What are the future development trends of drones

Major listed companies in the industry: North Navigation (600435), Hongdu Airlines (600316)

The core data of this article: China's drone market structure, civilian drone market size

China's military drone development started earlier, as early as 1964, Type I drone target aircraft has been born. In 1964, Type I UAV target aircraft was born, and Type II UAV target aircraft was also developed in the 1970s. Subsequently, the S-100 target aircraft was developed, making the UAV's flight speed reach 100 meters per second, which also made an important contribution to the modernization of our military training.

Relative to the development of military drones started earlier, China's civil UAV market did not attract enough attention in the early days, there are categorized management units, no long-term planning, in a disorderly state of development. But in recent years, due to the development of technology and demand for traction, especially some natural disasters occur frequently, there is an urgent need to have a means of disaster monitoring and assessment and search and rescue, thus causing the relevant parties to pay attention to civil drones, and the rapid warming, and gradually penetrate into the lives of the public. By the end of 2020, the market share of civil drones in China has grown from less than 10% in 2014 to about 37.2%.

Military drone market remains active

China's military drones started in 1964, and in the 1980s began to use drones in bulk, initially used mainly as targets and jamming decoys for air defense systems. After 2000, China's relevant research institutes, colleges and universities actively cooperate to develop a variety of UAV equipment, in addition to the WZ-2000 unmanned reconnaissance aircraft unveiled at the Zhuhai Airshow in 2002 caused a sensation around the world, and in recent years has developed a Chinese version of the "Predator" - the "Rainbow-4", the "Predator". "Xianglong type" no, and "sharp sword" stealth unmanned attack aircraft in the 2019 National Day parade officially unveiled, and renamed "attack 11".

China's development of unmanned aircraft has a history of more than 50 years, the domestic research and development of unmanned aircraft in the overall design, flight control, combined navigation, relay data link system, sensor technology, image transmission, information countermeasures and anti-resistance, launch and recovery, production and use of the force, and other technical areas have accumulated a certain amount of experience, with a certain technological basis.

But in the field of military UAVs, there is still a gap between our UAV equipment and that of developed countries, and it is not yet able to fully meet the requirements of high-tech warfare. Domestic UAV mission systems are not large, it is difficult to meet the requirements of electronic countermeasures, early warning, reconnaissance and other large-scale mission systems, the platform technology is difficult to meet the requirements of unmanned combat aircraft, high stealth, high mobility, in the aerodynamic power, engine, lightweight structure and high-precision navigation and other aspects of the basic technology is weak.

Civilian UAV market scale is expected to exceed 25 billion yuan in 2020

On the whole, in the early stage, the development of the domestic civil UAV field for a long time has not attracted enough attention, there is no categorization of the management unit, there is no long-term planning, and it is in the state of disorderly development. However, in recent years, due to the development of technology and demand for traction, especially some natural disasters occur frequently, there is an urgent need to have a means of disaster monitoring and assessment and search and rescue, thus causing the relevant parties to pay attention to civil drones, and the rapid warming, and gradually penetrate into the life of the public. According to statistics, by the end of 2020, the number of drones registered with real names had increased to 523,600, up more than 500 percent from 2010.

China's civil drones have been on the rise in the country since the Wenchuan earthquake in 2008, and after several years of development, the current scope of application of drones has already covered a wide range of fields such as land and resource surveys, environmental monitoring, water monitoring, and disaster relief. According to incomplete statistics, the current domestic UAV market for civil use alone is in the order of several hundred million dollars. In the face of this emerging market, the relevant enterprises and research institutions have also stationed in the field of civil drones.

The rapid development of civil drones has led to the continued expansion of China's civil drone market, which will be 21 billion yuan in 2019, according to the Air Transport Association. According to the civil drone growth rate forecast disclosed by Drone

Industry Insights, China's civil drone market size is expected to exceed 25 billion yuan in 2020.

Comprehensively, China's drone market has been in a relatively active state this year, with investment and R&D going hand in hand, and military and civil **** developing together.

The above data comes from China UAV Industry Market Demand Forecast and Investment Strategy Planning Analysis Report by Prospect Industry Research Institute.