What policies will Obama pursue after he takes office?

The most difficult task facing the new president after taking office is how to get the United States out of the economic crisis. Not long ago, Obama proposed a $60 billion stimulus policy, which combined with his long-term economic agenda to implement tax cuts for the middle class, low-income people and small businesses. He also intends to create 5 million new high-paying jobs through investment in new energy industries and 2 million jobs through infrastructure construction, that is, building roads, bridges and schools. Due to the drop in oil prices, Obama is currently suspending consideration of imposing a huge profit tax on oil companies. He also publicly supported the government's Ministry of Finance to inject $250 billion into major banks. In addition, Obama advocates providing large amounts of federal funds to those troubled States to help them fund public projects and education and medical assistance projects. And this is what * * * and the party are opposed to. In order to rectify the financial system, he will take measures to make financial institutions subject to stricter supervision by the government, straighten out regulatory agencies and crack down on market speculation. The core of Obama's social policy is to establish a medical insurance system covering everyone by reducing tax breaks for families earning more than $250,000 and employers' payments. Provide subsidies to low-income families who can't afford insurance, while minimizing the cost of insurance. At the end of his first term, he plans to create a health care plan that everyone can afford; All children should have health insurance. Reordering foreign policy priorities Hillary attacked Obama in the primary election, because she had no diplomatic experience, so she was not qualified for the presidency. However, someone heard Obama privately admit, "I do lack diplomatic experience, but I will invite the best foreign affairs experts to work for me." Moreover, experts and scholars who have come into contact with Obama believe that he is an unusually sober and quick-thinking person who is good at listening to the opinions of experts and consultants, which helps him to quickly become familiar with and master foreign affairs. Because Obama has little record in dealing with foreign affairs, the description of his possible foreign policy here can only be based on his words and the policy inclination of his chosen foreign policy adviser. The basic framework of Obama's current foreign policy is: restoring America's leading position in the world; Reform and strengthen international organizations; Strengthen the alliance of the United States; Strengthen NATO's response to the threat of 2 1 century; Promote new and lasting security in Asia; Cooperate with other countries to deal with global climate change. In the Democratic primary debate on April 26th, 2007, Obama said that Europe is a long-term and reliable ally of the United States, and Japan has been an excellent ally of the United States in Asia for many years. The center of gravity of the world is shifting to Asia, and China is rising. China is neither our enemy nor our friend, but our competitor. Obama also supports Ukraine and Georgia to join NATO. Obama opposes the imposition of democracy by the United States abroad, but he suggests making a comprehensive plan to guide the country to build and promote democracy, and using the soft power of the United States to help save and rebuild failed countries in Africa, Asia and the Middle East through the American Democracy Foundation and other new institutions. His advisers stressed that Obama is convinced that in the post-cold war era, all countries are in an inseparable interdependence. He once wrote: "The leaders of this new era must realize that the security and prosperity of every American are closely related to the security and prosperity of those who live outside our borders. We must recognize the inherent equality, dignity and value of all people. In order to fight global poverty, Obama promised to double American foreign aid by 20 12, reaching 50 billion dollars per year. He plans to invest in agriculture, infrastructure and economic development in developing countries; Help build a "global medical infrastructure" to fight infectious diseases by 2020; And set up a $2 billion global education fund. In foreign policy, the nuclear issues of Iraq, Afghanistan and Iran will be the three most important considerations in the foreign policy of the new US administration. Among them, when and how to withdraw troops from Iraq is an urgent question. Obama has said that he will start withdrawing troops immediately after he is sworn in, and withdraw combat troops at the rate of one or two brigades per month. However, Obama did not give specific answers to these questions, such as how many troops should be left to clean up, what their tasks are, and how long they will stay. Some of his advisers suggested that 60,000 to 80,000 troops should be retained for at least a few years. On the Iranian nuclear issue, Obama said, "I will make every effort to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons during my term of office. "For the benefit of the United States, he is willing to talk with Iranian leaders at an appropriate time and place. On the Iranian nuclear issue, experts in the Democratic Party believe that the possibility of the United States launching a war is extremely small, perhaps only 3%-5%, because the military believes that this is a war that cannot be won. According to Obama's Asian affairs adviser, the North Korean nuclear issue may be the fourth or fifth topic of the new administration. On the North Korean nuclear issue, the new government will continue to support the six-party talks, but at the same time it may put more emphasis on bilateral negotiations with North Korea. On the issue of the war on terror, Obama said that he will deliver a speech at a major Muslim forum within 65,438+000 days after the establishment of the new government, redefining the war on terror in the United States. He would say, "We are not at war with Islam. "In addition to the above problems, environmental issues will also be another important issue of concern to the United States. According to reliable sources, unlike the former US administration, the new administration will begin to pay attention to this issue, and the environmental issue will become the main topic of the US international dialogue. Joseph nye, a professor at Harvard University and former US Assistant Secretary of Defense, said with delight that Obama should give up President Bush's unilateralism and pay equal attention to soft power. "I believe that Obama may make amazing achievements in using American soft power. "China policy will not deviate from the mainstream. Experts on China in the United States agree that Obama's policy toward China and Asia will not deviate from the mainstream. According to Lampton's point of view, among the seven recent American presidents, Nixon, Carter, Reagan, Clinton and George W. Bush all called for major changes in China policy during the election campaign, and three of the presidents who advocated stricter China policy gave up their policy propositions because of strategic needs, resource constraints or economic interests during the election campaign. They are Reagan, Clinton and George W. Bush. Their China policy is largely consistent with that of their predecessors, because they found that their predecessors adopted a more sensible, pragmatic and balanced China policy. Although Obama has not yet formed a specific China policy, most of his Asian policy and China policy advisers have worked in the government and have a deep understanding of China, and they all know the necessity and importance of continuing the mainstream of American China policy. The mainstream policy is that the United States should establish good, stable and mutual trust diplomatic relations with China for the national interests of the United States. These policy advisers include Jeffrey Bader, Richard Bush, Li, and others. Jeffrey Budd, one of Obama's main foreign policy advisers, said with great certainty that Obama's China policy will have great continuity, just as the policies of seven American presidents since Nixon are more similar than different. The Obama administration will certainly comprehensively review its China policy in various fields, including the China-US Strategic Economic Dialogue. Regarding the China-US economic strategic dialogue, in 2007, Obama made some positive comments on the general principles, saying that it was "a good idea" to continue the strategic economic dialogue. According to the analysis, the strategic economic dialogue between China and the United States will continue, because considering that China is so huge and important, it is very necessary to continue the high-level dialogue. Moreover, the stability of the international system and the international situation in the future will depend on the cooperation of major powers on major issues. In terms of trade policy, due to the close relationship between the Democratic Party and the trade unions, and the huge support given to Obama by the trade unions in the general election, Obama will certainly listen to the opinions of the trade unions and emphasize labor rights more than the * * * and the party government. But Obama's trade policy is not necessarily protectionist, not only because Obama's main economic advisers are liberal internationalists, such as robert rubin, but also because Obama himself thinks that trade barriers are harmful, and only free trade can make the American economy more competitive. Janucci, the main assistant of Vice President Biden, believes that China and the United States have now formed a good trade mechanism, and the Democratic Party will apply this mechanism, but there may be more criticism of China. Another possible change of the new US administration's China policy is the change of human rights policy. It is said that Obama has not made a speech on human rights issues so far. However, we can't forget that since the Carter administration, the human rights issue has never disappeared from the diplomatic agenda of the United States, and the Democratic Party has always attached more importance to international human rights than the Republican Party. Therefore, on the issue of human rights, the Obama administration may be more critical of China. However, Jannuzzi once commented that the following passage reflects the current US human rights policy towards China: "In terms of human rights, our attention is focused on what China has done, not what kind of system China is. "At present, in addition to ultra-conservatives, the ruling and opposition parties in the United States agree that the current US government policy toward Taiwan is wise and should be continued. This is also Obama's point of view. On May 20th, Obama wrote a congratulatory letter to Ma Ying IX on his election, saying that his election and inauguration would be a promoting factor for the people of Taiwan Province Province, the democratic forces all over the world, the peace and stability in the Taiwan Province Strait and the western Pacific. He will support the "One China" policy of the United States and follow the Taiwan Relations Act of Three Joint Communiqués and the United States; He will also support Ma Ying-IX's efforts to establish closer relations with the mainland, and believes that these efforts will lay the foundation for a more stable and predictable relationship between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait. On the other hand, Obama also said that the United States will continue to provide Taiwan Province Province with necessary self-defense weapons. These are the continuation of the current Taiwan Province policy of the Bush administration. Of course, there has always been a certain gap between the actual policies of the President of the United States and his promises or initiatives in the election campaign. What will happen to the domestic and foreign policies of the Obama administration in the future? We still need to see his actual actions.