Look at the following story, 3 minutes to completely understand how the economic crisis:
Once upon a time, there were two countries: the textile country and the country of the airplane. The textile country has a population of 100 million people, can weave cloth to make clothes, annual production of 200 million pairs of pants. The country of airplanes also had a population of 100 million people, and not only could they weave, they could also build airplanes, producing 200 million pairs of pants and building ten airplanes a year.
The textile country has to sell 100 million pairs of pants to the airplane country to buy back one airplane. After the two countries trade, the wealth of society is distributed as follows: the textile country owns 100 million pairs of pants and one airplane, and the airplane country owns 300 million pairs of pants and nine airplanes. In the textile country, one person has only one pair of pants to wear a year, and 100 million people can only squeeze into one airplane. But the airplane country, a person can wear three pairs of pants a year, nine airplanes randomly, than the textile country people take the train is cheaper! The people of the two countries have paid the same labor and sweat, the aircraft country's per capita wealth is surprisingly 3-5 times that of the textile country.
In the second year, the airplane country changed its strategy, decided not to produce pants, because they found that as long as they sold a few more airplanes, they could exchange for hundreds of millions of pairs of pants, which were enough for the people of the country to wear. Since then, the people of the airplane country are liberated, and they spend their days in bars, vacation trips abroad, drinking coffee, and investing in the textile country 。。。。。。 And the people in the textile country, in order to make more money, work more than ten hours a day to produce more pants: 300 million pairs of pants, 400 million pairs of pants, sold to the plane country to earn a poor little living expenses.
The life of the people in the airplane country is getting more and more nourishing, the working hours are getting shorter and shorter, there are fewer and fewer workers, the coffee drinking time is getting longer and longer, the tourism industry, the entertainment industry, the service industry is developed. And the common people in the textile countries are working longer and longer hours, with little time for coffee, and the entertainment and service industries are for the rich few.
A few years have passed, the plane country is getting richer and richer, even the poor, even the homeless can afford to buy a mansion, the money is too much, but the textile country is still producing pants, almost 1 billion pairs of pants per year, the plane country is facing a crisis, facing the crisis of too much money, the money can not be more money to buy pants ah, too much money can not be spent.
Looking officer may be confused, too much money also have a crisis ah? Of course, the bank deposited tens of trillions of dollars of money, the banker is not a good thing, he has to find a way to lend out in order to make money ah, otherwise you have to pay interest. No way, the banker desperately encourage businesses and people to lend, encourage the poor and homeless also loan to buy a house, no way, more money is also difficult ah. As a result, real estate went up and then down, and some poor people could not afford to pay back their loans, so they simply sold their mansions for a dollar and continued to move back to their luxury rental homes.
The more textile countries export, the poorer, see more do not understand it? The textile country is not rich because of export, but the airplane country is getting richer and richer, because selling more than 50% of the goods produced in their own country to other countries in exchange for 5%-10% of the goods of others' countries, the result is that the airplane country is rich as hell, and the textile country is still living in the lowest level, and the one who suffers the most is the textile country that exchanges more for less.
The textile country is facing a bigger crisis, originally exporting pants did not earn much money, a pair of pants only earn 1-2 yuan, once the aircraft country to reduce imports, directly leading to the textile country countless people laid off and unemployed.
This little story tells the top secret of the economic crisis: there is no high-tech industry, relying on more for less export economy, can only be the more exports, the poorer, is the source of the crisis of the creation of the polarization of the rich and poor between the countries!
A country, only to master the high-tech products that others do not have, can really become a strong and rich country, so that other countries to work for themselves, rather than for other countries to do the graft.
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Written by:Posted by:Hot Sun on 2008-12-29 09:51:35.0 From: Send a short message
★ The Tang Dynasty has become the world's first The secret of the strongest country in the world: silk ★
Why was China's Tang Dynasty rich and strong? Why was China's Tang Dynasty rich and powerful? Because the Tang Dynasty had silk!
In order to get Chinese silk, in the absence of airplanes, trains and automobiles in the era, when the world's merchants rode camels not far away from thousands of miles, tens of thousands of miles of desert Gobi, hard to step out of the Silk Road, with the most precious gold, jewelry, jade, their countries, in exchange for a few silk, brought back to the country can make a fortune. The Tang Dynasty was not only prosperous and strong, but also famous all over the world.
China sold silk, tea, porcelain to merchants in various countries, in exchange for a large amount of gold and silver, resulting in a huge trade surplus in the ancient global economy, the Tang Dynasty was the economic center of the world at the time, Europe and Japan humbly learn from the model.
Silk weaving technology has been monopolized by China for hundreds of years, China's ancient dynasties have been tightly controlled silk weaving and sericulture technology flow, and prohibit its flow to foreign countries. The Tang Dynasty was the heyday of silk production, both production, quality and variety have reached an unprecedented level. Silk production organization is divided into the court handicrafts, rural side industry and independent handicrafts three, the scale of the previous generation greatly expanded. At the same time, the silk of foreign trade has also been a huge development, not only the "Silk Road" channel increased to three, and the frequency of trade is also unprecedented. Silk production and trade for the prosperity of the Tang Dynasty made a great contribution.
Look at what an American high school history book says about China's trade with the West: It says that as early as the Han Dynasty in China, an important east-west trade route called the "Silk Road" gradually took shape, and the Han Dynasty exported large quantities of expensive silk to Western Asia. In order to protect the silk trade, the Chinese kept the silk-making process a secret. China's rulers had always strictly limited foreign traders, allowing them to operate only in Guangzhou. China sold them silk, tea, and porcelain in exchange for large amounts of gold and silver, resulting in a huge trade surplus. in 1793, the British demanded more trade rights, which were rejected by the Qianlong Emperor, who said, "I can't find a single thing in the West that China can use."
The Han and Tang dynasties gained unprecedented economic prosperity from the silk trade, by the Silk Road, foreign grapes, figs, cucumbers, walnuts from West Asia into China, the Italian merchant Marco Polo came to China in 1271 and then Zheng He went to the West Ocean to bring back the giraffe from Africa, the book is quite a pen and ink. Excerpts from the book "Marco Polo Travels" on the Kublai Palace description: "the palace roof is very high, the hall are inlaid by gold and silver, the walls are carved with dragons, birds, horse herders and all kinds of beasts and battle scenes. The ceiling, too, was full of gold and pictures. The hall was so wide and long that it could hold a banquet for 6,000 people." See how prosperous China was at that time, far beyond the economic level of the countries of the world at that time
Just because the Tang Dynasty, Song Dynasty has always been ahead of the world's high-tech products sold all over the world: silk, porcelain, in the 17th century to the middle of the 18th century, the whole of Europe, even including Russia, set off a "China Fever". At that time, China was regarded as a "model civilization" by the whole world. The influence of China on the West was much greater than the influence of the West on China.
History proves that only when a country monopolizes high-tech technologies that other countries do not have can it achieve real economic prosperity and strength, and naturally become a "model civilization" envied by the whole world
If "economists" such as Zhang Wuchang and Ri Yining were to return to the Tang Dynasty, they would have to ask the Chinese government for the same advice. In less than a few years, it was found that silk technology leakage, Vietnam, Thailand, Indonesia have begun mass production of silk, the Tang Dynasty desperately trying to increase silk production, but the international price of silk is getting lower and lower, originally a catty of silk can be sold for a catty of gold, and finally fell to a catty of silver, a catty of copper, a catty of iron.
Originally only European royalty, aristocrats, rich merchants can afford to wear silk clothes, to the end of the African refugees can afford to buy stall goods. The Tang Dynasty launched a national people crazy silk production, but found that more and more poor, silk profit pressure to almost no money, do not need 10-20 years, the flood of silk caused by the world economic crisis, the world no longer need so much silk, the Tang Dynasty, a large number of silk factories closed down, the workers are unemployed, but rich is the world's people, the world's people have silk clothes to wear, and even the sidewalk beggars wear silk pants, unemployed! The people of the Tang Dynasty themselves are not necessarily able to afford to wear silk.
This is real economics 。。。。。。
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Author:Hot Sun on 2008-12-29 09:51:52.0 From: Send a short message
★ Japan's road to power ★
Japan was the world's leading textile industry nation before the Second World War. textile industry power, transformed into a manufacturing power after WWII, and transformed into a high-tech power in the 60s and 70s. In other words, China is still stuck in Japan's economic development mindset of the 1950s and 1960s!
Some people say that Japan is an externally oriented economy, which is obviously an ignorant lie. People can see such a stark contrast: Japan's foreign trade is small (accounting for 15% of GDP), China's foreign trade is large (accounting for 60% of GDP);
Japan's exports are high prices out of the low price into the less for more. China's exports are low prices out of high prices in, in exchange for less;
Japan's foreign investment law, Article 1, "only permitted in favor of the Japanese economy's self-reliance and sound development as well as can improve the balance of payments of foreign capital investment." Foreign capital is only 1%. China is the door is open, all comers, foreign investment more than 30%, 21 of the 28 domestic industries are controlled by foreign capital;
Japan has a "National Income Doubling Program", never rely on foreign consumption, always the national priority of national products. China does not have a similar program and policy, foreign dependence is as high as 70%, nationals are second-class citizens.
This shows that the economic policies of China and Japan have nothing **** in common and are completely opposite.
Only China, in the world, takes the country's limited resources, the blood and sweat of its people, and uses them to serve the world.
The US traded airplanes for China's pants, Japan traded cameras and cars for China's pants, and China ended up like that textile country in the story above, once the consumption of the airplane country declined, it was the textile country that was hurt the most instead.
The content of history is constantly changing, but the law of history has never changed, a nation if you can not make other countries do not have high-tech products, can not make other countries do not have airplanes and silk, we can never really go to the prosperity of the rich and powerful, production of other countries can produce things, the price of the fight, the sale of blood and sweat, the country will never be rich and powerful.
Why are the United States, Japan, and Germany rich and strong? Comparing the total GDP alone, China may surpass the US in 10-20 years, but the per capita wealth may never surpass these countries! Because the US, Japan, and Germany can make modern "silk": big airplanes, high-tech equipment, electronics, superconductors, liquid crystals, and automobiles.
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Author:Hot Sun on 2008-12-29 09:52:09.0 From: Send SMS
★ Revisit the "science and technology is the first productive forces " ★
When Comrade Deng Xiaoping put forward "science and technology is the first productive force" is how far-sighted!
Decades later, why is our level of technology still not catching up? Today we are still stuck in the 100,000 workers sisters toiling a year to do 100 million pairs of pants in exchange for a plane level of technology? Have we willingly become a second-rate country?
Any of the world's strongest countries, the United States, Japan, Germany, Russia, are firmly in control of the core scientific and technological secrets will never be leaked, China's sellout economists "market for technology" theory, not only did not exchange what technology, the market is also lost, the meat bag to beat the dog there is no return.
These two years, the United States of America's former GE President Jack Welch is very hot, leading the United States General Electric back to glory clouds, known as the world's business management master. In fact, his core secret is only one: let GE give up to do the same products as others, do GE exclusive can do the best high-tech products! The production of others will not make the "airplane" and "silk".
General Electric GE, the United States, is Edison's invention of the electric light bulb, in order to mass production of electric lamps and founded, and then gradually withdrew from the lighting industry, the transition to the production of refrigerators and televisions, and later GE gave up these sunset industry. In the era of Jack Welch, the full transformation of the production of bulk high-tech products: medical equipment, aircraft engines, power generation equipment, etc. GE's history of development, in fact, is a continuous pursuit of high-tech products, give up the history of low-tech products. As for what he advocated the management theory in fact, most of them are successful after the bragging irrigation, do not take it seriously. The so-called "true rumor more, false rumor ten thousand words less", exactly this reason.
Technology is the first productive force, a successful enterprise is still so, a country is not so?
Europe and the United States of America's investment in science and technology research and development, accounting for the highest proportion of gross national product between 1.5% and 2.6%. And China 1950-1979 the highest year is 2.32%, the average 1.28%. That was when China itself could build satellites, rockets, high-yield rice and big airplanes, but now it is busy producing pants, shoes and toys.
When we got to the 80s and 90s in China, China's investment in science and technology decreased year after year, down to 0.6%. Cars and computers could only be assembled and casing built, with a brand name to pass them off as domestic. By 1999, the U.S. bombed China's embassy. We finally understood: "History tells us that some things cannot be bought with money."
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This article was written in the same language as the original. Posted by: hot sun on 2008-12-29 09:52:27.0 From: Send a short message
★ There is no war on currency, the war is on science and technology ★
Talking about currency again, is China really poor? Is there really no money? Let's look at the nature of what money is!
Moreover, let's see what kind of bullshit theory makes Chinese people have no money in hand!
Recently there is a very popular book called "Currency Wars", said the United States to abandon the gold standard is a conspiracy, the dollar will continue to depreciate, to encourage people to collect gold to protect the value. This view is actually outdated, gold is just a rare metal, there is no need to raise its status so high.
A country's real "gold", in fact, no one else's high-tech products. Currency is just a symbol of barter and trade, when the Tang Dynasty can make silk, regardless of the Tang Dynasty currency is iron or copper coins, must be the hardest hard currency, so, for the Tang Dynasty and the world, silk is the gold currency. When other countries can also produce silk, the Tang Dynasty's currency immediately depreciated, at this time if the Tang Dynasty still insist on currency appreciation, the head must be into the water.
The Tang Dynasty and the relationship between silk, Song Dynasty and the relationship between porcelain, as today's U.S. and oil, high-tech relations, the U.S. control of high-tech and oil, the dollar has become a gold currency, no oil and high-tech, cutting-edge weapons to support the dollar, as worthless as a stone. This is also the deep reason why the U.S. went out of its way to take out Saddam in Iraq for the sake of oil.
Keynes's monetary theory, currency issuance is not subject to the gold standard, silver standard restrictions, each country can provide sufficient monetary funds for the country's economic development, there is no need to rely on foreign money. Solved the biggest bottleneck of economic development: the problem of money.
Keynes also put forward the theory of demand-pull, that each country as long as the protection of workers, improve the consumer power of the working masses, expand the market consumption plate, enterprise production naturally rise, which need to rely on foreign demand?
The United States and Western countries have long seen through this, they give up the gold standard, is wise, is far-sighted, not a conspiracy, is a conspiracy! A country's real gold reserves, not hidden in the bank underground warehouse inside the gold bricks, but hidden in the national patent office inside the intellectual property rights, is a real high-tech products. When the United States every build a Boeing aircraft, is equivalent to the United States more than a ton of gold reserves.
We need to understand one thing, the currency is just a barter symbol, a country can produce how much goods, should create how much money, to encourage the people to spend.
So, there should not be a country in the world that lacks money, but only a country that lacks goods! A country is flat poor and backward, not because they lack money, but because they make too few commodities or are too low tech.
Don't believe the bullshit theories of foreign economists and sellout economists, what the stock market can't have a bubble, the state has to control the circulation of money, in fact, these theories, instead of letting China fall into the real trap of economic crisis.
Look at the U.S., with a GDP of only 13 trillion dollars a year, but a 50 trillion dollar national debt. If China had the guts to issue $50 trillion in national debt to boost domestic demand, this economic crisis wouldn't have hurt so badly.
China's shift from a planned economy to a market economy, from closed-door to reform and development, is a correct choice. But China's path to a market economy is by no means meant to go back to the pre-liberation era! Let's go back to the old path of semi-feudal and semi-colonial. Globalization, privatization, liberalization, world factory, export-oriented economy, comparative advantage, etc. are just new packages for this old road.
When the Americans start their printing presses and print a steady stream of dollars, they will be able to buy up everything in China: pants, shoes, toys, factories, real estate, banks, manpower, and that will be the biggest travesty under the sun, and the Chinese people will never get out of it!