Beijing won the right to host the 24th Winter Olympics in 2022, but also brought the steel industry to warm up the signal of recovery.
Currently, the status quo of China's iron and steel industry is dismal, and the continuous downward trend has burned out the last glimmer of hope for the steel enterprises, despite the fact that many companies have just struggled to maintain again and again, but the demand for the iron and steel industry has never shown signs of warming up.The acquisition of the right to hold the Winter Olympics in Beijing, China in 2022 has renewed the hopes of the steel mill bosses. The planning of the Winter Olympic bid committee, Beijing 2022 Winter Olympic Games will be in the downtown Beijing, Yanqing, Zhangjiakou Chongli to form a group of three relatively clustered venues. Snow events will be scheduled to be held in Zhangjiakou, and Beijing is now planning to build a high-speed railroad to Zhangjiakou. In addition to the railroad, the construction of venues, surrounding real estate projects, highway construction, bridge construction, etc. will pull the demand for construction steel. Institutional calculations show that during the period from 2016 to 2022, 55 million tons of construction steel demand will be indirectly driven annually, of which 44 million tons will be demanded for housing construction and 11 million tons for infrastructure construction.
The 2022 Winter Olympics, will the steel industry how the impact of the 2022 Winter Olympics steel plant shutdown? For this issue, the special summary points are as follows:
1. 2022 Winter Olympics will be held, the impact of the steel industry will be very complex, overall it is a good news, the following will be specific to say some of my views.
2. It will definitely contribute positively to the development of the steel industry. (
3. It's unlikely that this time it will be an opportunity for the steel industry to rise.
First of all, we can be sure that China's successful bid to host the 2022 Winter Olympics is good news for the steel industry. Very simple, to do the Winter Olympics, venues have to build it, roads and bridges, including high-speed rail what have to repair it, held near the real estate what have to fire it - all of these, can not be separated from the steel.
It is understood that, in order to prepare for the 2008 Olympic Games, China invested more than 300 billion yuan in seven years for the construction of infrastructure, investment in 12 new venues, the expansion of 11 venues, the construction of temporary venues 8, the transformation of the independent training halls 45, in addition, also completed the east expansion of the capital city airport project, the T3 Terminal, the total mileage of the new highway network of 578 kilometers, the completion of rail transit construction 146 kilometers. The construction of 146 kilometers of rail transit was completed.
It can be expected that the 2022 Winter Olympics will also attract a huge investment. However, on the one hand, the Winter Olympics is a much smaller cake, and on the other hand this cake is still partially ready before 2008 (for example, of the 12 venues needed for the Winter Olympics, 11 are already readily available, and only one new national speed skating stadium is needed.) , so this investment is much less than it would have been in '08. About the budget of the 2022 Winter Olympics:
The thrifty organization of the games is one of the major concepts and goals of Beijing's Olympic bid. According to the budget of the Winter Olympics, the budget for the preparation of the event is about 1.56 billion U.S. dollars, with government subsidies accounting for 6 percent; the budget for the construction of venues, including competition and non-competition venues, is about 1.51 billion U.S. dollars, and 65 percent of the 1.51 billion U.S. dollars comes from social investment.
These money does not seem much, but this is just a locomotive, driven up the investment is not small, can drive the specific how much I can not estimate, the radius of radiation is also mainly in northern China. ps.belly up: Hebei Iron and Steel (belonging to the Hebei Iron and Steel Group) released the first quarter of 2015 financial results show that its operating income of 21.958 billion yuan; Beijing Olympic Games investment budget is $40 billion.
Secondly, the 2022 Winter Olympics will impose tough environmental requirements on the host city. Steel companies, at this stage, are almost as big polluters. Even if there is no waste discharge on the surface, if you were to climb up and look down on a sunny day, you'd see an almost inverted dust bowl covering the neighborhood of the steel mills. (Don't ask me how I know.) To put it more formally:
The 2022 Winter Olympics will be held in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region to realize the environmental protection of the steel industry to force the upgrade of the steel industry, and greatly promote the steel mills from the crude pollution to the effective management of the improvement.
This impact is actually also divided into two aspects.
On the one hand, for large and medium-sized steel enterprises, corporate strength, social image, sources of funding and other hardware and software conditions there, even if the pollution will never let see (this sentence is ambiguous, but are I want to express), so the environmental protection to force the upgrading of the business is supposed to be the road of the existence and development of the country to help a little bit, and then think about the idea of ideas, there is still not much of a problem.
On the other hand, for small steel enterprises, the money earned is all the environmental protection part of the coming, no money and no assistance, to put them into the environmental protection, difficult, they will only be stopped during the day and night production or inspection stopping the usual production, which results in the existence of black factory. (A joke, said a certain place A Bureau of statistics there are 7 steel mills, B Bureau of statistics there are 9, a total, 11.)
So the 2022 Winter Olympics in this regard is both the opportunity and the challenge of the steel industry: environmental protection to force industrial upgrading, eliminating backward production capacity, conducive to the benign development of the steel industry; but for those who are in the backward production capacity of the enterprise workers, unemployment may be close at hand, and many large and medium-sized enterprises in the poor flow of funds is also no different from adding insult to injury.
Finally, this is by no means an opportunity for the rise of the steel industry. Steel industry's current predicament there are two main,
One is the serious overcapacity disorder, the upstream raw material iron ore prices are high, the downstream product prices are low (it is said that rebar for construction have fallen to roughly 2,100 yuan / ton, most of the vegetable wholesale market cabbage prices are more than this price), profit margins are slim (that is, the general steel are losing money);
The second is the flow of funds is not good, if the Steel enterprises are not well run and then encountered the bank to draw loans on the GG. In any case, the 2022 Winter Olympics is not an opportunity for the rise of the steel industry (besides, the steel industry has long risen now seems to be going downhill), at most, the steel industry can be warmed up to recover.
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Published on 11-28 11:57