? After decades of development, the traditional Internet has entered the bottleneck of development to a certain extent, and the future opportunity will be a brand-new era of intelligent Internet. As an important information revolution in human history, the Internet pursues freedom, openness and enjoyment, which pushes the human information revolution to the extreme. Thousands of kilometers apart, people can exchange information in real-time, high-speed, multimedia and multi-directions. In this context, mankind is facing an information explosion. When the Internet has developed for decades, more and more people all over the world have become netizens, and the Internet has penetrated into all aspects of social life. What is the further development of the Internet? Higher speed, more information?
The next opportunity is the smart Internet.
Intelligent Internet has comprehensive capabilities such as high-speed mobile network, big data analysis and mining, and intelligent perception. Internet and mobile Internet are its foundation, but they must be integrated through data mining and data analysis. Intelligent perception ability increases the perception ability of traditional information transmission. These capabilities are combined to form an incomparable and unimaginable force of the traditional Internet.
There is no doubt that the intelligent Internet, like the traditional Internet, still needs a high-speed network. This network not only needs high speed, but also needs wide-area coverage, which is ubiquitous in social life and ubiquitous in real time. In other words, anyone, anywhere, whether at home, in the office or in a moving car, in the wild, has a network, and he can use it anytime and anywhere. High-speed network is the foundation of intelligent Internet.
In addition, the ability of big data analysis has completely changed our understanding of the network. The traditional network is only information transmission, and we only pay attention to the flow of information, and seldom pay attention to the storage and analysis of information. Because more and more users use the network, and even everything in life is carried out in this network, cloud storage records every network activity, websites we visit, e-commerce transactions, games we play, places we navigate, movies we watch ... all these information have never happened and disappeared like the traditional world. In the intelligent Internet world, cloud storage helps us to record everything. Therefore, it is of great value to sort, mine and analyze these data.
Finally, the intelligent internet began to have intelligent perception. The intelligent Internet world is not only the transmission of information, but also the improvement and supplement of people's perception. With the emergence of terminal products represented by mobile phones, a large number of smart wearable devices began to slowly form their own strength, and intelligent perception became possible. An ordinary smart phone is far from being a tool for calculation, storage and communication. The basic capabilities of traditional computers, mobile phones have already possessed, even surpassed computers.
But the biggest difference of mobile phone is that it has a large number of sensors built in, which makes it have strong sensing ability. These sensors include pressure sensing, gravity sensing, vector sensing, rotation sensing, acceleration sensing, height sensing, direction sensing, orientation sensing, position sensing, image sensing, sound sensing, temperature sensing, infrared sensing, radiation sensing, RFID, NFC and so on. These numerous sensors make mobile phones an unattainable tool for computers, and their capabilities are even more powerful.
The traditional Internet has solved the problem of free information transmission. Freedom, openness and enjoyment are its basic spirits, and free is its basic business model. The core strength of the traditional Internet is information transmission, so it is necessary to break through various restrictions and realize the free transmission of information. Although there are services in this system and e-commerce is gradually established, its core advantage is information transmission.
The intelligent Internet has increased the awareness and induction of the world, and on this basis, more and more valuable service capabilities can be established. The core of traditional Internet is communication, but the core of intelligent Internet is service. In the traditional Internet, there can be a unique Internet company whose function is to be a platform and spread. However, in the era of intelligent internet, there are few specialized internet companies, and all intelligent internet services are combined with traditional industries, infiltrating into traditional industries and forming valuable services.
For example, in the traditional Internet era, taxi applications that have become popular in recent years can use computers and the Internet to call taxis. In fact, this service can be done, but it is very inconvenient to use. It is impossible for users to take a taxi with them, and it is also difficult to install computers and surf the Internet in taxis. The mobile phone completely solved this problem. Users have mobile phones in their hands and can call a car anytime and anywhere. The driver also has a mobile phone in his hand and can answer it.
The fundamental reasons for the popularity of taxi calling are not limited to these. The positioning system makes information push more accurate, and the positioning system can also know where the user is. Positioning and electronic maps can also let users clearly see where their car is and how far it is from them. The electronic payment system allows users to get off at the destination and pay after getting off.
Without intelligent induction and mobile network, these functions cannot be supported by traditional internet systems. More smart sensors are not only built into mobile phones, but also appear in more products through wearable products. Together with big data analysis and mobile networks, they will change the future service capabilities and service systems of traditional industries.
Intelligent Internet will usher in a new service era.
The intelligent Internet has not created and formed a new industry. It must penetrate and combine with traditional industries, improve their service ability, change their promotion and communication ability, and make their ability stronger. We believe that all traditional industries will be influenced and transformed by the intelligent Internet in the future.
At the same time, in this intelligent transformation process, the Internet has found new opportunities. During the development of traditional Internet, there have been Internet companies such as Sina, Sohu and Tencent. The core business of these internet companies has nothing to do with traditional industries, but has established a separate industry.
However, Internet companies such as Ali and Taobao are involved, and their core business is closely related to traditional industries. Help traditional industries improve efficiency, solve payment and form off-site business sales. And telemedicine, mobile payment and smart home supported by smart Internet in the future, which businesses have nothing to do with traditional industries?
From the very beginning, the traditional Internet took communication as its core, and its business model was free, and it gradually found revenue through free services. The core business of intelligent Internet will be valuable services, that is, improving the level and ability of traditional services. It has commercial value in itself, and it also has more market space and market opportunities.
In the future, which fields and industries will be infiltrated and transformed by the intelligent Internet?
1. Military field. The intelligent Internet has changed the military field. As we all know, new technologies always appear in the military field first and are widely used in the military field. The Internet came into being from the ARPANET of the military, and then gradually became civilian, and finally became the largest network system in the world. The intelligent internet first appeared in the military, and was adopted by the military, and developed to the people a little bit.
Today we look at the development of world military and large-scale infantry fighting, which has long been a very outdated theory and rarely appears again. What plays an important role in modern war is a huge network system. In addition to the mutual communication network system, it also forms a full coverage network with optical cables, mobile communication networks and communication satellites, covering any place in the world. These networks not only provide communication support, but also can conduct reconnaissance, carry out long-range strikes and manage remote equipment. Several spy satellites fly over our heads every day. From the Iraq war to all the recent wars, we have seen fewer and fewer soldiers, but more and more equipment and equipment, from large-scale bombing to targeted precision strikes.
In addition to the huge network system at work, the analysis of big data is going on every day, collecting data, comparing, analyzing, discovering changes and providing valuable information. A large number of computers are responsible for these tasks every day, which makes the attack more and more accurate and impactful.
The future war will be an intelligent war. A battlefield far away from the intelligent internet industry and relying on people to fight will only have slaughter. I believe that one day individual soldiers will become more and more intelligent, and even only robots can fight. None of this is business, but we must know that the development of these technologies will be the basis of business.
2. The field of transportation. Intelligent transportation system is creating a new way of human travel. The application of intelligent internet in the field of transportation, we have seen the initial clue in navigation products. A few years ago, navigation was a specialized product, and we often heard complaints about navigation. Because the quality of the map is not high and the map is not updated, we are often led into the ditch. Navigation products still have big problems.
However, with the gradual improvement of the 4G network, maps are no longer maps packaged in cars and mobile phones, but maps that can be updated in real time. We will find that navigation is getting more and more accurate. In addition to the basic navigation function, it also adds many services such as real-time road conditions and surrounding businesses. Navigation has become a powerful, efficient and widely used product.
From navigation and taxi applications, we have seen the first step of intelligent transportation. What is the future of intelligent transportation? I believe it is a brand-new integrated management system composed of powerful unmanned driving and digital maps.
First of all, all car trips must be controlled by the central control system. Which road and speed each car should take to reach its destination requires big data analysis and planning, which is controlled by the central control system. In this way, there will be no traffic accidents, no traffic jams and no cars crowding in on a certain road.
Secondly, the future car must be a driverless car. Unmanned driving not only liberates people from driving, but also improves safety through unmanned driving. In China, the number of people who die from road traffic accidents is as high as 65438+ 10,000 every year. One of the main reasons is that there are many problems in the driver team, and the information processing and response ability is poor. For example, if there is an accident in front of a car, the driver of the car receives the light information with his eyes, and then transmits the information to his brain, which processes it and sends out a braking instruction. This instruction is transmitted to the foot by bioelectricity through the brain nerve. This transmission speed is very problematic, and there is often no response. The car has already hit.
To solve this problem, we must make cars intelligent. In driverless cars, there must be a large number of sensing devices to obtain data on road conditions, weather conditions, road quality and other aspects. Not only cars need to be managed by the central control center, but also cars are interconnected. Braking the car in front will stop all the cars behind that affect the safe distance.
Finally, today's maps should be transformed from analog maps to digital maps in the future. Today's simulated map only records the road. It is an extremely extensive record, and it is impossible to accurately record a certain point without recoding, so it is impossible to give users accurate guidance.
Digital map should be a scientific method to accurately code all places on land or even in the ocean. In this way, we can accurately distinguish the coming and going of cars, which lane the car is in and where the car should go, rather than ordinary places.
3. In the field of health. Intelligent health management makes human life longer. The health problems in modern society are becoming more and more complicated, and a large number of health problems are not solved until they get sick. Health problems actually need to form good living habits.
What are the good living habits? This is physiological coordination, clean environment, balanced diet, moderate exercise, adequate sleep and psychological balance. However, we find that modern people rarely abide by such living habits. Many people have insufficient exercise, unbalanced diet, great psychological pressure and poor sleep.
In order to form good living habits, there must be some data monitoring, and everyone should understand their physical condition and then intervene in a targeted manner.
The future smart health system will include smart wearable products worn on the body. These smart wearable products will be smart phones, smart bracelets, smart key chains and smart health cards. These smart devices collect all aspects of human body and environment information, and synchronize information with mobile phones through low-power communication networks such as Bluetooth.
In the future, in the 5G technology, this information may also be directly transmitted to the cloud of the network through a low-power communication network. The big data analysis system in the cloud will analyze according to the multi-dimensional human health model, and then prompt and remind users to help them form healthy living habits.
In addition, special equipment such as blood pressure, blood sugar and ECG monitoring can track the basic health information of human body in real time, and can be analyzed through the medical big data system to find out the possible diseases of users in time, remind users to seek medical treatment or rest in time and adjust their living habits.
And a large number of data are comprehensively concentrated in a huge and complex database for comprehensive analysis. Through this system, users can develop good living habits, find possible diseases in time, and track, prompt, remind and correct them during treatment and rehabilitation.
The biggest feature of intelligent health management and intelligent medical care is that it is no longer only treated when the disease suddenly breaks out. Mobile phones and smart wearable products help to collect real-time information, and big data helps to understand more detailed physical changes. Finally, all this translates into services and treatment.
4. Home court. Smart home is more than just making life more convenient. The smart home market has been launched and has become an important breakthrough of the smart Internet. All the lights and sockets in the house can be intelligently controlled, which is not only convenient, but also safe and energy-saving.
Many vendors are seizing the smart gateway market. The future home router is not only an interface to the Internet, but also a home storage center and a home intelligent product management center.
We will have a lot of data, including documents, pictures and videos. , but scattered in computers, PADs, mobile phones, memory cards, cameras, camcorders and many other products. Often there is something wrong with one device, or we change our mobile phone and computer, and all the data is gone. If there is a cloud, it is not convenient to upload at present and the space is limited. It is very valuable to build a storage system in your own home. Routers can do this. In the router, the hard disk and Wifi capabilities are integrated, and the data of all products can be automatically transmitted to the router through management functions, forming a permanent home storage system. It's easy to buy a bigger hard disk at home, but the cloud is actually limited.
In addition to storage, managing all household products through home gateway is also a major direction in the future. In addition to lamp sockets, our home air purifiers, range hoods, washing machines, refrigerators, curtains, air conditioners, doors and windows, and toilets can all be managed. Through such a management system, these household items can be safer and more efficient, and meet our daily needs.
At present, smart home has entered an explosion point, and it is believed that there will be a large number of similar products in the next three years, which will continuously enhance users' feelings and experiences.
5. The field of electronic commerce. Mobile e-commerce and e-commerce are completely different. There is no difference between today's e-commerce and traditional commerce in essence, but the traditional supermarkets and trade markets are moved online and sold through the network. There is no difference between sales model and behavior habit and traditional business.
In the future, intelligent guidance and electronic payment will be introduced into mobile e-commerce. When anyone sees a product, likes it and intends to buy it, he can use his mobile phone to approach the product and buy it. Through this transformation, users don't need to go shopping or find online stores, but see any goods. As long as they want to buy, they can immediately identify the purchase through NFC and other technologies. In this form, shops may be transformed into exhibition halls, and exhibition halls will appear in more places and in more situations. )
This situation may completely change the whole pattern of e-commerce. On the one hand, due to the built-in identification chip, this product can hardly be faked, and fakes may become history; On the other hand, because there is no need for online stores, it means that there is no need for circulation channels. The product itself is a propaganda channel and the product itself is a sales channel. Each manufacturer becomes a seller by itself, and the manufacturer becomes a mobile e-commerce enterprise. This situation may be an impact on mobile e-commerce platform vendors and pure e-commerce online stores. The future industrial structure will also undergo great changes.
In addition to the above, in fact, public services, mobile payment, and financial fields will undergo major changes due to the smart Internet, and their efficiency and capabilities will be greatly improved.
Opportunities and Challenges for Operators
What is the basis for the development of intelligent Internet? Or mobile Internet, a high-speed, low-power, low-delay, Internet of Everything, high security and ubiquitous network is the foundation of intelligent Internet. All these require telecom operators to establish a highly reliable network system. Ensure the normal operation of all services. Different from the traditional communication network, the development of intelligent internet in the future puts forward more new requirements for the network.
High speed. On the basis of 4G, the Internet speed can be increased by 100 times, reaching 20Gbps per second. Many people will think, do we really need such a fast speed? Is this speed useful? Of course, judging from today's business needs, this speed is really a bit wasteful, and we really don't need such speed. However, do we still remember that when we switched from 56Kbps dial-up to ADSL, did we feel that we needed 10M or even higher bandwidth? At that time, we felt that such a fast speed was unnecessary. Facts have proved that it is not only necessary but also necessary. Business is always developing. As long as the speed goes up, there will be matching business. We should not think that speed is unnecessary.
Moreover, the improvement of speed is not only the user's experience, but also faster, which is very valuable from the technical and industrial fields. Such a high speed, on the one hand, means that the spectrum utilization rate is greatly improved, and the previous 20M spectrum may be greatly improved now, with stronger transmission capacity. At the same time, the speed is 20Gbps, which means that our technology can use some spectrum that was previously thought to be impossible to have commercial value for mobile communication, and its value is the same as developing Taklimakan land to build houses. Turn some impossible resources into something valuable. We all know the famous saying that wired resources are infinite, while wireless resources are limited. That is to say, the spectrum resources are insufficient. In fact, it is not the lack of spectrum resources, but the abundance of spectrum, but the resources that we humans can commercialize are too few. For a long time, our commercial resources were below 2GHz, and the spectrum in higher frequency bands was difficult to use. But the development of communication technology is to use these resources bit by bit. When 3G just started to develop, a professor at Nanyou thought that 3G couldn't develop because of poor spectrum based on backward theory. In fact, the spectrum used by 4G today has reached 3.5GHz, and 5G will definitely use more spectrum resources, which means that the ability of human beings to develop mobile communication resources has been greatly improved.
It is necessary to mention that the increase in speed will definitely be accompanied by a sharp drop in traffic charges. One day, it is not impossible for us to have 1G traffic 1 cent, or even 1 cent.
Low latency. This may be an angle that ordinary users rarely care about. The base station responds to the user's command with the fastest speed. Today, a user's mobile phone is connected to the Internet, so it may not be painful for a while. Everyone accepts this feeling, a few milliseconds or dozens of milliseconds may not matter. What 5G needs to do is to make this delay as small as possible, and the base station will process the user's command at the fastest speed and respond in the most timely manner. Users don't pay attention to this problem at all when surfing the internet with computers. Waiting for a few seconds is nothing. When surfing the internet with mobile phones, users don't take it too seriously. Just make a phone call, there is always a connection process. Waiting is a normal habit of communication. However, for intelligent services after 5G, the requirements are completely different. Use it to support navigation. At an intersection, the response is slow, and the user may turn around at the intersection for a long time. Especially in the intelligent transportation system, all cars are managed through the central control center. A delay of one second may lead to a series of car collisions. Therefore, low latency is a problem that 5G must solve.
Low power consumption. We have a large number of smart wearable products this year. The basic idea is to connect through the mobile phone, and then the mobile phone communicates with the base station to send the data online. These products are basically impossible to connect with the base station. Because the current base station mainly solves voice communication, even data is done faster and faster, and high power consumption is natural. However, it is impossible for future wearable products to have large batteries. Without a fundamental breakthrough in power technology, these products need to establish new channels to communicate with base stations. These channels do not provide high speed, but can provide low-speed low-power data communication. This allows many products with low data requirements but high power consumption requirements to provide services.
Everything is connected. In the era of voice as the core, the number of links supported by mobile communication is very limited. At present, China base station only supports about 65.438+0.2 billion terminals, that is, everyone has one or two terminals. In the 5G era, everyone may have 5 or even 65.438+00 terminals, and the number of devices connected to each base station will increase by 5 times or even 65.438+00 times. A large number of wearable products will be connected to the network. This means that in the future, the authentication, management and billing of equipment will undergo great changes. In the 5G era, the concept of surfing the Internet will be completely forgotten, networking is the norm, and a large number of wearable products will always be connected to the network to provide all kinds of valuable data. Become the foundation of intelligent internet.
The telecommunications industry will undergo great changes, even local changes, because of the intelligent Internet. Until today, the main business of telecom operators is still relatively single. In the traditional voice era, telecom service network and service are unified, and service and network are integrated. In the 3G era, traffic leads to the separation of network operators, and telecom operators have been worried that they will become pipelines. For more than ten years, telecom operators have been trying to get rid of the status of pipeline. After several years of struggle, the efforts of operators all over the world have proved one thing: operators are basically unable to do business well, and so far, none of the services of telecom operators have achieved great success except voice.
In the era of intelligent internet, telecommunication network will form three layers, namely, transport layer, management layer and business layer. In the earliest telecommunication system, these three layers were integrated. A telephone includes transmission, management and service, which are integrated together. In the 3G era, the transport layer and service layer began to separate, and telecom operators mainly provided traffic and became pipelines. Although telecom operators have made great attempts, most of the services are not successful enough, and a large number of internet companies have participated in the services. In the 5G era, in addition to the pipeline layer and business layer of transmission, management will become more important, and the integrated system will undergo qualitative changes. In traditional telecommunications, management is nothing more than a user or a terminal, which is basically authentication and billing. 5G is not only the management of users and terminals, the same user will use a large number of terminals, and different charging modes will be adopted for different terminals, which makes management and charging more complicated. The functions of the management and billing layer are closely related to the business layer. In this process, telecom operators still take transmission as the core, or on the basis of transmission, influence the business layer through management, and form closer contact and cooperation with the business layer. This will greatly promote the differentiation of telecom operators. Holding the transmission, the competitiveness is weak. In addition to transmission, we can find our own position and breakthrough in management.
I believe that the telecom industry will be relatively stable in the next five years, but after 2020, with the development of 5G, telecom operators will make adjustments according to their own conditions. Different adjustment speeds and different selection directions will produce completely different results. Some will gain great opportunities for development, while others will face decline. And every time this change, those once weak but pioneering enterprises will break out and break through in the change. And once powerful enterprises may gradually decline.
The above is what Bian Xiao shared with you about the Internet of Everything going hand in hand in the era of intelligent Internet. For more information, you can pay attention to Global Ivy and share more dry goods.