"Artificial intelligence +" era is coming?

In the morning, woken up by the smart speaker, but also reminds you to call your friends back in the morning; to go to work, using the navigation map to take the route to avoid congestion; on the road, took a picture, using the retouching software a key PS; to the office, brush the news recommended according to your interests.

Are you familiar with such scenes? However, you may not realize that behind this, there is actually the shadow of artificial intelligence.

Of course, that's not all there is to AI.

Status quo -

Artificial intelligence is already around

"Human beings will eventually make computers intelligent and make them far better than the human brain." These were the parting words of Lu Qi, a 1987 computer science graduate of Fudan University, to his classmates.

Today, Lu Qi, who is president and chief operating officer of Baidu Group, is experiencing the ups and downs of artificial intelligence and the enormous changes it is bringing, along with thousands of programmers and hundreds of millions of members of the public.

From the "Ice" that can chat with you to the smart speaker that can help you turn on the TV, from machine translation to intelligent education, from face-to-face payment to unmanned vehicles, from wearable devices to smart medical ...... AI has come into the full range of human life.

Artificial Intelligence (AI) has been widely penetrated into various fields of production and life, and has constantly refreshed people's imagination.

In the field of news, personalized recommendations based on big data and artificial intelligence have become the standard of many news apps, and production tools such as writing robots and intelligent video scissors are also emerging;

In the field of education, AI has been applied to teaching projects such as correcting homework and teaching English, and exploring the "private customization" and "thousand people". "

In the field of speech recognition and translation, translation software can support dozens of popular languages around the world, covering hundreds of translation directions;

In the financial field, the application of biometrics technology has made face swipe payment a reality. has become a reality, and intelligent investment advisors that provide personalized and exclusive wealth management solutions at a lower cost are also under constant development;

In the logistics field, products and services such as intelligent order distribution, intelligent delivery robots, unmanned warehouses, and unmanned aircrafts have been helping the express delivery industry to improve its logistics speed and service level;

In the retail field, in addition to exploratory applications such as unmanned supermarkets, AI has also been used for the development of supermarkets. , AI has also been used to make predictions on the amount of fresh goods to be stocked in supermarkets;

In the transportation field, in addition to applications such as maps and navigation, the much-anticipated driverless driving has also made new progress;

In the medical field, the use of AI and the ability of big data can allow machines to sift through and analyze medical images to aid in doctor's diagnosis;

......

Of course, the application of AI is not only in the tertiary industry, but also in the field of agriculture, industry and social governance, the empowering role of AI also have a good performance.

Compared with the two booms after the birth of AI that eventually fell silent, this time, AI research and applications blossomed everywhere, and the boom came closer to industry.

"This wave of AI is actually a more robust one, with a more solid technological foundation, data technology, computing foundation and social foundation." Zhang Yishao, vice president of Microsoft Research Asia, said, "This wave of artificial intelligence has more grounded practical application scenarios than ever before, and the interaction between industry, academia and research is richer than before."

"The era of 'AI+' has arrived." Fu Sheng, founder and CEO of Cheetah Mobile, said.

Change -

Industries in the midst of reinvention

Changes are evident, and the impacts, some of which are already visible, are still below the surface.

"The continuous development of AI technology will continue to reshape all industries and our lives." Zhang Yishao summarized this "reshaping" in three aspects: promoting the transformation of industries to intelligence, triggering business innovation, and making people's lives better.

The intuitive change for all industries is the improvement of efficiency.

In the industrial field, data from AliCloud shows that through its launch of ET Industrial Brain, the yield rate of GCL PV, a photovoltaic slicing enterprise, has been increased by more than 1%, bringing more than 100 million yuan of economic benefits annually; and tire producer Zhongce Rubber has increased its yield rate by up to 5%. "Advanced manufacturing is probably the industry with the greatest leverage of AI benefits," said Liu Song, vice president of Alibaba Group.

In the field of credit rating, big data wind control based on machine learning has been effective in improving the efficiency of credit services and increasing the coverage of financial services. According to Baidu, its education credit is basically "seconds" to decide whether to lend money to a person.

"Over the past 40 years, the first 20 years of the digitalization process has changed the means of production, the second 20 years of the networked process has reconstructed the market relationship, the next 20 years of artificial intelligence blurred the boundaries between the means of production and the labor force, its mission is to marry with the traditional industry, reduce production costs, and produce an order of magnitude increase in productivity. " Harness technology co-founder and CEO Wu Gansha said.

This enhancement has spawned a highly imaginative incremental space.

According to the report "Artificial Intelligence: powering China's economic growth" released in June 2017 by consulting firm Accenture, manufacturing, agriculture, forestry and fisheries, and wholesale and retail will be the 3 industries that will benefit the most from AI applications. By 2035, AI will boost the annual growth rates of these three industries by 2%, 1.8% and 1.7% respectively.

The impact will also occur in the area of social governance.

Experts say that with the development of AI technology, it will be necessary for many future government management methods to change from chasing management to predictive management.

In 2016, the Hangzhou municipal government took the lead in joining forces with 13 companies, including Aliyun, to begin an exploration of an urban data brain. A pilot in Xiaoshan, Hangzhou, found that by intelligently adjusting traffic lights, the speed of passage in the area was increased by 15 percent, allowing 120 ambulances to arrive at the scene in half the time; in Hangzhou's main city, the passage time in some areas was shortened by 15.3 percent.

For individuals, in addition to changes in the field of life, the impact will also occur in the professional field - in the future, some repetitive jobs, such as online customer service, shorthand translation, drivers and so on may be replaced by artificial intelligence.

However, industry insiders also said that there is no need to worry too much about this, and that while generating occupational replacements, AI will also generate new industries. "After the emergence of containers, porters worried about losing their jobs, but in the port there are many drawbridge workers." In the view of Jack Ma, chairman of the board of directors of Alibaba Group, the new technology is not to make people lose their jobs, but to make people do more valuable things, so that people do not repeat themselves, but to innovate, so that people's work can "evolve".

The impact has been huge, and the industry is growing fast enough.

According to the data, China's artificial intelligence industry scale in 2016 has exceeded 10 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 43.3%, is expected to increase to 51.2% in 2017, the industry scale reached 15.210 billion yuan, and in 2019 grew to 34.430 billion yuan.

However, in the view of industry insiders, these impacts, for now, are just the tip of the iceberg.

The McKinsey Global Institute believes that AI is contributing to a transformation of human society that will "occur 10 times faster, 300 times larger, and have almost 3,000 times greater impact" than the Industrial Revolution.

"In the not-too-distant future, the stream of intelligence will surround and support us as calmly as today's electric currents do, providing sustenance in all segments and revolutionizing the shape of human economy, politics, society, and life." So said Robin Li, chairman and CEO of Baidu.

Future -

The 100-meter race has just begun

"I want to see my future self." This is the last sentence of Baidu Brain's foreword to the book "Intelligent Revolution".

What will the future of artificial intelligence look like? No one may have the answer now, but what is certain is that the present is just the beginning.

"If you compare AI applications to a 100-meter race, this is just the beginning." Zhang Yishao said, "The current stage of AI is the same stage that the Internet was at in the early 1990s."

Government, business, capital and other promotions, to become this wave of artificial intelligence fire up "booster". Of course, as with many new things in the Internet development process, artificial intelligence has become a wind mouth at the same time, there are still bottlenecks to be broken.

From the technical level, artificial intelligence is still in the "black box" decision-making stage, and "the main methodology is still based on big data, big computing model", want to let the machine think like a human being, you have to "Feed" to it days of data, which led to the current landing of artificial intelligence there are industry limitations, "with a large amount of data accumulation and analysis needs of the industry is more suitable for the realization of the transition." Zhang Yizhao said.

In addition, from the domestic situation, the talent gap is also becoming a major constraint for enterprises intending to force the field of artificial intelligence.

"There are less than 200 PhDs and masters in the direction of AI research in the country every year, and with the plethora of startups today, this number is simply not enough to divide." Robin Li said bluntly. Data from Linking shows that globally, there are 1.95 million AI professionals, and China accounts for only 2%, ranking seventh.

From the industry level, the heavy application, light foundation of the rush, disorderly and repeated investment, overheating and conceptual packaging, impetuous and boastful coexistence and other issues can not be ignored. Some industry insiders bluntly said that we need to be vigilant against the tendency of artificial intelligence "net red".

Shangtang Technology co-founder and CEO Xu Li bluntly said that most of the domestic artificial intelligence entrepreneurship piled up in the application level, entrepreneurs use open-source algorithms, to find a vertical field will be set on the concept of "artificial intelligence" to get stuck in, but the real algorithmic layer from the starting point of the "original technology" is not many people. "Not many people. "And this piece is the core, is the most need to build up."

However, industry insiders also said that these can be understood as "growing pains": is the bottleneck, but also the next step in the direction of strength. From a broader perspective, China is in a good opportunity to develop AI.

From the perspective of talent, there has been significant growth. Wuzhen think tank data show that in the number of AI patents, in the last five years, the average annual growth rate of China's patent number is 43%; the United States growth rate is 21.7%. Among them, the number of new AI patents in China exceeded 9,000 in 2016, more than twice that of the United States.

"The number of Chinese AI companies, the number of patent applications and the scale of financing all rank second in the world after the United States." Lu Qi analysis, China has a huge market opportunity and unique massive data, which can not be ignored for the attraction of overseas talents. In fact, in recent years, Wu Enda, Li Feifei and a number of other well-known AI talents have returned to China to develop, which also supports this point.

The state's attention is also contributing to the development of artificial intelligence. in March 2016, the term artificial intelligence was written into the national "13th Five-Year Plan" outline. in March 2017, artificial intelligence was written into the "Government Work Report" for the first time, and now the "New Generation Artificial Intelligence Development Plan" has also been officially issued.

"China is catching up on this technological wave, with more than 40 percent of the papers on deep learning published by Chinese, and this time there is no language barrier or time difference barrier for us to communicate with experts. We have good data, a huge sample base, a good team of engineers, and a world-class manufacturing capability." Fu Sheng said, "The future is people and robots **** existence, there is an opportunity for China to bend the road to overtake."

In this sense, the future is here, just not yet popular.