National Health Report 20 13 issued by China Academy of Sciences

"If the 20th century is the century of the United States, then 2 1 century will be the century of China. This is not a naive and optimistic fantasy, but a judgment based on the facts of the health status of China and the United States. " This latest national health report puts forward a "road map" and a "timetable" for China to surpass the United States: in 2007, China surpassed the United States in national health; It is predicted that by 20 19, China will surpass the economic aggregate of the United States; It is predicted that by 2049, the centenary of the founding of New China will surpass the United States in international status.

The analysis of the report points out that there are significant differences between China and the United States in the diagnosis and prediction of national health in four aspects: national physique, national diet, lifestyle and life cycle stage. Among them, the United States is a "consumption" and "parasitism" country, and China is a "production" and "labor" country; The United States is in the "menopause", with aging body, conservative narcissism, panic and anxiety, and prone to menopausal syndrome, while China is in the "adolescence", growing fast and running fast, full of dreams, seeking innovation and change, optimistic and confident, and prone to growing troubles.

Generally speaking, the United States is still a country dominated by "wealth" and "strength". According to the national judgment standard of "better than health", the United States is not only unhealthy, but also "health overdraft" is serious. China's national health status belongs to "standard growth". Although there will be many "difficult experiences" in China in the next 40 years, there will be all kinds of unexpected difficulties and twists and turns on the road to growth, and there will be all kinds of "developmental diseases", but the future is bright, and it is only a matter of time before it surpasses the United States.

Researcher Yang Duogui, head of the National Health Research Group of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, said that Chinese civilization has the characteristics of exporting "development dividends". After fully surpassing the United States to realize the "Chinese Dream" in 2049, China will definitely not learn from the United States as a "world policeman", but will become a "world doctor" and make greater contributions to the development and progress of human civilization. The national health report of China Academy of Sciences classifies the national health status of the global 100 sample countries into four categories: health surplus, health reaching the standard, health overdraft and health fragility. The research shows that the National Health Index (NHI) of China in 20 1 1 year ranks 1 1 among 100 sample countries, which is higher than the developed countries such as the United States, Britain and France, and ranks first among the "health up to standard" countries.

What is controversial is the report's prediction of the future development of China and the United States. According to the report, national health is the largest and most important "capital" for China to surpass the United States. As long as China persists in adapting to the outside world, keeps fit and cultivates "spirit", it is predicted that by 2049, it will be able to surpass the United States in an all-round way and realize the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation. The report also puts forward a "road map" and a "timetable" for China to surpass the United States. It is predicted that by 2049, the centenary of the founding of New China will surpass the United States in international status.

"How are these predicted?" "Is this scientific research or cross talk?" "With so many social problems, how can it be more' healthy' than others?" "Why do you say you want to catch up with the beauty of the Premier League? What if your status exceeds? "

As soon as the report came out, it immediately attracted a ridicule and doubt from netizens. Weibo, the viewpoint of Xinhua News Agency, published a micro-commentary on Xinhua, saying that the report considered "national health" with "lifestyle", but at present, no matter "cousin", "house sister" or abandoned baby, it is a social chronic disease, so we should solve the problem first, and don't talk about "transcendence" easily, let alone "revival". In response to questions from public opinion, Yang Duogui, head of the National Health Research Group of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, responded.

1, "China surpassed the United States in international status in 2049" is the most controversial.

Yang Duogui: At present, many people in the world are studying the time when the total GDP of China surpassed that of the United States. Our country has put forward a "great national rejuvenation". Personally, I think that if we can't surpass the United States, it's not called revival, and "revival" is the first in the world. As for whether it can be achieved in 2049, there are still many uncertainties in the coming decades. Our report is based on the current development situation.

2. In the ranking of many indicators in the report, China ranks first and the United States ranks last, which is also questioned by netizens.

Yang Duogui: The report we made is based on health to study the country. This is a "better than health" standard, not GDP. For example, a young man and an old man, the United States is an old man with money and status, and China is a young man. At present, he has no status and money, but he is healthier. This is just a metaphor. In our research, the United States is superior to China in some indicators. In some indicators, China ranks very low, which does not mean that China is good at everything.

3. What do you think of the controversy about this report by netizens?

Yang Duogui: This phenomenon is normal. The voices of netizens are rational and irrational. That's understandable. We are an academic research, and everyone can express their views on it. This is a new concept, and it is normal for everyone to have some objections.

4. How many members are there in this research group?

Yang Duogui: There are only seven or eight people in the research group, some of them are relatively stable, and some of them are graduate students and doctoral students who have participated in it one after another. Everyone has a different academic background and is interested in doing this.

5. What is the funding source of this research project?

Yang Duogui: We are purely doing scientific research and creating a new academic concept "national health". Because of supporting innovation, our hospital only gave some symbolic financial support at the beginning, which was very small and did not exceed 50,000 yuan. This is purely to support scientific research, and there will be no financial support in the future. Some government departments also intend to give us financial support, but we don't want it, because after taking government money, foreign countries think that your report is not objective and neutral because of its government background, so we don't want money.

6. Besides funds, what else can the research group guarantee the objectivity and independence of this academic report?

Yang Duogui: The data, models and algorithms we study are all methods of western social science research. They are all advanced academic research tools in the world now, and there is no innovation. The research tools are universal, and we just look at the problem from another angle.

7. Will this research continue?

Yang Duogui: In 2003, the National Health Research Group of China Academy of Sciences started the research on "National Health". In 2008, our research group launched the National Health Report for the first time, turning the country into a "person" to study its health status. Based on the global economic crisis in recent years, this report has been adjusted on the original basis, continuously enriched and improved, and the research sample has been expanded from more than 40 countries to 100. I think this research should continue.