Is China's economy driven by the construction industry in recent years?

China's economic semi-annual report for the first half of 20 15 published by the National Bureau of Statistics shows that the gross domestic product (GDP) is 29 billion yuan, up 7% year-on-year. The overall judgment of the economic situation is: slow and steady, stable and good. Four highlights of the economy in the first half of the year: first, the sales of commercial housing turned from negative to positive, with a year-on-year growth of 3.9% nationwide, including a monthly growth of1%; Second, the situation of mass entrepreneurship has further developed. 1-In May, the newly registered enterprises nationwide increased by 22.9% year-on-year, and the registered capital increased by 45%. Third, the employment situation is good. In the first half of the year, new jobs were created 1 10,000 people, and the annual target was achieved in half a year. Fourth, new formats such as Internet and China have developed rapidly. In the first half of this year, sales in China increased by 39. 1%, up by 2. 2 percentage points higher than the retail sales of the whole society. The first aspect: the construction industry faces three major transformation directions. First, "Connected China+"promotes intelligent buildings. Under the wave of "Connected China+",a new word-intelligent building has appeared in the construction industry. There is only a mini bedroom the size of two beds, which can be automatically converted into a smart office by pressing a button; The wall of the house cracked, coated with nano-band-aid, and the crack was strongly bridged ... Embracing the interconnected buildings in China is such a "tide"! With the improvement of information technology and level, BIM (Building Information Model), big data, Internet of Things, mobile technology and cloud computing have become China. Can break the traditional development model. All these technical means are realized through "interconnected China", and then act on the construction industry, improve the level of industry informatization, reduce costs and improve efficiency. Grafting "Connected China+"is a hot trend in the development of intelligent buildings. Intelligent building is the product of modern science and technology, and the implantation of the concept of "Connected China+"provides unlimited possibilities for the construction of "Intelligent Building". Therefore, intelligent building is the inevitable trend of the future construction industry. From the national level to all parts of the country, smart buildings have been included in the height of smart city construction and promoted. At present, the output value of intelligent building market in China has exceeded 1000 billion yuan, and it is growing at a rate of 20%-30% every year, and the future market will reach several trillion yuan. Although the development of intelligent buildings in China is booming, the industry of intelligent buildings is still in a chaotic situation. Mainly reflected in the following aspects: First, the cooperation of the construction party is not tacit. Different types of construction projects have different intelligent requirements. Second, the level of system integrators is not high. The intelligent building market should be developed in the construction field to meet the various needs of the project. How to use good things requires a whole set of processes, including design, planning, construction, supervision and acceptance. Among them, it is related to the level of system integrators and should be combined with relevant departments in the construction field. Third, there is a lack of original products. The intelligent building market in China is in the growth stage, and the industry concentration will gradually increase in the future. The competition in the low-end market will become more and more fierce, and small factories without core competitiveness will be eliminated; The growth of the high-end market will exceed the industry average, but it will put forward high requirements for the financial strength and technical ability of the entrants. In the future, some local enterprises with strong capital strength and technical ability will be able to fully share the growth of the industry and achieve rapid development. To sum up, although the development of intelligent buildings is chaotic at present, energy-saving buildings and green buildings strongly advocated by the state are closely related to intelligent buildings. Driven by spontaneous market demand and policy encouragement, the market prospect of building intelligence in China is still optimistic. Direction 2: 3d printing is an indispensable role in the transformation of modern construction industry. In addition to automation equipment and a new generation of information technology, the transformation of the construction industry also has a "malicious" role that cannot be ignored. This is three-dimensional printing. The initial manifestation of 3D printing in the construction industry is the architectural model, which is either used to show the house style for customers or displayed as works of art at home. Although full of creativity, it is the lowest application of 3D printing in this industry. With the development of technology, 3D printed physical houses have been proved to be feasible, and some 3D printed physical houses have appeared all over the world. From a technical point of view, there are two ways to make a physical house with 3D printing technology: one is to print all the house parts and then assemble them later; The second is to print out the formed house directly, and only need to install doors and windows as required in the later stage. Generally speaking, because the 3d printing structure is established layer by layer, no matter which way is mentioned above, engineers have more room to play in building materials and structural transformation. If post-assembly is the feasible mode of 3D printing architecture at present, then one-time printing of physical houses will be the mainstream development trend in the future. First, traditional house products are made by manual repair and mechanical cutting. From the perspective of house designers, there may be some deviations in accuracy and aesthetics, while 3D printers are controlled by computers. As long as there is data support, any complex design model can be made quickly and accurately. Second, 3d printing can meet the personalized and customized needs of customers, while greatly reducing the manufacturing threshold and time period; Third, 3d printing can greatly save labor costs and material costs. Due to the abandonment of steel structure, the main materials of 3D printed houses come from concrete and plastic, and some materials can even be replaced by recycled waste. In addition, the high feasibility of three-dimensional printing building provides a good foundation for scientists' idea of "building intelligence". It can be predicted that under the guidance of 3D printing technology, it has become a trend for the construction industry to change from "building houses" to "building houses". However, the author needs to point out that the three-dimensional printing building has just been born, and it still lacks the necessary safety and quality standards. Whether it can replace the traditional architectural style remains to be tested by time. Direction 3: UAVs and robots start building automation. I saw a little video earlier. The content of the video is that researchers at the Federal Institute of Technology in Zurich manipulated several drones and built a rope bridge with a long piece of paint. Three meters can support the weight of an ordinary adult. The video shows that these drones with reels at the bottom can wrap the rope around the intersection of two poles of scaffolding, or take the rope to shuttle between scaffolding to weave a China, which can also be said to be a rope bridge. Sometimes it is constructed separately, and sometimes two drones weave rope bridges together. This video mainly tells you that the drone can completely realize all the building behaviors independently. Although the load-bearing capacity of the temporary construction results is limited, it is enough to show the application potential of the drone. In fact, the most concerned development potential of drones lies in the possibility of replacing some human work. For example, building cable bridges and some dangerous and difficult projects, the existence of drones has obviously become the gospel of construction workers. Construction experts believe that aircraft have many advantages over traditional construction machines. In particular, they can reach any point in space and fly into or around any existing object. In addition to drones, robots are another boon for the construction industry. With the existence of robots, building construction is about to enter a new era. I can tell you an application case of robots in the construction industry first. In the beautiful Victoria Harbour of Hong Kong, Hong Kong New World Building has sprung up like mushrooms after rain, but the outer protective frame of this building is different from the traditional bamboo scaffolding. It adopts a brand-new all-metal scaffold that can be lifted automatically-a construction protection robot independently developed by domestic enterprises and pioneered in the world. This new building protection robot is not only superior in performance, safe and reliable, rapid in lifting, but also simple in operation. Two people can lift each floor, saving a lot of manpower. For overseas markets with high labor costs, it only saves a lot of money, and the economic and social benefits are very significant. In fact, building protection robots have been successfully applied to many projects in central cities such as Dubai, Singapore, Macau and China. In the construction industry, bricklaying robots also exist as "gods". Those masons who work in the scorching sun are very hard. With the appearance of bricklaying robots, they have been liberated to a certain extent. Second, the trend of housing economic development is the first. The national economic policy in 20 15 will stimulate investment, which is very beneficial to the construction market in 20 15. In 20 14, the central economic work conference proposed that economic development has entered a "new normal", which is mainly reflected in four "turns": first, the growth rate is shifting from high-speed growth to medium-high-speed growth; 2. The mode of economic development is changing from extensive growth of scale and speed to intensive growth of quality and efficiency; 3. The economic structure is shifting from incremental capacity expansion to deep adjustment, stock adjustment, and advantages and increments coexist; The motive force of economic development is shifting from traditional growth point to new growth point. The pain caused by the four "changes" is the downward pressure on the economy and the slowdown in investment growth, which is reflected in the reduction of projects, the difficulty in connecting projects and the shortage of funds in the construction industry. Everyone in the industry knows that there is a construction industry when there is investment. Since 20 15, the state has issued a series of economic policies in accordance with the spirit of "four changes". Here are a few examples: On April 25th, the the State Council executive meeting passed the Measures for the Administration of Infrastructure and Public Utilities Franchising issued by the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Finance, the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, the Ministry of Communications, the Ministry of Water Resources and the People's Bank of China, which opened the entire infrastructure sector to private capital and allowed private capital to participate in infrastructure and public utilities. This document is an important institutional design to promote the PPP model (cooperation between government and social capital) and a supporting system to promote the development of PPP model. On the first day of Lu Yue, the executive meeting of the State Council arranged to increase effective investment in key areas and decided to further strengthen the renovation of shanty towns and dangerous houses in urban and rural areas and the construction of supporting infrastructure. The meeting decided to implement a three-year plan to transform10 million shanty towns and10.6 million rural dangerous houses. Nearly 30 million houses and supporting infrastructure construction can't be done without 500 billion investment. This is all government investment, which should be good news for construction enterprises focusing on housing construction. Last year, foreign direct investment in China reached a record, reaching1196 million US dollars, while China's foreign investment also exceeded 1000 billion US dollars for the first time, reaching 1029 million US dollars. No matter whether foreign capital is domestic or Chinese or foreign capital, a large number of projects involved are related to the construction industry. This year 1-6 months, China's overseas engineering contracting business completed a turnover of 413.93 billion yuan (equivalent to 540 million US dollars), an increase of 9. Year-on-year growth of 9%. With the overall decline of domestic construction industry, overseas project contracting has achieved good results. On March 30th, Lu, the National Development and Reform Commission held a press conference to launch four new engineering packages according to the requirements of the State Council, namely, urban rail transit, modern logistics, emerging industries and enhancing the core competitiveness of manufacturing industry. Take urban rail transit as an example: new projects are planned in 20 15 ~ 200 1 year, and 3,500 kilometers of urban rail transit are added in the 13th Five-Year Plan, which requires an investment of 2.0 ~ 3 trillion yuan. It is estimated that by 2020, Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen will form a relatively complete rail transit China network; Nanjing, Chongqing, Wuhan and Chengdu constitute the basic network of China rail transit. Nantong, Shijiazhuang, Lanzhou and other cities have built rail transit backbone lines. The construction of rail transit in other cities will also be accelerated, which will raise the overall level of rail transit in China to a new level. On July 1 1, the media reported that the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) led a group of paint enterprises to enter Hebei, with a planned investment of/kloc-0.6 trillion yuan, and the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei economic circle will become a hot spot for construction. On July 12, the media reported that Tongzhou District of Beijing planned to build the Beijing Administrative Sub-center in two years, with an investment of10 billion yuan during the year. Construction enterprises must attach importance to such market information. On July 2nd, the State Council approved the upgrading of "Nanjing Jiangbei New District" to a national new district, which is the third national new district in the Yangtze River Delta after Shanghai Pudong New Area and Zhejiang Zhoushan Islands New District. It is reported that in 20 15, the China-Nanjing Golden Autumn Economic and Trade Fair in Jiangbei New District signed a project of130 billion yuan, and the Jiangsu provincial government decided to invest120 billion yuan in the corresponding infrastructure construction and build 10 river-crossing tunnels, all of which are free of charge. After the news came out, on July 2nd-12nd, 3,000 new houses were sold in Jiangbei real estate. On March 3, the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Finance, the Ministry of Land and Resources, the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, the Ministry of Communications, the Ministry of Public Security and the China Banking Regulatory Commission jointly issued the Guiding Opinions on Strengthening the Construction of Urban Parking Facilities, adopting the PPP model to attract private capital to effectively use the above-ground and underground resources, build parking lots and solve the parking problem, which is undoubtedly another big business opportunity for the construction industry. 10 10, the general office of the State Council issued "Guiding Opinions on Promoting the Construction of Underground Common Trenches", which regards the construction of underground pipe gallery as an important content to fulfill government functions and improve urban infrastructure, which is another business opportunity for the construction industry. On September 14, the National Development and Reform Commission held a TV China conference to comprehensively deploy the work of promoting stable investment growth. The meeting demanded that promoting the steady growth of investment should be the top priority of the whole year's work, and efforts should be made to promote ten major measures, increase investment, and maintain steady growth of investment and economy. The first six of these ten measures are all related to increasing investment. The Central Economic Work Conference in 20 14 added three different key words to the Troika, namely, to play the role of "supporting" export to economic growth, "basic" consumption to economic growth, and "key" investment to economic growth. In order to stimulate economic growth, the state issued a series of economic policies in 20 15, especially to increase investment and play its "key" role in stimulating economic growth, which will bring good news to the construction industry closely related to investment. In the second half of this year and the whole year of 20 1 1, the construction industry is bound to usher in great development opportunities. Second, strengthen the leadership of the construction industry and improve the industry status of the construction industry. On September 4th last year, the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development held a biennial national project quality management TV China conference. At the meeting, Minister Chen emphasized that the two-year action mainly focused on six tasks. One year has passed, and these six tasks are being actively and orderly promoted. The chaotic situation of the construction market formed over the years has been contained, and the high-intensity special treatment has initially established an institutional mechanism to adapt to the supervision and service of the construction market, which is conducive to the next reform and development of the construction industry. From September last year to September, the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development issued more than 10 documents, which changed the past practice of holding construction work meetings and putting the construction industry in various aspects. It not only studied quality management and market rectification in a targeted manner, but also put the reform and development of the construction industry on the important agenda, which cannot be said to be a blessing for the construction industry. Under the situation of increasing downward pressure on the economy, the construction industry, as a pillar industry in China, not only does not need state investment, but also digests a large number of rural surplus labor. This huge industry with 4 million employees must be carefully studied and strengthened. The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development plans to hold a national construction industry development conference in the second half of the year, and will issue a document in the name of the State Council to guide the reform and development of the construction industry. This will be the third year since 1984, when the State Council issued the construction documents, which fully shows that the Party and the government attach great importance to the development of the construction industry and strengthen their determination to lead the construction industry. At the critical juncture of the construction industry's "camp reform", the State Council's main leaders personally gave instructions twice, which was enough to show his concern for implementing the construction tax reform policy and reducing the burden on construction enterprises. These messages release a signal that the government must strengthen its leadership in the construction industry. Too many opportunities have been lost in the construction industry. Construction enterprises engaged in real estate should be a logical and complementary transformation and upgrading. In the 1990s, the relevant authorities issued an administrative order prohibiting construction enterprises from engaging in real estate development, which stifled the "way to make money" of construction enterprises. In 2009, in order to overcome the world financial crisis in 2008, the state issued the 10 industrial revitalization plan, which made the construction industry "famous" in Sun Shan. Because the construction industry has no industrial status, as the secondary industry, it simply can't enjoy the corresponding industrial policies, such as tax relief and loan concessions. Practice has proved that it is one-sided to realize the steady and healthy development of the construction industry and make greater contributions to the national economy by blindly emphasizing "supervision" and lacking guidance and guidance for development. Pay equal attention to "strengthening leadership" and "strengthening supervision" As long as we strengthen the leadership over the development of the industry, some contradictions in the supervision work can be solved in the development. Jiangsu is recognized as a major construction province in China, and the reason why it has been in the forefront of the country for many years is that the Jiangsu provincial government has always cared about and attached importance to the development of the construction industry. As early as the 1990s, when people were still worried about being labeled as "capitalist tail", with the support of the provincial government, cities and counties organized into organized teams and went to Daqing and Xinjiang to participate in the construction in the name of "building militia divisions". In the era of planned economy, the provincial government, in coordination with the Ministry of Railways, opened a special train for "migrant workers" to transport Jiangsu construction workers. The main leaders of this province had to travel to Shenzhen, Shanghai and Beijing to inspect the construction sites in Jiangsu. In the new century, the provincial government issues a document on the reform and development of the construction industry every five years to guide the development of the construction industry. Especially on the first day of September 20 15, the provincial government held an executive meeting to study the construction industry. Leaders of the Ministry of Finance, the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Commerce and other relevant departments attended the meeting. The meeting heard a report from the Provincial Department of Housing and Urban-Rural Development on the development of the construction industry in the province. Governor Li put forward clear requirements for the development of the construction industry, and relevant departments indicated that they would give policy support in construction industrialization and going abroad. In order to implement the spirit of the executive meeting of the provincial government, the Provincial Department of Housing and Urban-Rural Development has formulated the "Ten Ones" work plan for the coming period, promoting the innovative development, transformation and upgrading, and green construction of the construction industry, promoting the construction enterprises to fully integrate into the "Belt and Road" construction, consolidating the "Iron Army" brand of Jiangsu construction, and constantly improving the competitiveness and share of the domestic and foreign construction markets. A series of government policies and measures have supported Jiangsu's construction industry to rank first in the country since 2000, and the average annual growth rate has remained above 1.5% since the Twelfth Five-Year Plan, which has played an important role in promoting the economic and social development of the province. Therefore, Bian Xiao believes that the greater the downward pressure on the economy, the more difficult it is for the construction industry to develop, and the more it is necessary to strengthen its leadership in the construction industry and enhance its status. Because the construction industry is an industry that can promote the employment of rural surplus labor force without state investment. Under the current situation, the construction industry should seize the opportunity of reform and development and actively adapt to the new normal. 20 15 is the closing year of the 12th Five-Year Plan. Under the situation that the whole macro-economy has entered a new normal, China's construction industry should focus on improving the quality and efficiency of construction industry development, accelerate the transformation and upgrading of the industry and promote the transformation of development mode, so as to lay a good foundation for the first year of the Thirteenth Five-Year Plan-2016. It is believed that the situation of China construction industry will be more brilliant in 20 16 years as various investment policies and supporting policies to standardize market behavior and promote industry development take root.