At present, the policy environment for the development of China's aging industry is good, the market demand is gradually released, the market supply is constantly expanding, and the enthusiasm of social forces to participate in the aging industry is growing, which has ushered in unprecedented development opportunities. The market of aging products industry is heating up day by day, and the demand for aging products, AIDS and health care products is strong; The development of the aged care service industry continues to accelerate, and the aged care service industry, which mainly provides aged care services and health services, has become a hot spot of market investment. The pension real estate industry has a strong market supply, and various capitals represented by real estate development enterprises and insurance companies compete for investment.
Forward-looking Industry Research Institute predicts that the global elderly population will reach 2.02 billion in 2050, of which China's elderly population will reach 480 million, accounting for almost a quarter of the global elderly population, making it the country with the largest elderly population in the world. From 20 14 to 2050, the consumption potential of the elderly population in China will increase from about 4 trillion yuan to about 106 trillion yuan, and the proportion of GDP will increase from about 8% to about 33%. China will become the country with the greatest market potential for the aged industry in the world.
It is worth noting that pension real estate, as an important field of market segment, has huge business opportunities.
It is predicted that in the next half century, the population over 65 years old in China will maintain a rapid growth, reaching a high of 369 million in 2060, accounting for 28% of the total population. Considering only the institutional pension part of the 9073 plan, it is estimated that the average annual increase of the old-age real estate area accounts for about 1.4% of the annual residential sales area. However, if we consider non-institutional pension such as working elderly people, the annual increase will be more; According to the calculation, the annual newly-increased building area can account for 1.4%- 13.3% of the residential sales area in 20 12 years, and the neutral assumed scale is over 60 million square meters/year, accounting for about 6% of the current residential market sales.