Aside from the traffic and value brought by these negative news to the organizers, human beings always have a preference for bad news. Without the support of empirical research, they will have some cognitive biases, doubt, pessimism and anxiety, and begin to complain about the world. What's more, it began to retaliate against mankind and caused disaster.
When I saw these negative news, I also had some doubts and anxieties, and then I simply stopped watching them.
After carefully reading the book Abundance by Peter de Mandis, I began to believe that the future is better than we thought. I began to believe that the earth has clean water to drink, affordable houses, personalized education, top medical care and inexhaustible energy.
As a scientist who predicts the future, Diamantisz convinced people who read this book that from a macro perspective, human beings are rich and the world is beautiful, and from a technical perspective, he did it.
1. What is abundance?
? Abundance is to ensure that all people in this world can live. De Mandis uses the pyramid model of affluence to define affluence:
Ground floor: water, food, shelter and other things related to basic survival problems;
Intermediate layer: various "catalysts" such as energy, education and information and communication technology that can further improve the quality of human life;
Top: health and freedom, two core prerequisites for anyone to contribute to society.
? ? The world is rich, but people are moaning?
Matt ridley, a popular science writer, discovered a human behavior tendency, which is called "cognitive bias".
Once this deviation is formed, people will get into trouble. And people are unwilling to change, fearing that change will make them fall into a worse situation before.
? Attention is a limited resource. When people focus on pessimistic specific events, they usually don't pay attention to other things, including some positive and optimistic reports, nor do they pay attention to the overall situation. At the macro level, they will be pessimistic and negative. Diamantisz called this phenomenon "anchoring effect", that is, when making decisions, he relied too much on one aspect of information.
De Mandis believes that wealth is a very grand vision for the whole world, but it has been compressed into a fairly short time. ?
? 3. Power to achieve prosperity
? Even the best universities in the world rarely produce comprehensive and ambitious thinkers.
? The top universities in the world have done a very good job in cultivating extreme professionals, but no one dares to put forward some of the most macro and bold ideas, such as Archimedes' famous saying: "Give me a lever long enough and a place to stand, and I can tilt the whole earth."
? This is a grand overall vision, and we are in a rich world, which is based on the exponential growth and change of technology. These technologies include biotechnology and bioinformatics, computing systems, networks and sensors, artificial intelligence, robotics, digital manufacturing, medicine, nanomaterials and nanotechnology, and 3D printing.
? Top universities have trained excellent professionals, and to achieve prosperity, they must be a series of technology combinations, which can meet various needs and need the cooperation of technology.
? The improvement of technology can improve the degree of specialization, which creates more opportunities for cooperation. This is an amplification mechanism. Moore's Law describes the result that faster computers are used to design the next generation of faster computers. Similarly, the use of cooperative tools will always produce the next generation of cooperative work.
Geoffrey Sachs, an economist at Columbia University, in his book "* * * and Wealth", listed in detail eight important contributions made by information and communication technology to sustainable development-in fact, all these contributions are based on cooperation.
? When solving the different needs of the three rich levels, it will cause a series of positive chain reactions All the great challenges to prosperity are like dominoes before us. As long as any solution to the challenge is found, it will cause a series of positive chain reactions like knocking down dominoes.
? For example, to solve the problem of human water shortage, we should combine nanotechnology with seawater desalination technology, minimize the waste of water resources through intelligent water supply network, realize the recycling of water, and fundamentally solve the problem. The recycling of water resources will promote and promote the solution of energy shortage and health problems.
? Summarize the power to achieve prosperity:
? 1) Thinkers with lofty scientific thoughts put forward that the world is a rich macro-vision, and the high-tech innovative talents trained by Peter de Mandis and Singularity University he founded;
? 2) the rapid growth of exponential growth technology, the basis of realizing the prosperity vision is the sustained and rapid development of technology;
? 3) Cooperation, the realization of prosperity requires the full cooperation of all mankind and all technical fields. Without cooperation, there will be no win and prosperity will not be realized.
? 4. My reservation
? 1) The gap between the rich and the poor is not as difficult to overcome as expected. The rapid development of these technologies is enough to meet the challenge. This is a long-term macro-level forecast.
At this stage, the class is solidified, and the small stage will be more intense. In addition to the exponential growth technology, our policy mechanism must also be improved and keep pace with the times, and our world structure must evolve in a positive direction, so as to realize the prosperity of all mankind.
? 2) Three countermeasures to feed 9 billion people: vertical farms, genetically modified crops and artificially cultivated meat;
? Vertical farms solve the problem of insufficient cultivated land, avoid agricultural pollution, and more importantly, greatly shorten the distance of grain transportation.
? At present, genetically modified crops are controversial by the public, and there are many negative news. Whether eating food transferred to the fund will cause diseases remains to be verified.
The artificially cultivated meat is desirable in terms of scientific knowledge, but whether this kind of meat can really reduce the chances of people getting sick remains to be verified; In addition, when people face this plate of natural ecological beef and a plate of artificially cultivated meat, I believe that 99% of them will eat natural ecological beef, and 1% of them will be early adopters.
? 3) From the hierarchical model of demand for abundance, abundance is close to us. Technological development is changing with each passing day, technical cooperation has a foundation, and it needs policy guarantee and world peace.