Theoretically, a wave of outbreaks is likely to occur during the Spring Festival due to the relatively large number of people and the fact that many more people will be returning from overseas, but there will definitely not be a major outbreak like in 2019. Even if there will be some new cases in certain regions, with China's current medical level and experience, it is completely possible to contain the spread of the epidemic, and there will definitely not be a second city to become Wuhan under the epidemic again. So there is good news and bad news.
One, China's domestic situation has been very effective control
In March this year, it is also because of the epidemic is under control on a large scale China has proposed a full resumption of work, especially in May and June this year, China in order to restore the economy, but also launched a lot of policies to stimulate consumption.
In the May Day Labor Day and National Day, China also ushered in two peak tourist season, in addition to a small outbreak of epidemic in Qingdao, the other did not have any cases of the spread of the epidemic.
Even after the discovery of the case in Qingdao, the Qingdao authorities did a nucleic acid test on nearly 8 million people in a short period of time, and carried out a comprehensive investigation of the entire Qingdao city, which effectively curbed the development of the epidemic.
Since the resumption of work in March, there has been no centralized outbreak in China. Even in Beijing, where there was once a gathering of infections, the city's relevant medical protection authorities carried out a thorough check of suspicious locations as quickly as possible, isolated all suspected patients for treatment and brought the outbreak under control in less than a week's time.
China's thunderous style of doing things has been called by the world's major media? China's speed? , so now China can be said to have full experience in treating and protecting against epidemics, and would have the outbreak ? killed in the cradle?
Two, at present, China's national awareness of prevention is also very high
While we now go out and basically do not wear masks, but the people of our country is still talking about? new? color.
The reason why there was a big outbreak in Wuhan, a very important point is because the outbreak of Wuhan, China's people simply do not know what is the new coronary pneumonia, and the local officials do not pay much attention to, did not do a certain amount of publicity to prevent and control, and even at one time in the media to publicize the new? Not terrible, preventable, controllable? , thus misleading the public into believing that neococcal pneumonia is a common infectious disease.
When Wuhan was fully closed, there were even people who did not have the habit of wearing masks, and many shopping malls did not realize the seriousness of the matter and insisted on business as usual, and the people also insisted on continuing to shop in the malls, and it is precisely for this reason that Wuhan's new coronary artery pneumonia will be widely spread.
And now the situation is very different, if there is a confirmed and suspected case in a certain area, the people's vigilance will become very high, people will take the initiative to wear masks. They will wear masks. They will also consciously reduce the chances of going out.
The most obvious one is that after the new wave of outbreaks in Qingdao, many large shopping malls were closed, and even some of the ones that weren't closed were shuttered.Three, China's medical department has a lot of experience in treating the disease, and there are plenty of medicines and equipment
Part of the reason why Wuhan's outbreak was so difficult to control in the first place was because China's medical team lacked a certain amount of experience in treating the disease, and there was a shortage of medical equipment, which led to a number of people going from a mild to a severe illness and eventually dying.
Because pneumonia is an infectious disease that no one has ever seen before, the team had no experience in treating it and had to feel its way across the river.
No antibiotics had been found that could effectively contain the virus, but only drugs to slow down the patient's pain, and then allow the patient to overcome the virus through their own immunity.
There was even a shortage of medicines and respirators at one point, including not even enough protective clothing to wear, so the degree of difficulty in fighting the outbreak was also very high, leading to a major outbreak from objective conditions.
By the time the epidemic was in its latter stages, China had a clear idea of which medicines and treatments could effectively alleviate the symptoms and thus effectively increase the cure rate for patients. In the pre-epidemic period due to the lack of concise and effective means of detection, resulting in some mildly ill patients can not be detected in a short period of time, resulting in a secondary infection, resulting in patients from mildly ill into serious illnesses to increase the difficulty of treatment.
Now we have a simple and fast detection method, can be found in a short period of time to avoid patients waiting for the results of the examination of the second infection, before the deterioration of the condition of the medication, so now the new coronary pneumonia will not be like the outbreak of the early mortality rate is so high.
Four: Will there be another outbreak?
But it may also cause a new wave of outbreaks in the run-up to the Spring Festival, but it won't be too serious.
While our country has controlled the outbreak in a certain way, the epidemic is still very serious around the world. Two countries in particular, the United States and India, still have thousands of new patients every day. Including some countries in Europe, due to the people's self-prevention consciousness is relatively poor, still has not been effective in controlling the epidemic, and now London has planned to enter the 2nd round of closure of the city.
After the resumption of work in China there are a number of enterprises whose personnel must leave the country for work reasons, and some of the new imported cases in China every day are part of the expatriate population coming to China and part of them are people returning from overseas offices in China.
Most of these people who go abroad to work or study are still living abroad, so they won't have any impact on the country, but by the time New Year's Eve rolls around there will be a large number of people returning home for the holidays. Although our country will conduct nucleic acid testing after these people get off the plane, there will inevitably be leaks. Like the Qingdao outbreak, it is possible that the infection was caused by foreign imported cases.
A typical feature of China's Spring Festival period is that it is particularly crowded, with people gathering together and then dispersing across the country, so it is likely that there will be a new wave of outbreaks.
On top of that, it's not entirely ruled out that seafood imported from foreign countries could cause infections, as new coronaviruses have been detected in some frozen seafood imported from overseas on more than one occasion.
Waiting until New Year's Eve when our people will be buying a lot of these frozen seafood will probably introduce the virus again, but as mentioned earlier our country will utilize all the resources we have today to effectively contain the outbreak and will not result in a massive outbreak like last year.
We used to think that this new crown outbreak, like SARS back then, might just be a short-term process, and in real time that's not the case. The global fight against new crown pneumonia could be years in the making.
While certain vaccines have been developed in China, there is still no way to put them on the market. And while the situation within our country is very optimistic, the situation abroad is still very grim.
During the big launch of the Wuhan epidemic, the world thought China was the most dangerous place, but looking around the world China is currently the safest place in the world.
If the vaccine can be put on the market as soon as possible, so that all the world's human beings to form a herd immunity effect then perhaps the epidemic can still be passed earlier, otherwise? The fight against the epidemic? will be a protracted war.