What is the most promising industry in China in the next 20 years please guys 3Q
What are the most promising industries in China in the future? The main purpose of my writing this paragraph is to give you some reference guidance on choosing a career, investment and so on. According to the advantages and disadvantages of the prospects I think there are mainly the following industries: 1, in first place is the water industry, including water resources, sewage treatment, desalination technology. Many friends may say, why would it be water? Because water is a kind of no one can not do without, irreplaceable, regeneration has a greater cost of resources; and the value of a certain resource depends on the relationship between demand and supply, or the scarcity of resources. From the demand side, with the continuous development of China's economy, the demand for water is rigidly rising, and the elasticity of demand for water is very small, that is to say, the demander is willing to pay an infinitely high price for water resources; in addition, with more than 1.3 billion people in China, the demand for water is undoubtedly quite huge. Looking at the supply, China's water supply is quite tight, look at some data. China's total water resources reached 2.8 trillion cubic meters, but the per capita water resources possession is only 2,200 cubic meters, equivalent to 1/4 of the world's per capita level; China's water resources are unevenly distributed in time and space, with more in summer and autumn and less in winter and spring; more in the south and fewer in the north, and more in the east and fewer in the west; in addition to the natural endowment, environmental pollution is seriously affecting the supply of water resources in China; according to the official statistics, more than half of the major watercourses in China have been flooded with water. According to official statistics, more than half of China's major waterways are polluted, the water is neither drinkable nor can be used for irrigation, the existing more than 300 million people (close to China's population of 1/4) lack of clean drinking water; according to the State Environmental Protection Administration's monitoring, in 2005, the country's seven major water systems in the 411 surface water monitoring section of the cross section of 27% of the cross section of the inferior V water quality, about 1/2 of the country's urban areas of the groundwater is seriously contaminated; pollution of the water column In fact, the number of water resources available for human use has been reduced, creating an artificial shortage of water resources. In fact, the lack of water is a problem faced by most countries around the world, I guess an important cause of future wars is likely to be the big countries compete for water resources. In fact, there are already foreign investors acquiring or controlling water projects in China at high premiums.On August 18, Yangzhou Water Tap Water equity transfer project bidding, the transfer of 49% of the net assets valued at 180 million yuan, the winning company has a 30-year water supply concession within the designated area;*** there are four water companies bidding for the bidding, multinational company Sino-French Water dominated the bidding with 895 million yuan, the offer was August 22, tianjin water project 49% equity transfer, the evaluation of the asset price of more than 700 million yuan, which, the bidding side of the mandatory provisions of the "must be a premium of more than 30%"; in the bidding company quotes, in France water for 1.19 billion yuan, Veolia water 2.18 billion yuan. For foreign high premium acquisition of water projects around the world, have control of local governments tend to raise their hands in favor: one can increase the local government revenue, the second is the introduction of foreign investment for the local area, the third is that there is no increase in the price of water, the people did not suffer. However, the development of this situation continues, no one can not be clear what will be left for the future of the hidden dangers. Capital is profit-seeking, foreign capital will not come to do charity, it pays a high premium will eventually be recovered in the future business. I think the Chinese people will find that the water bill accounts for a large part of their living expenses in the future. So, if you want to make a long-term investment, you should have a good return if you buy some equity in water resources, water treatment and sewage equipment production companies. From the point of view of choosing a career and selecting a professional direction, water resources utilization and treatment, desalination treatment, water recycling should be a good industry in the future. 2, in second place is the luxury industry, including private jets, cruise ships, high-end cars, high-end consumer goods, high-end clubs, high-end health care and so on. Although China as a whole is not rich, the total number of rich people in China is quite amazing. China's rich people are more impatient and willing to pay a lot of money for luxury consumption, I believe the future development of this industry is unlimited. 3, ranked third is the health care (including psychological counseling) industry. Since China's healthcare industry is basically a complete government monopoly, the effective supply is insufficient; this explains why it is expensive to see a doctor, difficult to see a doctor, and the problem of giving away red envelopes. In fact, I personally feel that the status and income of doctors in China have been artificially suppressed. In the United States income ranked first are doctors and lawyers, followed by business, followed by public **** service (civil servants); in China seems to be reversed, civil servants first, business second, doctors ah what ranked behind it. I think the people's demand for healthcare is infinite, as long as they can afford it, and as people's income levels rise, they will invest more and more in their health. As you can see, the opening up of many industries in China has basically followed this trajectory, starting from a complete government monopoly, slowly opening up to a Chinese-foreign joint venture government oligopoly, to monopolistic competition, to complete competition, etc.; and the market value of professionals in this industry has slowly manifested itself with the opening up of the market. The financial industry is a typical example. Originally, the government took care of everything, and financial professionals could not survive or starve, but with the financial reforms since 2003, the market value of financial professionals has quickly emerged, and the incomes of financial professionals have risen; frankly speaking, the incomes of financial professionals will be further increased in the future, until the market has fully reflected the value of the professionals. The healthcare industry is one of the industries that has been slow to open up in China, but I believe it will. Of course, it will not be as completely open as the restaurant industry, but at least it will be like the financial industry, allowing foreign capital and private capital to enter; when the industry opens up, the market value of healthcare professionals will soon be revealed, and the market value of some medical institutions is also exciting. Unfortunately, from the investment point of view, it is now difficult to find suitable enterprises, only medical equipment manufacturing and pharmaceutical companies can be invested; the choice of career and professional point of view, doctors, counselors, pharmaceuticals, etc. is a very good industry. 4, ranked fourth in the financial industry (including banking, insurance, securities, trust, asset management, financial leasing, pawnbroking, financial services, etc.). We know that the financial industry in the vertical order of the industry is a relatively high level, meaning that according to the level of human needs, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fisheries ranked at the bottom is the most basic, followed by food processing, health care, drinking water, energy, etc., and then again is the manufacturing industry, the construction industry, commerce, transportation, communication and information industry, followed by the financial industry, culture and media industry, scientific research, education, public * * * service (government agencies) industry, is very good. **service (government agencies) industry, etc. So the financial industry has a distinctive feature, when the economic growth is strong, the financial industry tends to dominate, with high income and status; when the economy is in the doldrums, the hardest hit tends to be the financial industry as well; of course the lean camel is bigger than the horse, as long as there is no social unrest, no all-out war, the financial industry will always be the first choice of the industry. From the investment point of view, now is not the best time to invest in the financial industry, because the long-term economic boom has made the valuation of financial sector companies high, and caution is advised. From the perspective of choosing a profession and choosing a career, the financial industry is quite a good industry that people can venture into. 5, ranked fifth is the real estate industry. The above has been raised, every Chinese has a dream - have a home of their own, so the next few decades, the real estate industry will still be considerable. In addition, the country is likely to learn from the United States, the establishment of a special real estate mortgage guarantee institutions (the United States has three major institutions, the Federal National Mortgage Association, the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation, and the Government Mortgage Association) to the middle class and above families to provide guaranteed mortgages to ensure that they can afford to buy a house, and at the same time to promote the securitization of real estate mortgages in China. So the outlook for the real estate industry is quite good from a demand perspective. 6. In sixth place is the advertising, media and entertainment industry. Although China has a relatively strict ideological control, it does not fail to see opportunities for opening up. The opening of advertising, media and entertainment is close at hand, and we can treat it as an industry with development potential; the biggest defect of this industry is that it is subject to more serious control and is easily affected by policy changes, but the long-term outlook is still very promising. 7, ranked seventh in the resource category (including non-ferrous metals, minerals, coal, cement, glass, etc.) and energy (petroleum and petrochemical power industry, including nuclear power). The prospects of this industry in China will certainly be very good, because the economic rise of a country must consume more resources, energy, etc.. Of course, from an investment point of view, energy companies are a superior choice for long-term investment. There is no need to say more about the choice of career. 8, eighth is the education and training industry. China's working population base is huge, the demand for technical skills training of the labor force is also huge, the potential of this industry can be seen from the hot listing of New Oriental. 8, the eighth is the consumer goods industry, our 1.3 billion people of rigid consumption will be a sky-high data, so retail, logistics, express delivery, e-commerce and so on should be optimistic prospects; but the biggest problem of this industry is that the competition is relatively full, with the economic cycle fluctuations are relatively large. 9, the ninth is the elderly services industry. Mainly nursing homes, elderly health care, geriatric nutrition and other services for the elderly industry. China is now an aging society, and the number of elderly people will skyrocket in the future. In the future, young people need to take care of an increasing number of elderly people, the only way for young people to rely on socialized professional services to ensure the normal life of the previous generation. Of course, this industry can be invested in fewer products at present, but it can be said that it is a good market for entrepreneurship. 10, tenth is agriculture. Agriculture is the root of all industries. Agriculture is the most important, but agriculture has the largest population, the most competition, the state has a lot of protection for agriculture. But the return period of agricultural investment is long, affected by climate and other force majeure, non-investment of the best choice. The above ten industry judgment is just based on personal experience, for your reference. Another thing to remind you is that in all industries, you must work in the industry's most core work. For example, if you want to work in the bank, you must engage in financial markets, corporate customer service, personal customer service, risk management and other professional work, can not be engaged in what the office, personnel services and other logistical work; because the core positions must be the industry's highest-paid work, and non-core positions are certainly dependent on the core work, often in the distribution of salaries is the core position personnel eat meat, non-core The core positions are often meat, non-core positions to drink soup.