Data of birth population in 29 provinces in 20021year were released. Among the 29 provinces that have published 202 1 birth population data, Guangdong, Henan, Shandong, Sichuan, Hebei, Anhui, Guangxi, Jiangsu, Hunan and Guizhou have the largest birth population. Data of birth population in 29 provinces in 20021year were released.
The data of birth population in 29 provinces in 20021year was released on July 12, and the relevant departments released the statistical bulletin of health development in China in 20021year. According to the communique, in 20021year, the birth population in China was10.62 million, and the proportion of two children was 465438.
What are the specific provincial data? According to incomplete statistics, up to now, 29 provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities have released the birth population data of 202 1.
The birth population in Anhui decreased by 47.6% in four years.
On July 22nd, Anhui Provincial Health and Health Commission issued the statistical bulletin on the development of health undertakings in Anhui Province in 20021year. According to the bulletin, in 202 1 year, the birth population in the province was 5 15800.
According to the statistics of the total population database of Anhui Province, from 20 17 to 202 1 year, the birth population in Anhui Province was 984,000, 865,000, 766,000, 645,000 and 530,000 respectively (forecast), and the annual growth rate was-12./kloc respectively.
According to this calculation, the population born in Anhui in 20021year decreased by 47.6% compared with that in 20 17.
According to Xin 'an Evening News and 202 1, there are 22,800 more newborn children than one child in Anhui Province, accounting for 45.27% of the newborn population. In 20 17, the number of newborn two children in Anhui province exceeded one child for the first time, accounting for 53.8%. After that, the proportion of the second child in Anhui province has been higher than that of the first child.
It is worth noting that in terms of the sex ratio of the birth population, the sex ratio of 202 1 birth population in Anhui Province is11.07. The sex ratio at birth for one child 106.48, two children 105.58 and many children 149.07.
Guangdong province alone has a population of1100,000.
According to the First Financial Report, among the 29 provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities that have released the data of 202 1 birth population, Guangdong, Henan, Shandong, Sichuan, Hebei, Anhui, Guangxi, Jiangsu, Hunan and Guizhou have the largest birth population.
Among them, only the first six provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities have a birth population of more than 500,000; Only Guangdong Province 1 has a population of more than 1 10,000. Since 20 18 surpassed Shandong to become the first fertility province, Guangdong has been ranked first for four consecutive years. In 20021year, the birth population in Guangdong was 1 18.3 1 10,000, making it the only province that broke through the million mark for two consecutive years.
The Jiangxi Provincial Bureau of Statistics interpreted the article and said that the birth population in the province has decreased rapidly. In 20021year, the birth population in the province decreased by 50,400 compared with that in 2020, and the birth population was below 400,000 for the first time since 1950s. Henan Statistical Yearbook 20021shows that the population born in Henan in 20021year reached a new low since 1978. After falling below the 1 10,000 mark for the first time in 2020, it fell below the 800,000 mark again in 2026 with only 793,000 people.
According to the data of various provinces, the birth population of 202 1 in many provinces hit a new low in decades. 202 1 The birth population in Hunan is below 500,000 for the first time in nearly 60 years. Since 1978, the population born in Henan, a populous province, is below 800,000 for the first time.
For example, the population born in Shandong in 202 1 year decreased by 57. 1% compared with that in 20 17 (the annual population was1749800); The population born in Henan in 20021year decreased by 43.4% compared with that in 20 17 (annual population born140.130,000). In 20021year, the population born in Hunan decreased by 47.9% compared with 20 17 year (908,000 people were born in the whole year). The population born in Jiangxi in 202 1 year decreased by 40.6% compared with that in 20 17 (the annual population was 635,000).
In July this year, the National Health Planning Commission also released the statistical bulletin on the development of health services in China in 20021year. According to the bulletin, the population born in 20021year was10.62 million, of which two children accounted for 4 1.4%, and three children and above accounted for 14.5%. Compared with 2020, the birth population and the proportion of two children have declined. According to Statistical Bulletin on Health Development in China in 2020, the population born in 2020 is120,000. The rate of having two or more children is 57. 1%.
According to the People's Daily Health Client, Lu Jiehua, vice president of China Population Society and professor of sociology in Peking University, told Health Times that the decline of the birth population was the result of many factors.
First of all, the scale and proportion of women of childbearing age in the reproductive period have declined. At present, the number of women in this part of the baby boom is decreasing, and the proportion is also decreasing; Second, young people's concept of marriage and childbearing has changed. Nowadays, it is generally believed that getting married and having children is not a mandatory option, but an option; Third, a series of living costs, such as childbirth, child-rearing and education, have increased fertility concerns.
When asked when China's population growth decline will usher in an inflection point, Lu Jiehua said that at present, it is more difficult for population growth to usher in an inflection point. In his view, the key to slowing down the downward trend of the birth population lies in the improvement of the fertility rate. "It takes a huge effort," Lu Jiehua said. To improve the fertility level, we must treat both the symptoms and the root causes. Such as child care allowance and child care service. We should keep up with it, and the supporting measures should be step by step, not by leaps and bounds.
The number of elderly people will continue to increase.
It is worth noting that while the birth population is declining, the number of retired elderly people in China will continue to increase.
According to 2 1 Century Business Report, with the baby boomers gradually entering 60 years old in the 1960s, the retirement tide has come. This makes the working-age population (15-64 years old) in a stage of gradual reduction.
According to China Census Yearbook -2020, in 2020, the population aged 50-54 will be 1.2 1 billion, the population aged 55-59 will be 1.0 1 billion, and the population aged 60-64 will be 77.38 million. They will gradually enter the non-working age population aged 65 and above.
The working-age population of 0-4 years old, 5-9 years old and 10- 14 years old will be 77.83 million, 90.24 million and 85.26 million respectively in 2020.
265,438+The Institute of 20th Century Economics found that there are about 46,665,438+0,000 differences between the children of the three age groups of retired people aged 65 and above and the children of the three age groups of working-age population, and this part of the population is the number of working-age population that will be reduced in the next decade.
202 1 29 provinces released birth population data 2 At present, 29 provinces have released 202 1 birth population data.
According to the latest statistical bulletin on health development in Anhui Province in 20021year issued by Anhui Provincial Health and Health Commission, according to the statistics of the total population database, in 20021year, there were 515800 people born in the whole province, including 210700 children (accounting for 40.86%) and two children.
This is very close to last year's forecast data. In September last year, the explanation of the Regulations on Population and Family Planning in Anhui Province (Revised Draft for Comment) published on the website of Anhui Province mentioned that the birth population in Anhui Province has decreased for four consecutive years, and the population situation is extremely severe.
According to the statistics of the total population database of Anhui Province, from 20 17 to 202 1 year, the birth population in Anhui Province was 984,000, 865,000, 766,000, 645,000 and 530,000 respectively (forecast), and the annual growth rate was-12/kloc-respectively.
According to this calculation, the population born in Anhui in 20021year decreased by 47.6% compared with that in 20 17.
At present, among the 29 provinces that have published 202 1 birth population data, Guangdong, Henan, Shandong, Sichuan, Hebei, Anhui, Guangxi, Jiangsu, Hunan and Guizhou have the largest birth population. Among them, only the first six provinces have a birth population of more than 500,000; Only Guangdong Province 1 has a population of more than 1 10,000. Since 20 18, Guangdong has been ranked first for four consecutive years after surpassing Shandong to become the first fertility province. In 20021year, the birth population in Guangdong was 1 18.3 1 10,000, making it the only province that broke through the million mark for two consecutive years.
According to the data of various provinces, the birth population of 202 1 in many provinces hit a new low in decades. 202 1 The birth population in Hunan is below 500,000 for the first time in nearly 60 years. Since 1978, the population born in Henan, a populous province, is below 800,000 for the first time. The population born in Jiangxi is below 400,000 for the first time since 1950s.
For example, the population born in Shandong in 202 1 year decreased by 57. 1% compared with that in 20 17 (the annual population was1749800); The population born in Henan in 20021year decreased by 43.4% compared with that in 20 17 (annual population born140.130,000). In 20021year, the population born in Hunan decreased by 47.9% compared with 20 17 year (908,000 people were born in the whole year). The population born in Jiangxi in 202 1 year decreased by 40.6% compared with that in 20 17 (the annual population was 635,000).
Data of resident population and birth population in 29 provinces in 20021year
Source of data: First Financial Reporter collated according to public data in various places.
12 In July, National Health Commission released the Statistical Bulletin on Health Development in China in 20021year, which showed that the population born in 20021year was10.62 million, of which two children accounted for 4 1.4%%, and three children and above accounted for/kloc. Compared with the data in 2020, the birth population decreased by about 6.5438+0.38 million.
Professor Dong, a population expert and president of Guangdong Population Development Research Institute, analyzed CBN. Judging from the current situation, there is a lack of motivation to increase the total population. There are many reasons for the continuous decline of the birth population. First, the number of women of childbearing age is decreasing, especially those who are qualified to be mothers. At the same time, the delay of marriage and childbearing age and the increase of marriage and childbearing cost lead to the decline of fertility will. In addition, the impact of the COVID-19 epidemic is also very obvious.
In recent years, the central and local governments have introduced a series of measures to encourage fertility in view of the trend of high fertility pressure, low fertility will and declining birth rate. The State Council's Decision on Optimizing Birth Policy to Promote Long-term Balanced Population Development points out that the cost of birth, upbringing and education should be reduced. It is necessary to improve the maternity leave and maternity insurance system, strengthen supporting policies such as taxation and housing, promote educational equity and the supply of quality educational resources, and protect women's legitimate rights and interests in employment.
At the local level, fertility support policies have been intensively introduced in various places. According to the China Population Daily, Zhuang, director of the Population Monitoring and Family Development Department of the National Health and Wellness Commission, recently introduced that the maternity leave system has been further improved in various places, with maternity leave generally extended to 158 days, and spouse paternity leave generally around 15 days. Parenting leave ranging from 5 to 20 days has been set up, and relevant regulations have been added to reduce the cost of childbirth, parenting and education.
Zhuang said that some places have explored positive fertility support measures. For example, Suzhou City, Jiangsu Province gives 1 10,000 yuan/nursery to registered social welfare pension institutions. During the "Fourteenth Five-Year Plan" period, municipal financial plans at all levels will invest about 400 million yuan to promote the development of inclusive medical care; Jiangxi province according to the actual number of child care institutions to give no less than 200 yuan per person per month child care fee subsidies; Panzhihua City, Sichuan Province gives 500 yuan, a "two-child" and "three-child" child-rearing allowance every month until the child is 3 years old.
On the morning of July 2 1, Zhuang, director of the Population and Family Department of the National Health and Wellness Commission, said at the 2022 annual meeting of the Chinese Population Society that the growth rate of China's total population has slowed down obviously, and it is expected that it will enter negative growth during the Tenth Five-Year Plan period.
Before 10, the report World Population Outlook 2022 released by the United Nations also mentioned that China may experience negative population growth as early as 2023, and the population over 60 will reach 20.53% in 2024.
202 1, the seriousness of China's population has been exposed-
Share the population changes of several typical provinces and cities:
At the end of 20021,the resident population of Zhejiang Province was 65.4 million, an increase of 720,000 over the end of last year. (Birth population data shows that the birth population in Zhejiang in 20021year was 449,000, a record low of nearly 18. The birth rate is 6.9‰, the lowest since 1978. )
At the end of 2002 12684000, the resident population of Guangdong province was12684000, an increase of 600000 over the end of last year. (But the population naturally increased by 5710.9 million, with a natural growth rate of 4.52‰. )
At the end of 200216999, the resident population of Shandong province was10/kloc-0, an increase of 50,000 over the end of last year. (The lowest value in 73 years since the founding of the People's Republic of China, the natural population growth rate is 0.02‰. )
At the end of 20021,the resident population in Beijing was 21886,000, a decrease of 0.4 million compared with the end of last year.
The permanent population of Tianjin at the end of 202 1 was13.73 million. Decreased by1360,000 compared with the end of last year.
At the end of 20021,the total resident population in Heilongjiang province was 3 1.25 million, a decrease of 460,000 over the previous year.
At the end of 20021,the resident population of Henan province was 98.83 million, a decrease of 580,000 compared with the end of last year.
According to the latest birth population data released this year, the birth population this year is about 9.5 million, which is the first year of negative population growth.
China has the most extensive concept of traditional fertility culture. Why does the population trend show a negative growth trend?
Why not? In essence, there is a problem in the distribution of social resources.
For rural families, the increase of population has positive benefits to the means of production, including but not limited to the purchase of land and housing.
However, for urban families, every increase in population is a negative gain from the acquisition of means of production. In industrial society, city life has squeezed everyone's value to society, but it has not given enough resources to feed back. How to break the negative population growth remains to be seen!