Now, many Chinese students are coming back from the United States and Europe to escape the plague, thinking that they can go back to Europe and the United States to continue their studies and work after they have finished escaping from the wind, but how could they have thought that their return to China this time would probably be a one-way trip, and that after that, they would never be able to go back to Europe and the United States again, and that it would take a few years or a decade before the famous universities in Europe and the United States reopened their dusty doors?
These are the first time I've ever seen the world's most famous universities open their doors again.
However, this epidemic in early 2020 will be of extraordinary significance to China since 1840.
At present, according to the ferocious and cunning characteristics of the new coronavirus COVID-19, it is impossible for human beings to completely eliminate it in a short period of time, and it can be predicted that in the next few years or even a dozen years, the entire planet will be shivering amidst the rolling smoke of the attack of COVID-19 and its offspring of all levels of mutation.
In the next few years or a decade, the survival of human beings is likely to enter a pattern:
1. The virus spreads back and forth between the northern and southern hemispheres in a "migratory bird mode".
October and November of the first year - April and May of the second year, the virus (winter plague and spring plague) in the northern hemisphere, and April and May of the second year - October and November of the second year, the virus (summer plague and fall plague) in the southern hemisphere. epidemics, and by October and November of the second year - April and May of the third year - the viruses return to ravage the northern hemisphere, and afterward go to the southern hemisphere, and the whole earth groans in agony at these periodic spasms.
2, "cut off", "closed country", "closed city" and "hibernation" will become the norm.
These extreme anti-epidemic methods will become the norm for people all over the world who may encounter them at any time in their lives, and the lives of all human beings will be reduced to the bottom line of satisfying only the basic needs of survival, and the social activities of human beings will be seriously compressed, and the space for human development will be shrunk to the smallest extent.
3. The quality of human existence, and the total population, will fall precipitously off a cliff.
The tertiary industry will be hit hard, the financial industry, entertainment and sports industry, tourism, catering industry will be disastrous, cross-regional investment into a complete stagnation, international trade declined to the lowest degree, the world's economic locomotive of the Chinese economy exists for a short period of time of zero or even the risk of negative growth, and many developed countries in the tertiary industry based on the GDP will be decimated, globalization 1.0 will formally disintegrate, the average productivity level of the society will drop drastically, and the science and technology and culture level of human beings will regress drastically.
4. The global political economy will be reshuffled.
In the context of the intensifying epidemic, the global political and economic landscape will appear round after round of reshuffle, the chances of the outbreak of a wide range of wars of hard killings will be greatly reduced, but the frequency of small-scale high-intensity local wars will dramatically increase the frequency of the outbreak of wars, in which, to the attack on human life as the target of the biochemical wars will become an important form of war, or even the main means of war.
5, nature will eliminate more than one billion people.
Relative to the total worldwide production, the total global population of 7.7 billion appears to be absolutely excessive, therefore, nature will eliminate one billion, two billion or even more people directly or indirectly in its own cruel way.
Can humans defeat the COVID-19 virus by developing vaccines and new drugs?
Currently, from a biological point of view, the COVID-19 virus is a perfect masterpiece, as subtle, complex and ingenious as a grand symphonic poem. Never before in history has mankind had such a powerful all-powerful nanoscale adversary.
From the public information available, the new coronavirus does not look like a naturally occurring virus; it possesses many characteristics that make it more like an extremely tiny (125 nanometers) intelligent robot that can freely and effortlessly navigate and cruise around the cells of the human body, with the human lungs, liver, kidneys, brain, immune system, excretory system, and reproductive system, all of which are the targets of its attacks. And while launching its attacks, it can easily evade the drugs hunting it down until it dies with its host.
First, the virus is extremely patient; it can incubate asymptomatically in the human body for 14 days or more, with the aim of maximizing the spread of infection to those it can reach without anyone realizing it.
Second, the virus has an amazingly resourceful strategy, combining a modestly high case fatality rate with an extremely long incubation period, so that it can't kill its host quickly, but also infect as many people as possible before it is detected.
Third, the virus has a god-awful way of spreading; it can be transmitted through the air, by touch, by eating and drinking, by feces, and even, according to an autopsy report from Shanghai's Ruijin Hospital, through large areas of exposed and damaged skin, which is entirely possible.
Fourthly, the virus has a pathway of attack. Scientists originally thought that the new coronavirus established its pathway of attack on the human body mainly through the angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE-2), but the virus later mutated and developed three new pathways of attack, namely, FURIN, GRP78, and CD 147.
Fifthly, some researchers believe the virus actually has the same characteristics as the Hepatitis B virus and the AIDS virus, and that it can be transmitted through touching, eating, and feces. In fact, the virus has the characteristics and functions of the hepatitis B virus and HIV, and can be spread widely by influenza, even if the host is restored to health through treatment, the virus may remain in the host for life, and when the conditions are right, it will be able to sprout up again and make waves. This is like the original very vicious tiger, and now suddenly grew wings, and also became invisible, thus, a variety of modern weapons armed to the teeth of the human race, only in the first time to be defeated, woeful.
The magic of the virus is not only here.
The virus is a single-stranded RAN coronavirus, which is extremely unstable and very prone to mutation (it was this property of coronaviruses that the designers of the virus had in mind at the outset), and just prior to February 12, 2020, the virus had at least five haplotypes on its evolutionary tree.
In the future, during a worldwide pandemic, the virus will inevitably mutate more and more, producing more and more subtypes, and may even recombine with other viruses to mutate and evolve some brand new super-virus.
Additionally, there has been a recent report on the Internet that a strain of the virus in Washington state had a 26-step mutation by March 8, and a strain in France had an 18-step mutation, while the earliest mutation of a strain in China was a 10-step mutation in Hong Kong.
One of the passive but most widely available means of fighting viruses is to produce specific vaccines against them. However, the development cycle of a vaccine takes at least a few months or even a year, which is much slower than the mutation speed of the virus, which means that without the intervention of effective medicines such as traditional Chinese medicine, mankind is actually chasing the high-speed train of the virus on a bicycle, and it will only go farther and farther away and the more deaths it will have to suffer.
Taking a step back, even if vaccines and drugs that can deal with the virus are developed in half a year or a year, will they be able to deal with the new subtypes of the virus that are constantly being formed in the various families of the virus? And if the virus mutates to an even greater degree by then, how will humans cope?
According to Icelandic media outlet The Reykjavík Grapevine on March 25, a patient with neocoronavirus pneumonia in Iceland was found to be infected with two types of neocoronavirus at the same time, the second of which was a variant of the original neocoronavirus, marking the first time that a patient has been found to be infected with both types of neocoronavirus. This is the first time that a patient has been found to be infected with both types of coronaviruses in Iceland. And Icelandic scientists have identified 40 variants of the virus in the country.
The chain