5G plate heat is not reduced to open a new stage of the industrial Internet
Recently, the 5G plate heat is not reduced. 2019 March 3 afternoon CPPCC National Committee member, China Unicom Research Institute President Zhang Yunyong in the Great Hall of the People "members" said. Channel", said 25 provinces, autonomous regions and cities in China are carrying out network pilot, the second half of the 5G cell phone will be sporadic listing. 5G concept stocks on March 4, many stocks stop. Experts believe that 5G as a new generation of information and communication technology, open a new stage of industrial Internet contribution will be more significant.
5G opens a new phase of the industrial Internet to contribute more significantly
Zhang Chunfei, director of the Regulatory Research Department of the Institute of Policy and Economic Research of the China Institute of Information and Communications Technology, analyzed that 5G, as a new generation of information and communications technology, the main direction of development, with a higher speed, lower latency and greater user connectivity and other significant features, not only to meet the people and people's communications, but also people and things, things and things communication, will be the most effective way of communication, will be the most effective way of communication, will be the most effective way of communication. GSMA predicts that by 2025, the number of global 5G connections will reach 1.4 billion, accounting for 15% of the global total.
Zuo Kairui, a senior engineer at the Institute of Policy and Economics of the China Academy of Information and Communications Research, said the coordinated development of 5G and 4G is accelerating infrastructure upgrades. At the initial stage of network construction, 5G mainly covers hot spots, and when there is no 5G coverage, 5G multi-mode terminals (compatible with 4G/5G multiple systems) can automatically switch to 4G networks, and 5G network construction can be synergized with 4G networks. It is expected that in 2020-2025, the total investment in 5G networks will be 900-1,500 billion yuan, and the cumulative revenue of telecom companies from 5G services will reach 1.9 trillion yuan in the same period.
5G to expand the new space of industrial Internet
Wang Mingzhu, an engineer at the Institute of Policy and Economics of the China Academy of Information and Communications Research, analyzed:
1. Enhanced mobile broadband scenarios, mainly the upgrading of the existing mobile Internet, to provide users with a more extreme experience of the application, such as smart home, smart medical care, virtual reality and so on.
2. IoT scenarios, mainly oriented to smart cities, car networking and other low-power big connection applications, bringing new intelligent applications to city management, environmental monitoring, intelligent transportation and other industries.
3. Industrial Internet scenarios are mainly oriented to industrial control, factory automation, remote operation and maintenance, and other vertical industry applications that have extremely high requirements for latency and reliability.
From the above application scenarios, it can be seen that, compared with 4G, 5G applications will be combined with a wider range of real economic areas, greatly promoting the development and growth of the industrial Internet, the formation of key infrastructure to support the digital transformation of the economy and society, and promote the transformation and upgrading of the real economy.
5G contributes significantly to the economy and society
From the point of view of direct contribution, the deployment of 5G can effectively drive the rapid development of the industrial chain:
1, 5G network construction process requires the procurement of a large number of network equipment, which will drive the research and development of advanced equipment by China's equipment manufacturing enterprises.
2, drive the upgrading of cell phone terminals, will promote cell phone manufacturers to manufacture more advanced and richer terminal products.
3, faster network speeds, better terminals, will also promote the Internet, software companies to develop more and better applications, leading to the improvement of the overall level of information services.
From the point of view of indirect contribution, 5G will become a key enabler for the digital transformation of various industries in the national economy
The deep integration of 5G with cloud computing, big data, artificial intelligence and other technologies will support a comprehensive and profound change in the production process of traditional industries such as research and development and design, manufacturing, and management services, and will help optimize the structure of the traditional industries to improve their quality and efficiency. Through the inter-industry correlation effect and ripple effect, it will amplify the contribution of 5G to economic and social development, and drive the national economy to realize high-quality development in various industries and fields.
From the point of view of employment contribution, 5G will create a large number of employment opportunities with high knowledge content
While 5G drives employment in the mobile communications industry, it will also give rise to new types of information service positions, such as industrial data analysis, development of intelligent algorithms, and application solutions for the 5G industry, as well as fostering flexible employment models based on online platforms. It is expected that by 2025, 5G will directly create more than 3 million jobs.
According to the statistics of China 5G Industry Development Prospect Forecast and Industry Chain Investment Opportunity Analysis Report released by Foresight Industry Research Institute, from the point of view of direct contribution, it is expected that during the period of 2020-2025, China's 5G commercialization will directly drive the total economic output of 10.6 trillion yuan, and the added value of the economy directly created amounts to 3.3 trillion yuan. In terms of indirect contribution, it is expected that during the period of 2020-2025, the total economic output indirectly driven by China's 5G commercialization will be about 24.8 trillion yuan, and the value added of the economy indirectly driven will be 8.4 trillion yuan. In terms of employment contribution, it is expected that by 2025, 5G will directly create more than 3 million jobs.
Statistics and forecast of direct and indirect economic output of China's 5G in 2020-2030
Data source: public information, Prospect Industry Research Institute
Three major carriers' pilot city battle experts commented on the need to speed up the pace of the fight for global leadership
Following the three major carriers' obtaining the nationwide 5G low and medium band test in December last year, the three major carriers have been granted the license to use the frequency in January this year. After the use of frequency licenses, in January this year, Minister of Industry and Information Technology Miao Wei said that 5G commercial promotion will be carried out in the middle of this year, and some areas will be issued 5G temporary licenses, so that large-scale networking can be realized in some cities and hotspots, while accelerating the industrialization of the terminal and the construction of the network.
Zhang Yunyong, a member of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC) and director of China Unicom's research institute, said at the Great Hall of the People's "commissioner's channel" on the afternoon of March 3 that 25 provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities in China are carrying out network pilots.
The technical characteristics of 5G determines the mega-intensity of its network construction. In terms of network construction, CITIC Capital Securities expects in a research report that China will newly open about 100,000 5G base stations in 2019, and the world is expected to be around 300,000~400,000 base stations. The amount of 5G base stations in the future will be two times the amount of 4G base stations, which shows that 5G requires large-scale investment. And 5G base station construction scale is depending on the operator, can be expected, operators around the 5G battle is near at hand.
Currently the fastest progress is the pilot cities of the three major operators. In December last year, Li Zhengmao, vice president of China Mobile Group Corporation, said at the China Mobile 5G Innovation and Cooperation Summit that China Mobile has 17 experimental cities in the country. Among them, 5G scale experiments are being conducted in five cities: Hangzhou, Shanghai, Suzhou, Guangzhou and Wuhan. In addition, application demonstrations will be carried out in 12 cities, including Beijing, Chengdu, Shenzhen, Qingdao, Tianjin, Fuzhou, Wuhan, Nanjing, Guiyang, Shenyang, Zhengzhou and Chongqing, to delve into vertical industry applications, form end-to-end solutions and explore emerging business models.
China Unicom plans to conduct 5G trials in 17 cities, including Beijing, Xiongan, Shenyang, Tianjin, Qingdao, Nanjing, Shanghai, Hangzhou, Fuzhou, Shenzhen, Zhengzhou, Chengdu, Chongqing, Wuhan, Guiyang, Guangzhou and Zhangjiakou. China Telecom, on the other hand, is preparing to conduct trials in 17 cities, including Beijing, Xiongan, Shenzhen, Shanghai, Suzhou, Chengdu, Lanzhou, Nanjing, Fuzhou, Chongqing, Hangzhou and Haikou.
It looks like several major operators are competing in full swing, but some communications experts commented that compared to the aggressive pace of Korea and the U.S. in 5G, the three major domestic carriers are still relatively conservative in their "fierce battle". Although the three major domestic operators are shouting the importance of 5G, but the actual overall action may not be a big pace. The three major carriers need to further accelerate the pace of the fight for global leadership in 5G.