement of social infrastructure. Digital rules such as blockchain, AI anti-counterfeiting, and privacy enhanced computing, such as GDPR and privacy security protection law, are two-pronged, and * * * builds a smart world with credible numbers.
Huawei predicts that by 2030, more than 50% of computing scenarios will adopt privacy-enhanced computing technology; 85% of enterprises will adopt blockchain technology.
Facing the future of 2030, look forward to the four major industries.
At the meeting, Wang Tao also proposed the four industrial prospects of communication network, computing, digital energy and smart car solutions for 2030.
In 2030, the communication network coverage will move from the ground to the integration of air, sky and ground to meet people's multi-space and multi-dimensional connection needs; Powerful computing power helps millions of industries move from digitalization to intelligence; Green energy is smarter and can care for the blue planet; The smart car industry will also usher in the great development of intelligent driving, intelligent space, intelligent service and intelligent production.
First, the communication network 2030. From connecting tens of billions of people to connecting hundreds of billions of things, the green three-dimensional ultra-wide network with intelligent native, safe and credible, deterministic experience and communication perception fusion ability is the future development direction.
Huawei predicts that the number of global connections will reach 200 billion; Per capita monthly wireless cellular network traffic will reach 600GB, an increase of 40 times; IPv6 address penetration rate reached 90%; The penetration rate of broadband users in gigabit and above households reached 55%, a 50-fold increase; The average monthly home network traffic reached 1.3TB, an increase of 8 times.
Second, calculate 2030. In the coming YB data era, improving computing energy efficiency by a hundredfold will help us gain the ability to surpass ourselves, let cognition cross tiny quarks into the vast universe, realize the goal of carbon doubling through digital means, and make thousands of industries move from digitalization to intelligence.
Huawei predicts that the general computing power will reach 3.3ZFLOPS, an increase of 10 times; The computing power of AI reaches 105ZFLOPS, which is 500 times higher; The global annual data reached 1YB, an increase of 23 times; Cloud services account for 87% of enterprise application expenditure.
Third, digital energy 2030. In the next decade, mankind will enter the era of digital energy, and comprehensively promote the transformation of low carbon, electrification and intelligence. Photovoltaic, wind power and other new renewable energy will gradually shake the position of traditional fossil energy. Power electronics technology and digital technology are deeply integrated to realize the "bit management watt" of the whole energy system and realize various intelligent applications on the "energy cloud".
Huawei predicts that renewable energy will account for 50% of the global total power generation; The terminal electrification rate reaches 30%; Photovoltaic power generation is as low as 0.0 1 USD; The installed photovoltaic capacity reaches 3000GW.
Fourth, smart car solutions 2030. In the future, bringing the digital world into every car will truly realize intelligent driving, intelligent space, intelligent service and intelligent production, and accelerate the integration of the automobile industry and ICT technology. Cross-border cooperation will become a new trend.
Huawei predicts that electric vehicles will account for more than 50% of new car sales; On-board computing power will reach 5000+Tops；; ; The penetration rate of self-driving new cars in China exceeds 20%; Vehicle-mounted single link transmission capacity exceeds 100Gbps.