The epidemic seems to have little impact on the real estate market.
Since the new year, the Shenzhen property market has staged a wave of magical prices, which seems to have also led to fires in other cities.
Last month, a record-breaking 50,000 people in Hangzhou shook hands and robbed houses, which attracted national attention. Similar "innovation" phenomena have appeared in Nanjing, Chengdu and other places.
However, the investment in new houses will eventually be realized in the second-hand housing market. In most cities, new houses are hot locally, but second-hand houses are weak. At the same time, the listing volume is soaring, but the liquidity is poor and there is no market.
It is not always right to make money when you are new here. In the future, under the regulation direction of "housing and not speculating" in the property market, the price difference between a second-hand house and a second-hand house may be difficult to have the previous profit space.
First-and second-line news gathering
Besides Shenzhen, Shanghai is the hottest first-tier city this year.
According to incomplete statistics, from April to May, there were at least seven "Japanese CDs" in Shanghai, the most popular of which was Dongfang Huili, located in Qiantan. A total of 2,284 sets of 41/kloc-0 suites were subscribed, with a subscription rate as high as five times, which is also the most subscribed property in Shanghai this year.
The property market in first-tier cities like Shenzhen and Shanghai is the first to pick up, and the new line is not to be outdone.
As the first "10,000-person lottery" in Nanjing this year, the Riverside Metropolis, which opened at the end of last year, will go to the urban area. In June this year 1 day, 223 suites were added, with about 1 1890 groups participating in the lottery, and the winning rate was only 1.8%. Except for talent rooms, the winning rate of ordinary rooms is as low as 1.43%.
The winning rate as low as single digits is also phenomenal in the history of Nanjing property market. It is reported that the sales reached 830 million yuan that day, and the number of people was only over 300, which was sold out on the opening day.
The "fifty thousand people shake" that shocked the whole country was also born in Hangzhou nearby.
At the beginning of June, Hangzhou Ocean Xixi Mansion launched 959 suites, attracting 50,000 people to sign up for the lottery, setting a record. The expectation of making money under the price limit has attracted buyers to enter the market one after another, and everyone wants to make a big profit.
On the other hand, Happiness Lane in North Vientiane City immediately launched the last batch of houses, attracting 20,000 people to shake the number. The confrontation between the two hot plates directly led to the paralysis of the Hangzhou Yaohao registration system.
As a new first-tier city, Hangzhou's property market is getting more and more popular, even after the epidemic. In the National Bureau of Statistics' sales price index of new commercial housing in May, Hangzhou rose by 0.7% month-on-month and 5. 1% year-on-year.
In fact, "innovation" is nothing more than because house prices are upside down. The average price of 959 houses in Xixi Mansion is only 28,000 /m2, and the average price of surrounding projects is 35,000 ~ 40,000 /m2. "The dividend of the daily limit is just around the corner. Calculated by 90 square meters, you can earn at least 600,000 yuan by shaking. " An investor said.
Under the new upsurge, transactions in some cities have rebounded.
According to the data of Ke Rui, in May, the transaction area of new houses in 28 key cities nationwide increased by 19% month-on-month, and the year-on-year decline narrowed to 2%. Among them, the first-tier cities rose by 30% month-on-month, especially Shanghai, with a new high transaction area, with a monthly transaction area of10.09 million square meters, with both year-on-year and month-on-month increases exceeding 60%.
Doubt about the circulation of second-hand houses
However, the property market has an AB side, and behind the new house, it seems that it is only partially overheated.
From February to the end of May this year, Hangzhou * * * launched 203 new sites, with 95 floating properties, with a floating rate of about 46.7%. Even if it is as hot as Yuhang District, there are 2 1 floating sites.
Some developers in Hangzhou told reporters that most of the new sites are not very good except some of them are more attractive because of the price difference.
At the same time, the meaning of "innovation" finally settled in the second-hand housing market. The new house will be sold no matter how cost-effective. But is the second-hand housing market really as good as imagined?
Take Rongxin Blue Sky, Hangzhou's first 10,000-person rocking project, as an example. At the beginning, almost everyone thought that the unit price was 6.5438+0.85 million yuan/square meter, and you earned 6.5438+0.00 million yuan by shaking it.
According to the website of the second-hand housing exchange, the transaction price of Rongxin Blue Sky is around 2-2.24 million/flat, so there is not much arbitrage space.
In fact, the number of second-hand houses listed in Hangzhou has reached an astonishing 1 1.6 million sets, far exceeding the annual sales in Hangzhou.
In Guangzhou, an intermediary said that the second-hand houses in Guangzhou were very embarrassing. Most sellers are reluctant to reduce prices, but buyers feel that they will reduce prices again, which has been deadlocked for a long time. And there are still many houses that can't help but hang at a discount.
Many owners told reporters that the price of their community has dropped by about 5000/ flat this year.
In official website, the number of listed second-hand houses in Guangzhou currently exceeds 70,000, compared with 50,000 in June last year, an increase of 20,000 a year. Adequate housing supply gives buyers more bargaining space.
According to data from Guangzhou Zhongyuan Research Institute, in the second week of June, the number of second-hand houses in Guangzhou was 1089, down 3.2% from the previous month. Compared with the last activity, the turnover has dropped for two weeks in a row.
The quotation index of second-hand residential owners decreased by 2.9% month-on-month, which affected the quotation of owners. After all, you have to sell your house to make a profit.
In May, the cumulative number of second-hand housing transactions in Beijing, Qingdao, Chengdu, Suzhou, Xiamen and other cities all declined to varying degrees year-on-year. Chengdu and Suzhou all declined by more than 50% year-on-year, down 12%- 13% from the previous month.
Jaco, an analyst at 58 Anjuke Research Institute, said that in the new and second-hand housing market, it can be understood that there is a plate difference in the transaction of a second-hand house. In the better primary housing market, the volume of second-hand housing transactions is not bad, but in most areas where new housing transactions are concentrated, the volume of second-hand housing transactions will be worse; The areas where second-hand housing transactions are concentrated are often concentrated in areas where there is no centralized supply of first-hand housing.
Jaco believes that the long-term expectation of future housing prices will remain stable in the context of no real estate speculation in the future. The price difference of second-hand housing itself will gradually be diluted by the market, so it is difficult to have so-called huge profit space, and the real estate market will maintain a healthy and stable development.